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Dallas Texans NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU13 · 24 teams · Dallas Texans (all teams)

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11th
2-2-1 record · 5 played
1.60 points per game
-2 goal diff · 7–9
LWWDDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.0
+0.66 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:50 AM

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Dallas Texans NTX
11th · 1.60 PPG
at
SOLAR WHITE NTX
7th · 2.25 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 3 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.3 for, 2.5 against · 0.74 expected points)

Season so farDallas Texans NTXSOLAR WHITE NTX
Position11th7th
Record (W-D-L)2-2-13-0-1
Points per game1.602.25
Goals for / game1.43.8
Goals against / game1.81.0
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)D D W W LW W L W
Biggest win1–0 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX8–0 at Nido Dallas Blue NTX
Worst loss1–5 at DKSC WHITE NTX2–3 at Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.05+1.14
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.66-2.14

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    SOLAR WHITE NTX score 3.8/game — well above the league's 2.6.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    SOLAR WHITE NTX concede only 1.0/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 18%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:50 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:50 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Dallas Texans Red NTX sit 10th on 1.60 PPG; we are on 1.60.

    A point moves us above Dallas Texans Red NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SOLAR WHITE NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dallas Texans NTX – SOLAR WHITE NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.33 PPG
13th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 2 16th▼ down 5
Win
1.83 PPG
8th▲ up 3 9th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 1
Draw
1.50 PPG
12th▼ down 1 10th▲ up 1 14th▼ down 3
Loss
1.33 PPG
13th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 2 16th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–2 loss we finish as high as 10th if every rival drops points, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 3%
  10. 10th 5%
  11. 11th 7%
  12. 12th 8%
  13. 13th 12%
  14. 14th 15%
  15. 15th 14%
  16. 16th 14%
  17. 17th 12%
  18. 18th 5%
  19. 19th 1%
  20. 20th <1%
  21. 21st <1%
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.53 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Kernow Storm FC NTX 3.00 (+1.40) 1st (2.70) 37 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 TAG Soccer NTX 3.00 (+1.40) 2nd (2.43) 37 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
3 FC Dallas Youth NTX 2.60 (+1.00) 3rd (2.26) 31 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
4 Attack FC NTX 2.60 (+1.00) 4th (2.23) 31 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.40 (+0.80) 6th (1.97) 28 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
6 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.40 (+0.80) 5th (2.10) 28 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
7 SOLAR WHITE NTX 2.25 (+0.65) 8th (1.80) 26 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
8 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.00 (+0.40) 7th (1.81) 22 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
9 NTX Celtic FC NTX 1.80 (+0.20) 9th (1.79) A point next game
10 Dallas Texans Red NTX 1.60 (+0.00) 10th (1.62) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Dallas Texans NTX to SOLAR WHITE NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
2 favour them
+2.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–3 7–0 0–8 1–0 5–1 1–0 6–0 0–2 12–1 Dallas Texans NTX 11th FC Dallas Youth NTX 3rd FC Dallas Youth Whi… 13th NTX Celtic FC NTX 9th Nido Dallas Blue NTX 24th Sting Bold NTX 19th SOLAR WHITE NTX 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 12th 24th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.31 · 7th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:50 AM
SOLAR WHITE NTX
7th · 3-0-1 · GD +11
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.74 1.46 Upside
Sat Oct 31
08:00 AM
Sting Bold NTX
19th · 1-0-4 · GD -23
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.22 1.57 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
08:00 AM
Dallas Texans Red NTX
10th · 2-2-1 · GD +0
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.41 1.55 Upside
Sat Feb 20
09:50 AM
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
8th · 3-1-1 · GD +7
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.88 1.47 Upside
Sun Feb 21
01:30 PM
Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX
14th · 2-0-3 · GD -5
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
41%
2–2 1.44 1.47 Upside
Sat Feb 27
08:00 AM
Kernow Storm FC NTX
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +37
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.30 1.36 Upside
Sat Mar 6
09:50 AM
FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
6th · 4-0-1 · GD +8
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–1 0.94 1.33 Upside
Sun Mar 7
08:00 AM
Nido Dallas Blue NTX
24th · 0-0-5 · GD -38
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
4–0 2.80 1.44 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
08:00 AM
TAG Soccer NTX
2nd · 5-0-0 · GD +19
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.64 1.38 Upside
Sat Apr 10
11:40 AM
Sting Brave NTX
16th · 2-0-4 · GD +13
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–2 0.95 1.36 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Kernow Storm FC NTX 6600 403+37 183.00 WWWWW -1.40 +0.56 99% 1.4
2 TAG Soccer NTX 5500 245+19 153.00 WWWWW -0.42 -0.01 89% 2.8
3 FC Dallas Youth NTX 5410 345+29 132.60 WWWWD -1.51 +1.06 71% 3.8
4 Attack FC NTX 5410 224+18 132.60 WDWWW -0.17 +0.26 64% 4.2
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 5401 2211+11 122.40 WWWWL -1.32 -0.10 19% 6.8
6 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5401 124+8 122.40 LWWWW +0.23 -0.30 34% 5.5
7 SOLAR WHITE NTX 4301 154+11 92.25 WLWW -2.14 +0.61 8% 8.5
8 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 5311 1811+7 102.00 LDWWW -0.33 +0.09 6% 8.4
9 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5302 114+7 91.80 WWLLW -0.23 +0.08 7% 8.7
10 Dallas Texans Red NTX 5221 88+0 81.60 DDWWL +0.94 -0.40 1% 10.9
11 Dallas Texans NTX 5221 79-2 81.60 LWWDD +0.66 +0.31 0% 14.0
12 DKSC WHITE NTX 4202 117+4 61.50 WLLW +0.11 -0.09 1% 11.3
13 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5212 85+3 71.40 DLLWW -0.38 +0.75 0% 13.4
14 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5203 1116-5 61.20 WWLLL +0.37 -0.49 0% 14.0
15 Fever United FC NTX 5203 1017-7 61.20 LWLLW -0.40 +0.70 0% 18.4
16 Sting Brave NTX 6204 229+13 61.00 LWLLW -0.67 -0.15 1% 10.3
17 SOLAR BLUE NTX 4112 1210+2 41.00 LLDW -0.54 +0.47 0% 15.4
18 SOLAR RED NTX 5113 617-11 40.80 WLDLL -0.20 -0.46 0% 18.4
19 Sting Bold NTX 5104 629-23 30.60 LLWLL +1.11 -0.68 0% 19.5
20 Nido Dallas White NTX 6033 1015-5 30.50 LLDDL +0.80 -1.29 0% 15.3
21 DKSC NTX 4013 318-15 10.25 LLDL +1.81 +0.02 0% 20.7
22 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 6006 734-27 00.00 LLLLL +0.93 +0.16 0% 22.7
23 Sting NTX 5005 440-36 00.00 LLLLL +1.03 -0.80 0% 22.6
24 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 5005 139-38 00.00 LLLLL +1.57 -0.77 0% 23.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.