Rayados Academy San Diego
Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U17 · 13 teams · Rayados Academy San Diego (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:20 PM
SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, FIELD 1 ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.8 for, 1.2 against · 2.26 expected points)
| Season so far | Rayados Academy San Diego | Reds FC 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-2 | 2-0-4 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 4.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W W | W L L W L |
| Biggest win | 8–0 at Zeta Academy | 1–0 vs EMPIRE SC |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at Chula Vista FC 2 | 1–3 vs Crusaders SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.34 | -0.32 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.46 | +0.17 |
Common opponents: ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 2–0; they 1–2. Zeta Academy — we 8–0; they 0–1. Rangers FC 2 — we 2–3; they 2–1.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Reds FC 2 average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 2 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 70% chance; likely score 2–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Reds FC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rayados Academy San Diego – Reds FC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.14 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.14 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.86 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 2nd— holds | 4th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.71 PPG |
4th▼ down 2 | 4th▼ down 2 | 5th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 3%
- 2nd 29%
- 3rd 38%
- 4th 19%
- 5th 7%
- 6th 3%
- 7th 1%
- 8th <1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.75 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crusaders SC | 2.75 (+0.75) | 1st (2.51) | 54 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection |
How the results connect
20 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Rayados Academy San Diego to Reds FC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.05 · 7th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 12:20 PM |
Reds FC 2 8th · 2-0-4 · GD -3 |
Home SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
2–1 | 2.26 | 2.04 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 7 03:45 PM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +2 |
Away South Fontana |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–2 | 1.60 | 1.98 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 02:00 PM |
EMPIRE SC 11th · 1-0-4 · GD -8 |
Home SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
4–1 | 2.69 | 2.06 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 10:50 AM |
BOCA OC (2) 9th · 1-0-2 · GD -5 |
Home SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
4–1 | 2.42 | 2.10 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
2–3 | 1.01 | 2.00 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7th · 3-0-4 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
2–1 | 2.07 | 2.00 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
Zeta Academy 10th · 2-0-4 · GD -16 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 92% |
5–1 | 2.80 | 2.07 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
Rangers FC 2 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +6 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.41 | 2.02 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
Crusaders SC 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +27 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
2–3 | 0.68 | 1.93 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 09:55 AM |
BOCA OC (2) 9th · 1-0-2 · GD -5 |
Away El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
3–2 | 2.15 | 1.94 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
Elite FC 2 12th · 1-0-5 · GD -32 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
7–1 | 2.86 | 2.00 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Chula Vista FC 2 5th · 4-0-3 · GD +3 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
3–1 | 2.05 | 2.00 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
Reds FC 2 8th · 2-0-4 · GD -3 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.01 | 2.00 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +2 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
3–2 | 1.94 | 2.00 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
EMPIRE SC 11th · 1-0-4 · GD -8 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
3–1 | 2.51 | 2.02 | Bank it |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Crusaders SC 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +27 |
Home SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
2–3 | 0.98 | 1.97 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
AC Brea (2) 13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Whittier College · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
3–2 | 1.90 | 1.97 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
AC Brea (2) 13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–2 | 2.21 | 1.98 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Crusaders SC | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 9 | +27 | 22 | 2.75 | WWDWW | -0.38 | -0.15 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs AC Brea (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs EMPIRE SC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 12 | 2.00 | WWLWL | -0.46 | -0.05 | 88% | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Reds FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs EMPIRE SC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | +0.75 | -0.18 | 41% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs Rayados Academy San Diego See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 9 | 1.80 | LWWLW | +0.10 | -0.21 | 95% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 14 at Zeta Academy See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 12 | 1.71 | WWLLW | -0.40 | +0.09 | 12% | 6.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Crusaders SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 15 vs Zeta Academy See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Rangers FC 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 10 | 1.67 | LWWDL | +0.04 | -0.10 | 50% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs EMPIRE SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Zeta Academy · Sun Nov 8 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 9 | 1.29 | LLWWW | +0.07 | -0.12 | 5% | 7.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Elite FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Reds FC 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 | 1.00 | LWLLW | +0.17 | -0.03 | 1% | 9.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Rayados Academy San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs Elite FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | BOCA OC (2) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 | 1.00 | LWL | +1.47 | -0.20 | 2% | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at EMPIRE SC · Sat Oct 31 at Zeta Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC 2 See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Zeta Academy | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 6 | 1.00 | WLLLL | +0.39 | +0.02 | 0% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Elite FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sat Nov 7 at Rangers FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | EMPIRE SC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLWL | -0.95 | +0.35 | 0% | 11.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Rangers FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at Crusaders SC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Elite FC 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 40 | -32 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLWL | +0.82 | +0.04 | 0% | 12.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Zeta Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at BOCA OC (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | AC Brea (2) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.03 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Oct 31 at Crusaders SC · Sat Nov 14 at Elite FC 2 · Sat Mar 20 at Zeta Academy See all 24 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.