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FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU13 · 24 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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22nd
0-0-6 record · 6 played
0.00 points per game
-27 goal diff · 7–34
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 22.7
+0.93 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 01:30 PM

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FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
22nd · 0.00 PPG
at
SOLAR BLUE NTX
17th · 1.00 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 4 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–5 (expected goals 1.6 for, 5.1 against · 0.23 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth Navy NTXSOLAR BLUE NTX
Position22nd17th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-61-1-2
Points per game0.001.00
Goals for / game1.23.0
Goals against / game5.72.5
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L L L L LW D L L
Biggest win—9–0 vs Sting NTX
Worst loss1–13 at Kernow Storm FC NTX0–5 vs TAG Soccer NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.74+0.22
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.93-0.54

Common opponents: Atletico Dallas Youth NTX — we 2–4; they 2–4.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 5%; a draw (7%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:30 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    DKSC NTX sit 21st on 0.25 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above DKSC NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SOLAR BLUE NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX – SOLAR BLUE NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
22nd— holds 22nd— holds 23rd▼ down 1
Win
0.43 PPG
21st▲ up 1 20th▲ up 2 23rd▼ down 1
Draw
0.14 PPG
22nd— holds 22nd— holds 23rd▼ down 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
22nd— holds 22nd— holds 23rd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–5 loss we stay 22nd even if every rival loses, and as low as 23rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
22.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th 1%
  20. 20th 1%
  21. 21st 7%
  22. 22nd 30%
  23. 23rd 35%
  24. 24th 25%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 1.80 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Kernow Storm FC NTX 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.70) 45 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 TAG Soccer NTX 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.43) 45 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 FC Dallas Youth NTX 2.60 (+2.60) 3rd (2.26) 39 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Attack FC NTX 2.60 (+2.60) 4th (2.23) 39 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.40 (+2.40) 6th (1.97) 36 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.40 (+2.40) 5th (2.10) 36 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 SOLAR WHITE NTX 2.25 (+2.25) 8th (1.80) 34 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.00 (+2.00) 7th (1.81) 30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 NTX Celtic FC NTX 1.80 (+1.80) 9th (1.79) 27 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
10 Dallas Texans Red NTX 1.60 (+1.60) 10th (1.62) 24 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
11 Dallas Texans NTX 1.60 (+1.60) 14th (1.36) 24 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
12 DKSC WHITE NTX 1.50 (+1.50) 12th (1.57) 23 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
13 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 1.40 (+1.40) 13th (1.39) 21 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
14 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 1.20 (+1.20) 15th (1.35) 18 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
15 Fever United FC NTX 1.20 (+1.20) 18th (0.91) 18 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
16 Sting Brave NTX 1.00 (+1.00) 11th (1.61) 15 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
17 SOLAR BLUE NTX 1.00 (+1.00) 17th (1.20) 15 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
18 SOLAR RED NTX 0.80 (+0.80) 19th (0.91) 12 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
19 Sting Bold NTX 0.60 (+0.60) 20th (0.78) 9 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
20 Nido Dallas White NTX 0.50 (+0.50) 16th (1.21) 8 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
21 DKSC NTX 0.25 (+0.25) 21st (0.58) A point next game

How the results connect

7 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX to SOLAR BLUE NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
5 favour them
-4.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–4 4–2 0–2 2–3 5–0 1–5 5–4 1–1 2–5 1–1 6–1 0–9 1–13 3–0 9–0 FC Dallas Youth Nav… 22nd Atletico Dallas You… 5th NTX Celtic FC NTX 9th FC Dallas Youth Red… 8th SOLAR RED NTX 18th Kernow Storm FC NTX 1st TAG Soccer NTX 2nd Nido Dallas White N… 20th Sting NTX 23rd SOLAR BLUE NTX 17th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 12th 24th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.16 · 9th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 31
01:30 PM
SOLAR BLUE NTX
17th · 1-1-2 · GD +2
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–5 0.23 0.03 Upside
Sat Nov 7
07:00 PM
Sting NTX
23rd · 0-0-5 · GD -36
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
3–2 1.76 0.25 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
08:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
6th · 4-0-1 · GD +8
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.12 0.23 Upside
Sat Feb 20
01:30 PM
TAG Soccer NTX
2nd · 5-0-0 · GD +19
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–6 0.07 0.22 Upside
Sun Feb 21
11:40 AM
Fever United FC NTX
15th · 2-0-3 · GD -7
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
23%
2–3 0.83 0.27 Upside
Sat Feb 27
11:40 AM
SOLAR WHITE NTX
7th · 3-0-1 · GD +11
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.10 0.26 Upside
Sat Mar 6
01:30 PM
Dallas Texans Red NTX
10th · 2-2-1 · GD +0
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.31 0.26 Upside
Sat Apr 3
01:30 PM
Nido Dallas White NTX
20th · 0-3-3 · GD -5
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.64 0.29 Upside
Sat Apr 10
05:10 PM
Attack FC NTX
4th · 4-1-0 · GD +18
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–6 0.07 0.27 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Kernow Storm FC NTX 6600 403+37 183.00 WWWWW -1.40 +0.56 99% 1.4
2 TAG Soccer NTX 5500 245+19 153.00 WWWWW -0.42 -0.01 89% 2.8
3 FC Dallas Youth NTX 5410 345+29 132.60 WWWWD -1.51 +1.06 71% 3.8
4 Attack FC NTX 5410 224+18 132.60 WDWWW -0.17 +0.26 64% 4.2
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 5401 2211+11 122.40 WWWWL -1.32 -0.10 19% 6.8
6 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5401 124+8 122.40 LWWWW +0.23 -0.30 34% 5.5
7 SOLAR WHITE NTX 4301 154+11 92.25 WLWW -2.14 +0.61 8% 8.5
8 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 5311 1811+7 102.00 LDWWW -0.33 +0.09 6% 8.4
9 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5302 114+7 91.80 WWLLW -0.23 +0.08 7% 8.7
10 Dallas Texans Red NTX 5221 88+0 81.60 DDWWL +0.94 -0.40 1% 10.9
11 Dallas Texans NTX 5221 79-2 81.60 LWWDD +0.66 +0.31 0% 14.0
12 DKSC WHITE NTX 4202 117+4 61.50 WLLW +0.11 -0.09 1% 11.3
13 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5212 85+3 71.40 DLLWW -0.38 +0.75 0% 13.4
14 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5203 1116-5 61.20 WWLLL +0.37 -0.49 0% 14.0
15 Fever United FC NTX 5203 1017-7 61.20 LWLLW -0.40 +0.70 0% 18.4
16 Sting Brave NTX 6204 229+13 61.00 LWLLW -0.67 -0.15 1% 10.3
17 SOLAR BLUE NTX 4112 1210+2 41.00 LLDW -0.54 +0.47 0% 15.4
18 SOLAR RED NTX 5113 617-11 40.80 WLDLL -0.20 -0.46 0% 18.4
19 Sting Bold NTX 5104 629-23 30.60 LLWLL +1.11 -0.68 0% 19.5
20 Nido Dallas White NTX 6033 1015-5 30.50 LLDDL +0.80 -1.29 0% 15.3
21 DKSC NTX 4013 318-15 10.25 LLDL +1.81 +0.02 0% 20.7
22 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 6006 734-27 00.00 LLLLL +0.93 +0.16 0% 22.7
23 Sting NTX 5005 440-36 00.00 LLLLL +1.03 -0.80 0% 22.6
24 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 5005 139-38 00.00 LLLLL +1.57 -0.77 0% 23.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.