LV Heat Surf

ECNL Girls · Southwest GU17 · 17 teams · LV Heat Surf SC (all teams)

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6th

3-0-2 record · 5 played

1.80 points per game

+5 goal diff · 13–8

LWWLWlast 5

14% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.3

+0.17 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:00 PM

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LV Heat Surf
6th · 1.80 PPG

Pateadores Soccer Club
15th · 0.00 PPG

Orange County Great Park, Field 9 ↗ far trip

78% 12% 10%

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.2 for, 1.1 against · 2.46 expected points)

Season so far	LV Heat Surf	Pateadores Soccer Club
Position	6th	15th
Record (W-D-L)	3-0-2	0-0-4
Points per game	1.80	0.00
Goals for / game	2.6	0.5
Goals against / game	1.6	3.5
Clean sheets	1	0
Held scoreless	1	2
Form (recent first)	W L W W L	L L L L
Biggest win	4–0 at Utah Royals FC-AZ	—
Worst loss	0–3 vs Legends FC	0–4 at Eagles SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.66	-1.50
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.17	+0.73

Common opponents: LA Breakers FC — we 1–2; they 0–4.

Game plan

They struggle to score
Pateadores Soccer Club average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 1.8); blanked in 2 of 4.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
They leak goals — be greedy
Pateadores Soccer Club concede 3.5/game; worst result 0–4 at Eagles SC.
Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 vs Legends FC.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 78% chance; likely score 3–1.
Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
Confidence is low on their side
Pateadores Soccer Club have lost 4 straight (form: LLLL).
Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
Away game
Kickoff 02:00 PM at Orange County Great Park.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pateadores Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LV Heat Surf – Pateadores Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.00 PPG	6th— holds	6th— holds	6th— holds
Win 2.00 PPG	6th— holds	6th— holds	6th— holds
Draw 1.67 PPG	7th▼ down 1	7th▼ down 1	9th▼ down 3
Loss 1.50 PPG	7th▼ down 1	8th▼ down 2	9th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

14% top 4

86% below the top 4

6.3 average finish

1st <1%
2nd 1%
3rd 4%
4th 8%
5th 15%
6th 31%
7th 20%
8th 11%
9th 5%
10th 3%
11th 1%
12th <1%
13th <1%
14th
15th
16th
17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Slammers FC HB Koge	3.00 (+1.20)	2nd (2.29)	39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
2	Beach Futbol Club	3.00 (+1.20)	3rd (2.28)	39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
3	Legends FC	3.00 (+1.20)	1st (2.30)	39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
4	Legends FC Del Mar	3.00 (+1.20)	4th (2.16)	39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
5	San Diego Surf	3.00 (+1.20)	5th (2.09)	39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection

How the results connect

4 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link LV Heat Surf to Pateadores Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us

1 favour them

+1.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.11 · 15th hardest of 17

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 02:00 PM	Pateadores Soccer Club 15th · 0-0-4 · GD -12	Away far trip Orange County Great Park	●○○○○ Favorable	78%	3–1	2.46	1.91	Bank it
Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM	Blues 9th · 1-0-1 · GD -1	Away far trip OC Great Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	51%	2–1	1.74	1.89	Swing game
Sat Nov 21 02:00 PM	Sporting California USA 16th · 0-0-4 · GD -14	Home Heritage Park Sports Complex	●○○○○ Favorable	87%	4–1	2.68	1.99	Bank it
Sat Mar 20 TBD	Rebels SC 12th · 1-0-2 · GD -3	Away	●●●○○ Toss-up	58%	2–1	1.93	1.98	Swing game
Sun Mar 21 TBD	Legends FC Del Mar 4th · 3-0-0 · GD +9	Away	●●●●● Very tough	22%	1–2	0.85	1.87	Upside
Sat Apr 10 TBD	LAFC 10th · 2-0-2 · GD -5	Home	●●○○○ Lean win	70%	2–1	2.26	1.90	Bank it
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Eagles SC 11th · 1-0-2 · GD +2	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	52%	2–1	1.75	1.89	Swing game
Sat Apr 24 09:00 AM	San Diego Surf 5th · 3-0-0 · GD +8	Away far trip Surf Sports Park	●●●●○ Tough	25%	1–2	0.95	1.82	Upside
Sun Apr 25 TBD	Slammers FC HB Koge 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +12	Away	●●●●● Very tough	20%	1–2	0.77	1.74	Upside
Sat May 1 TBD	Beach Futbol Club 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +12	Home	●●●●○ Tough	26%	1–2	0.98	1.69	Upside
Sat May 22 TBD	Arizona Arsenal 17th · 0-0-5 · GD -19	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	92%	4–0	2.82	1.76	Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Slammers FC HB Koge

+12

3.00

WWWW

-0.83

+0.20

84%

2.8

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	LA Breakers FC (8th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Rebels SC (12th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Sporting California USA (16th)	8–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SLAMMERS FC · Sat Oct 31 vs LAFC · Sat Nov 7 vs Eagles SC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	2–1	72%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	LAFC (10th)	3–0	82%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Eagles SC (11th)	2–1	67%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	2–0	71%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Legends FC (3rd)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Mar 28	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	1–1	41%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	LV Heat Surf (6th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat May 8	at	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	3–1	75%
·	Sun May 9	at	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat May 15	at	Blues (9th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat May 22	at	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	1–1	36%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Beach Futbol Club

+12

3.00

WWWW

-0.66

+0.26

83%

2.9

W	Sat Oct 17	at	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	1–0
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	LA Breakers FC (8th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	LAFC (10th)	6–1

Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Legends FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Legends FC Del Mar · Sat Nov 7 at Blues See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 3 (no score yet)	vs	Legends FC (3rd)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Blues (9th)	2–0	66%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Rebels SC (12th)	2–0	80%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Eagles SC (11th)	2–1	68%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	3–0	83%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	3–0	88%
·	Sat May 1	at	LV Heat Surf (6th)	2–1	54%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	2–0	71%
·	Sat May 22	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	2–0	63%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Legends FC

+10

3.00

WWWW

-0.30

-0.01

86%

2.8

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Sporting California USA (16th)	5–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	LV Heat Surf (6th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Blues (9th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Eagles SC (11th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 3 at Beach Futbol Club · Sat Oct 24 vs Rebels SC · Sat Nov 7 at LAFC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 3 (no score yet)	at	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Rebels SC (12th)	2–0	78%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	LAFC (10th)	2–1	73%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	LA Breakers FC (8th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	3–0	91%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	3–0	81%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat May 8	at	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat May 15	at	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	4–0	93%
·	Sun May 16	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	2–1	60%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Legends FC Del Mar

3.00

WWW

-0.98

+0.13

70%

3.6

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Rebels SC (12th)	4–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Phoenix Rising FC · Sun Oct 25 at Utah Royals FC-AZ · Sat Oct 31 at Beach Futbol Club See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	2–1	71%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	1–1	59%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	1–1	30%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	3–0	90%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	LA Breakers FC (8th)	2–1	57%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	LV Heat Surf (6th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	LAFC (10th)	2–0	79%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Blues (9th)	2–0	70%
·	Sat May 1	at	Legends FC (3rd)	1–1	34%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Sporting California USA (16th)	4–0	92%
·	Sun May 16	at	Eagles SC (11th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	1–1	41%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

San Diego Surf

3.00

WWW

-1.12

+0.19

57%

4.1

W	Sat Oct 10	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Sporting California USA (16th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Eagles SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Rebels SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Legends FC Del Mar See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Eagles SC (11th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Rebels SC (12th)	2–0	74%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	4–0	91%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	2–1	69%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Mar 28	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Legends FC (3rd)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	LV Heat Surf (6th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat May 1	at	LAFC (10th)	2–1	69%
·	Sat May 8	at	LA Breakers FC (8th)	2–1	54%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Blues (9th)	2–1	68%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LV Heat Surf

1.80

LWWLW

+0.17

-0.11

14%

6.3

W	Sun Oct 4	vs	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	5–1
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Legends FC (3rd)	0–3
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	LA Breakers FC (8th)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Blues · Sat Nov 21 vs Sporting California USA See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	3–1	78%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Blues (9th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Sporting California USA (16th)	4–1	87%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Rebels SC (12th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	LAFC (10th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Eagles SC (11th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	1–2	20%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	1–2	26%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	4–0	92%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Utah Royals FC-AZ

-1

1.80

LWLWW

+0.09

+0.10

8.7

W	Sat Oct 3	vs	LAFC (10th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	LV Heat Surf (6th)	0–4
W	Sun Sep 13	at	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	0–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Legends FC Del Mar · Sat Nov 7 vs LA Breakers FC · Wed Nov 18 at Arizona Arsenal See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	1–1	19%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	LA Breakers FC (8th)	1–1	38%
·	Wed Nov 18	at	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	2–0	71%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	0–2	12%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Sporting California USA (16th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	2–0	68%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Blues (9th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Rebels SC (12th)	1–1	49%
·	Sat May 8	at	Eagles SC (11th)	1–1	28%
·	Sun May 9	at	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	0–2	12%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Legends FC (3rd)	1–2	19%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	0–2	17%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LA Breakers FC

1.50

WLWL

+0.55

-0.16

8.1

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	4–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	0–3
W	Sun Sep 13	at	LV Heat Surf (6th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAFC · Sat Oct 31 vs SLAMMERS FC · Sat Nov 7 at Utah Royals FC-AZ See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	LAFC (10th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	1–1	45%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	1–1	37%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	3–0	78%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Legends FC (3rd)	1–2	15%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Blues (9th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Eagles SC (11th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Rebels SC (12th)	1–1	46%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat May 1	at	Sporting California USA (16th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat May 8	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–2	25%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Blues

-1

1.50

-0.15

+0.06

10.2

L	Sat Sep 19	at	Legends FC (3rd)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Sporting California USA (16th)	2–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs LV Heat Surf · Sat Oct 31 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 vs Beach Futbol Club See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	LV Heat Surf (6th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	0–2	15%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	LAFC (10th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	1–1	49%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	LA Breakers FC (8th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Rebels SC (12th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	2–0	70%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	0–2	12%
·	Sat May 1	vs	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	1–2	16%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Eagles SC (11th)	1–1	33%
·	Sun May 23	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–2	14%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LAFC

-5

1.50

LWLW

+0.23

-0.01

11.0

W	Sun Oct 4	at	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	2–1
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	0–2
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Eagles SC (11th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	1–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 at LA Breakers FC · Sat Oct 31 at Slammers FC HB Koge · Sat Nov 7 vs Legends FC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	LA Breakers FC (8th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	0–3	7%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Legends FC (3rd)	1–2	12%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Blues (9th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Rebels SC (12th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	2–1	72%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	LV Heat Surf (6th)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Sporting California USA (16th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat May 1	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–2	14%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	2–1	60%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eagles SC

1.00

LWL

-0.29

+0.06

9.2

L	Sun Sep 27	at	LAFC (10th)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	4–0
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Legends FC (3rd)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 24 vs San Diego Surf · Sun Nov 1 vs Phoenix Rising FC See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 3 (no score yet)	vs	Sporting California USA (16th)	3–1	79%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	1–2	15%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	3–0	86%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	LA Breakers FC (8th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	LV Heat Surf (6th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	1–1	48%
·	Sat May 15	at	Rebels SC (12th)	1–1	49%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat May 22	at	Blues (9th)	1–1	43%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Rebels SC

-3

1.00

LLW

+0.03

+0.02

11.9

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	0–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC · Sat Oct 31 at San Diego Surf · Sat Nov 21 at Beach Futbol Club See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Legends FC (3rd)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	0–2	11%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	LAFC (10th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	LV Heat Surf (6th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Blues (9th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	LA Breakers FC (8th)	1–1	30%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat May 1	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	1–1	26%
·	Sun May 2	at	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat May 8	at	Sporting California USA (16th)	2–1	53%
·	Sun May 9	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	1–1	53%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Eagles SC (11th)	1–1	28%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Phoenix Rising FC

-3

0.75

LLLW

-0.60

+0.26

13.4

W	Wed Oct 7	at	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	3–1
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	LAFC (10th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	LV Heat Surf (6th)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Legends FC Del Mar · Sat Oct 31 at Sporting California USA · Sun Nov 1 at Eagles SC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Sporting California USA (16th)	2–1	54%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Eagles SC (11th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–2	15%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Blues (9th)	1–1	28%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	0–3	7%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Legends FC (3rd)	0–3	8%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	LA Breakers FC (8th)	1–2	22%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Rebels SC (12th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	1–3	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SLAMMERS FC

0.60

LLWLL

+0.24

-0.07

10.9

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	0–1
L	Sun Oct 4	at	LV Heat Surf (6th)	1–5
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	7–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	0–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Slammers FC HB Koge · Sat Oct 31 at LA Breakers FC · Sat Nov 21 vs Eagles SC See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	LA Breakers FC (8th)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Eagles SC (11th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Sporting California USA (16th)	2–1	67%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	LAFC (10th)	2–1	57%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Rebels SC (12th)	1–1	45%
·	Sat May 1	at	Blues (9th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Legends FC (3rd)	1–2	20%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	2–1	74%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pateadores Soccer Club

-12

0.00

LLLL

+0.73

-0.10

15.4

L	Sat Oct 10	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–4
L	Sat Sep 26	at	LA Breakers FC (8th)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Eagles SC (11th)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LV Heat Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Blues · Sat Nov 7 vs Sporting California USA See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	LV Heat Surf (6th)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Blues (9th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Sporting California USA (16th)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	0–3	3%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Legends FC (3rd)	0–3	3%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	0–2	14%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	0–3	4%
·	Sat May 8	at	LAFC (10th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Rebels SC (12th)	1–1	25%
·	Sat May 15	at	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	1–2	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sporting California USA

-14

0.00

LLLL

+0.95

-0.29

15.2

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Legends FC (3rd)	1–5
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	1–8
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Blues (9th)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 3 at Eagles SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Phoenix Rising FC · Sat Nov 7 at Pateadores Soccer Club See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 3 (no score yet)	at	Eagles SC (11th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	2–2	38%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	LV Heat Surf (6th)	1–4	6%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Arizona Arsenal (17th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	LAFC (10th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat May 1	vs	LA Breakers FC (8th)	1–2	16%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Rebels SC (12th)	1–2	27%
·	Sat May 15	at	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	0–4	3%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Arizona Arsenal

-19

0.00

LLLLL

+0.32

+0.08

16.5

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Legends FC Del Mar (4th)	0–4
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Rebels SC (12th)	0–3
L	Wed Oct 7	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (13th)	1–3
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Beach Futbol Club (2nd)	1–4
L	Sat Sep 26	at	SLAMMERS FC (14th)	0–7

Next: Sun Nov 8 vs LA Breakers FC · Wed Nov 18 vs Utah Royals FC-AZ · Sat Nov 21 vs San Diego Surf See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	LA Breakers FC (8th)	0–3	9%
·	Wed Nov 18	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ (7th)	0–2	12%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	0–4	3%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	LAFC (10th)	1–2	12%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Eagles SC (11th)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (15th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Blues (9th)	0–2	13%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Sporting California USA (16th)	1–2	29%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Legends FC (3rd)	0–4	2%
·	Sat May 22	at	LV Heat Surf (6th)	0–4	3%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.80 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.