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SLAMMERS FC

ECNL Girls · Southwest GU17 · 17 teams · Slammers FC (all teams)

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14th
1-0-4 record · 5 played
0.60 points per game
+0 goal diff · 9–9
LLWLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.8
+0.24 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:00 AM

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SLAMMERS FC
14th · 0.60 PPG
at
Slammers FC HB Koge
1st · 3.00 PPG

Silver Lakes Sports Complex (Norco), Field 22 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.2 for, 2.9 against · 0.53 expected points)

Season so farSLAMMERS FCSlammers FC HB Koge
Position14th1st
Record (W-D-L)1-0-44-0-0
Points per game0.603.00
Goals for / game1.83.8
Goals against / game1.80.8
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L L W L LW W W W
Biggest win7–0 vs Arizona Arsenal8–1 at Sporting California USA
Worst loss1–5 at LV Heat Surf—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.03+1.48
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.24-0.83

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Slammers FC HB Koge score 3.8/game — well above the league's 1.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Slammers FC HB Koge concede only 0.8/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 vs Utah Royals FC-AZ, 0–1 vs Beach Futbol Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 13%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Slammers FC HB Koge have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:00 AM at Silver Lakes Sports Complex (Norco).

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Phoenix Rising FC sit 13th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.60.

    A point moves us above Phoenix Rising FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Slammers FC HB Koge game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SLAMMERS FC – Slammers FC HB Koge) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.50 PPG
14th— holds 14th— holds 15th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG
12th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 4 14th— holds
Draw
0.67 PPG
14th— holds 13th▲ up 1 14th— holds
Loss
0.50 PPG
14th— holds 14th— holds 15th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 14th even if every rival loses, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th 5%
  8. 8th 9%
  9. 9th 12%
  10. 10th 14%
  11. 11th 16%
  12. 12th 16%
  13. 13th 14%
  14. 14th 7%
  15. 15th 3%
  16. 16th 1%
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 3.00 (+2.40) 2nd (2.29) 45 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Beach Futbol Club 3.00 (+2.40) 3rd (2.28) 45 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Legends FC 3.00 (+2.40) 1st (2.30) 45 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Legends FC Del Mar 3.00 (+2.40) 4th (2.16) 45 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
5 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+2.40) 5th (2.09) 45 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
6 LV Heat Surf 1.80 (+1.20) 6th (1.76) 26 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 Utah Royals FC-AZ 1.80 (+1.20) 8th (1.45) 26 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
8 LA Breakers FC 1.50 (+0.90) 7th (1.53) 21 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
9 Blues 1.50 (+0.90) 10th (1.28) 21 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
10 LAFC 1.50 (+0.90) 11th (1.20) 21 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
11 Eagles SC 1.00 (+0.40) 9th (1.38) Win next game
12 Rebels SC 1.00 (+0.40) 13th (1.06) Win next game
13 Phoenix Rising FC 0.75 (+0.15) 14th (0.88) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link SLAMMERS FC to Slammers FC HB Koge through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
-1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 3–0 1–3 1–2 4–0 0–2 7–0 0–3 1–5 1–2 SLAMMERS FC 14th Beach Futbol Club 2nd Legends FC Del Mar 4th Arizona Arsenal 17th LV Heat Surf 6th LA Breakers FC 8th Rebels SC 12th Slammers FC HB Koge 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 7 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.07 · 13th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
10:00 AM
Slammers FC HB Koge
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +12
Away far trip
Silver Lakes Sports Complex (Norco)
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.53 0.59 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
LA Breakers FC
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.20 0.68 Upside
Sat Nov 21
03:15 PM
Eagles SC
11th · 1-0-2 · GD +2
Home
Saddleback College · turf
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.39 0.76 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Sporting California USA
16th · 0-0-4 · GD -14
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.16 0.92 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
TBD
LAFC
10th · 2-0-2 · GD -5
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.92 1.02 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD
Phoenix Rising FC
13th · 1-0-3 · GD -3
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.90 1.10 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
09:00 AM
San Diego Surf
5th · 3-0-0 · GD +8
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.68 1.06 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Rebels SC
12th · 1-0-2 · GD -3
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.58 1.10 Swing game
Sat May 1
TBD
Blues
9th · 1-0-1 · GD -1
Away
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.40 1.13 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
Legends FC
3rd · 4-0-0 · GD +10
Home
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.79 1.10 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
15th · 0-0-4 · GD -12
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–1 2.37 1.18 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 4400 153+12 123.00 WWWW -0.83 +0.20 85% 2.8
2 Beach Futbol Club 4400 142+12 123.00 WWWW -0.66 +0.26 84% 2.8
3 Legends FC 4400 133+10 123.00 WWWW -0.30 -0.01 86% 2.8
4 Legends FC Del Mar 3300 101+9 93.00 WWW -0.98 +0.13 70% 3.6
5 San Diego Surf 3300 102+8 93.00 WWW -1.12 +0.19 58% 4.1
6 LV Heat Surf 5302 138+5 91.80 LWWLW +0.17 -0.11 12% 6.3
7 Utah Royals FC-AZ 5302 67-1 91.80 LWLWW +0.09 +0.10 1% 8.9
8 LA Breakers FC 4202 77+0 61.50 WLWL +0.55 -0.16 2% 8.2
9 Blues 2101 23-1 31.50 WL -0.15 +0.06 1% 10.3
10 LAFC 4202 49-5 61.50 LWLW +0.23 -0.01 0% 11.0
11 Eagles SC 3102 64+2 31.00 LWL -0.29 +0.06 1% 9.2
12 Rebels SC 3102 36-3 31.00 LLW +0.03 +0.02 0% 11.9
13 Phoenix Rising FC 4103 69-3 30.75 LLLW -0.60 +0.26 0% 13.3
14 SLAMMERS FC 5104 99+0 30.60 LLWLL +0.24 -0.07 0% 10.8
15 Pateadores Soccer Club 4004 214-12 00.00 LLLL +0.73 -0.10 0% 15.4
16 Sporting California USA 4004 418-14 00.00 LLLL +0.95 -0.29 0% 15.2
17 Arizona Arsenal 5005 221-19 00.00 LLLLL +0.32 +0.08 0% 16.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.80 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.