TableChase Clubs

Nido Dallas White NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU13 · 24 teams · Club America Nido Dallas (all teams)

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20th
0-3-3 record · 6 played
0.50 points per game
-5 goal diff · 10–15
LLDDLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 15.3
+0.80 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:30 PM

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Nido Dallas White NTX
20th · 0.50 PPG
vs
Sting NTX
23rd · 0.00 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.8 for, 1.3 against · 2.74 expected points)

Season so farNido Dallas White NTXSting NTX
Position20th23rd
Record (W-D-L)0-3-30-0-5
Points per game0.500.00
Goals for / game1.70.8
Goals against / game2.58.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless13
Form (recent first)L D D L LL L L L L
Biggest win——
Worst loss0–3 at Kernow Storm FC NTX0–10 vs Sting Brave NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.35-4.09
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.80+1.03

Common opponents: Kernow Storm FC NTX — we 0–3; they 0–9. SOLAR BLUE NTX — we 1–1; they 0–9.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Sting NTX average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.6); blanked in 3 of 5.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Sting NTX concede 8.0/game; worst result 0–10 vs Sting Brave NTX.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at Kernow Storm FC NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 89% chance; likely score 4–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Sting NTX have lost 5 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • What a win does
    Sting Bold NTX sit 19th on 0.60 PPG; we are on 0.50.

    A point moves us above Sting Bold NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sting NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Nido Dallas White NTX – Sting NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 0.86 PPG
18th▲ up 2 19th▲ up 1 20th— holds
Win
0.86 PPG
18th▲ up 2 19th▲ up 1 20th— holds
Draw
0.57 PPG
20th— holds 20th— holds 21st▼ down 1
Loss
0.43 PPG
21st▼ down 1 21st▼ down 1 22nd▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–1 win we finish as high as 17th if every rival drops points, and as low as 20th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
15.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 4%
  12. 12th 6%
  13. 13th 8%
  14. 14th 11%
  15. 15th 14%
  16. 16th 17%
  17. 17th 17%
  18. 18th 10%
  19. 19th 5%
  20. 20th 3%
  21. 21st <1%
  22. 22nd <1%
  23. 23rd <1%
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Kernow Storm FC NTX 3.00 (+2.50) 1st (2.70) 42 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 TAG Soccer NTX 3.00 (+2.50) 2nd (2.43) 42 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 FC Dallas Youth NTX 2.60 (+2.10) 3rd (2.26) 36 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Attack FC NTX 2.60 (+2.10) 4th (2.23) 36 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.40 (+1.90) 6th (1.97) 33 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.40 (+1.90) 5th (2.10) 33 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 SOLAR WHITE NTX 2.25 (+1.75) 8th (1.80) 31 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
8 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.00 (+1.50) 7th (1.81) 27 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
9 NTX Celtic FC NTX 1.80 (+1.30) 9th (1.79) 24 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
10 Dallas Texans Red NTX 1.60 (+1.10) 10th (1.62) 21 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
11 Dallas Texans NTX 1.60 (+1.10) 14th (1.36) 21 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
12 DKSC WHITE NTX 1.50 (+1.00) 12th (1.57) 20 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
13 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 1.40 (+0.90) 13th (1.39) 18 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
14 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 1.20 (+0.70) 15th (1.35) 15 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
15 Fever United FC NTX 1.20 (+0.70) 18th (0.91) 15 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
16 Sting Brave NTX 1.00 (+0.50) 11th (1.61) 12 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
17 SOLAR BLUE NTX 1.00 (+0.50) 17th (1.20) 12 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
18 SOLAR RED NTX 0.80 (+0.30) 19th (0.91) A point next game
19 Sting Bold NTX 0.60 (+0.10) 20th (0.78) A point next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Nido Dallas White NTX to Sting NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
0 favour them
+6.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 9–0 1–1 9–0 1–1 0–1 6–3 2–4 6–1 2–2 7–1 5–1 Nido Dallas White N… 20th Kernow Storm FC NTX 1st SOLAR BLUE NTX 17th SOLAR RED NTX 18th Attack FC NTX 4th Fever United FC NTX 15th Atletico Dallas You… 5th Sting NTX 23rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 12th 24th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -1.29 · 24th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:30 PM
Sting NTX
23rd · 0-0-5 · GD -36
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
4–1 2.74 0.82 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
09:50 AM
Fever United FC NTX
15th · 2-0-3 · GD -7
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–2 1.51 0.91 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
03:20 PM
Nido Dallas Blue NTX
24th · 0-0-5 · GD -38
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
4–1 2.63 1.10 Bank it
Sun Feb 7
11:40 AM
Dallas Texans Red NTX
10th · 2-2-1 · GD +0
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 1.01 1.09 Upside
Sat Feb 27
11:40 AM
Sting Bold NTX
19th · 1-0-4 · GD -23
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.11 1.18 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
01:30 PM
Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
5th · 4-0-1 · GD +11
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
27%
2–2 1.00 1.17 Upside
Sun Mar 7
08:00 AM
Sting Brave NTX
16th · 2-0-4 · GD +13
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.79 1.14 Upside
Sat Apr 3
01:30 PM
FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
22nd · 0-0-6 · GD -27
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.22 1.22 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
09:50 AM
DKSC WHITE NTX
12th · 2-0-2 · GD +4
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.11 1.21 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Kernow Storm FC NTX 6600 403+37 183.00 WWWWW -1.40 +0.56 99% 1.4
2 TAG Soccer NTX 5500 245+19 153.00 WWWWW -0.42 -0.01 88% 2.8
3 FC Dallas Youth NTX 5410 345+29 132.60 WWWWD -1.51 +1.06 70% 3.9
4 Attack FC NTX 5410 224+18 132.60 WDWWW -0.17 +0.26 63% 4.2
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 5401 2211+11 122.40 WWWWL -1.32 -0.10 19% 6.7
6 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5401 124+8 122.40 LWWWW +0.23 -0.30 36% 5.5
7 SOLAR WHITE NTX 4301 154+11 92.25 WLWW -2.14 +0.61 8% 8.6
8 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 5311 1811+7 102.00 LDWWW -0.33 +0.09 7% 8.4
9 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5302 114+7 91.80 WWLLW -0.23 +0.08 7% 8.7
10 Dallas Texans Red NTX 5221 88+0 81.60 DDWWL +0.94 -0.40 1% 10.9
11 Dallas Texans NTX 5221 79-2 81.60 LWWDD +0.66 +0.31 0% 13.9
12 DKSC WHITE NTX 4202 117+4 61.50 WLLW +0.11 -0.09 2% 11.3
13 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5212 85+3 71.40 DLLWW -0.38 +0.75 0% 13.4
14 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5203 1116-5 61.20 WWLLL +0.37 -0.49 0% 14.0
15 Fever United FC NTX 5203 1017-7 61.20 LWLLW -0.40 +0.70 0% 18.4
16 Sting Brave NTX 6204 229+13 61.00 LWLLW -0.67 -0.15 1% 10.5
17 SOLAR BLUE NTX 4112 1210+2 41.00 LLDW -0.54 +0.47 0% 15.4
18 SOLAR RED NTX 5113 617-11 40.80 WLDLL -0.20 -0.46 0% 18.4
19 Sting Bold NTX 5104 629-23 30.60 LLWLL +1.11 -0.68 0% 19.5
20 Nido Dallas White NTX 6033 1015-5 30.50 LLDDL +0.80 -1.29 0% 15.3
21 DKSC NTX 4013 318-15 10.25 LLDL +1.81 +0.02 0% 20.7
22 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 6006 734-27 00.00 LLLLL +0.93 +0.16 0% 22.8
23 Sting NTX 5005 440-36 00.00 LLLLL +1.03 -0.80 0% 22.6
24 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 5005 139-38 00.00 LLLLL +1.57 -0.77 0% 23.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.