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DKSC WHITE NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU13 · 24 teams · DKSC (all teams)

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12th
2-0-2 record · 4 played
1.50 points per game
+4 goal diff · 11–7
WLLWlast 4
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.3
+0.11 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:50 AM

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DKSC WHITE NTX
12th · 1.50 PPG
at
Attack FC NTX
4th · 2.60 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 6 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.5 for, 3.3 against · 0.57 expected points)

Season so farDKSC WHITE NTXAttack FC NTX
Position12th4th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-24-1-0
Points per game1.502.60
Goals for / game2.84.4
Goals against / game1.80.8
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W L L WW W W D W
Biggest win5–1 vs Dallas Texans NTX6–0 vs SOLAR RED NTX
Worst loss1–4 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.52+2.12
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.11-0.17

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Attack FC NTX score 4.4/game — well above the league's 2.6.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Attack FC NTX concede only 0.8/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 14%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Attack FC NTX have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:50 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:50 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Dallas Texans NTX sit 11th on 1.60 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above Dallas Texans NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Attack FC NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC WHITE NTX – Attack FC NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.20 PPG
13th▼ down 1 15th▼ down 3 17th▼ down 5
Win
1.80 PPG
10th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 2 12th— holds
Draw
1.40 PPG
12th— holds 10th▲ up 2 15th▼ down 3
Loss
1.20 PPG
13th▼ down 1 15th▼ down 3 17th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 17th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
11.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 4%
  7. 7th 5%
  8. 8th 7%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 10%
  11. 11th 11%
  12. 12th 12%
  13. 13th 11%
  14. 14th 9%
  15. 15th 7%
  16. 16th 5%
  17. 17th 3%
  18. 18th 2%
  19. 19th <1%
  20. 20th <1%
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.60 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Kernow Storm FC NTX 3.00 (+1.50) 1st (2.70) 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 TAG Soccer NTX 3.00 (+1.50) 2nd (2.43) 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
3 FC Dallas Youth NTX 2.60 (+1.10) 3rd (2.26) 33 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
4 Attack FC NTX 2.60 (+1.10) 4th (2.23) 33 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.40 (+0.90) 6th (1.97) 30 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
6 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.40 (+0.90) 5th (2.10) 30 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 SOLAR WHITE NTX 2.25 (+0.75) 8th (1.80) 28 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
8 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.00 (+0.50) 7th (1.81) 24 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
9 NTX Celtic FC NTX 1.80 (+0.30) 9th (1.79) Win next game
10 Dallas Texans Red NTX 1.60 (+0.10) 10th (1.62) A point next game
11 Dallas Texans NTX 1.60 (+0.10) 14th (1.36) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link DKSC WHITE NTX to Attack FC NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 even
3 favour them
-2.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–4 3–0 2–2 5–1 2–4 1–5 0–1 4–1 1–7 2–5 0–6 DKSC WHITE NTX 12th Kernow Storm FC NTX 1st FC Dallas Youth Nav… 22nd Dallas Texans Red N… 10th Nido Dallas White N… 20th Atletico Dallas You… 5th Fever United FC NTX 15th SOLAR RED NTX 18th Attack FC NTX 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 12th 24th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.09 · 14th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:50 AM
Attack FC NTX
4th · 4-1-0 · GD +18
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.57 1.31 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:30 PM
SOLAR RED NTX
18th · 1-1-3 · GD -11
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.21 1.46 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
07:00 PM
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
8th · 3-1-1 · GD +7
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–2 1.14 1.42 Upside
Sat Feb 6
08:00 AM
DKSC NTX
21st · 0-1-3 · GD -15
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
3–1 2.29 1.53 Bank it
Sat Feb 20
01:30 PM
FC Dallas Youth NTX
3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +29
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.60 1.42 Upside
Sun Feb 21
08:00 AM
Sting NTX
23rd · 0-0-5 · GD -36
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
6–1 2.90 1.57 Bank it
Sat Feb 27
11:40 AM
FC Dallas Youth White NTX
13th · 2-1-2 · GD +3
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.26 1.54 Upside
Sat Mar 6
01:30 PM
Fever United FC NTX
15th · 2-0-3 · GD -7
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
3–1 1.99 1.58 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
01:30 PM
Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
5th · 4-0-1 · GD +11
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–2 1.14 1.55 Upside
Sun Apr 4
09:50 AM
Nido Dallas White NTX
20th · 0-3-3 · GD -5
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.69 1.56 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
08:00 AM
SOLAR BLUE NTX
17th · 1-1-2 · GD +2
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–2 1.75 1.57 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Kernow Storm FC NTX 6600 403+37 183.00 WWWWW -1.40 +0.56 99% 1.4
2 TAG Soccer NTX 5500 245+19 153.00 WWWWW -0.42 -0.01 89% 2.8
3 FC Dallas Youth NTX 5410 345+29 132.60 WWWWD -1.51 +1.06 70% 3.9
4 Attack FC NTX 5410 224+18 132.60 WDWWW -0.17 +0.26 63% 4.2
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 5401 2211+11 122.40 WWWWL -1.32 -0.10 20% 6.7
6 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5401 124+8 122.40 LWWWW +0.23 -0.30 34% 5.5
7 SOLAR WHITE NTX 4301 154+11 92.25 WLWW -2.14 +0.61 8% 8.5
8 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 5311 1811+7 102.00 LDWWW -0.33 +0.09 7% 8.5
9 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5302 114+7 91.80 WWLLW -0.23 +0.08 5% 8.7
10 Dallas Texans Red NTX 5221 88+0 81.60 DDWWL +0.94 -0.40 1% 10.8
11 Dallas Texans NTX 5221 79-2 81.60 LWWDD +0.66 +0.31 0% 14.1
12 DKSC WHITE NTX 4202 117+4 61.50 WLLW +0.11 -0.09 1% 11.3
13 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5212 85+3 71.40 DLLWW -0.38 +0.75 0% 13.4
14 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5203 1116-5 61.20 WWLLL +0.37 -0.49 0% 14.0
15 Fever United FC NTX 5203 1017-7 61.20 LWLLW -0.40 +0.70 0% 18.3
16 Sting Brave NTX 6204 229+13 61.00 LWLLW -0.67 -0.15 1% 10.4
17 SOLAR BLUE NTX 4112 1210+2 41.00 LLDW -0.54 +0.47 0% 15.4
18 SOLAR RED NTX 5113 617-11 40.80 WLDLL -0.20 -0.46 0% 18.4
19 Sting Bold NTX 5104 629-23 30.60 LLWLL +1.11 -0.68 0% 19.5
20 Nido Dallas White NTX 6033 1015-5 30.50 LLDDL +0.80 -1.29 0% 15.3
21 DKSC NTX 4013 318-15 10.25 LLDL +1.81 +0.02 0% 20.7
22 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 6006 734-27 00.00 LLLLL +0.93 +0.16 0% 22.7
23 Sting NTX 5005 440-36 00.00 LLLLL +1.03 -0.80 0% 22.6
24 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 5005 139-38 00.00 LLLLL +1.57 -0.77 0% 23.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.