TableChase Clubs

Crusaders SC

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U17 · 13 teams · Crusaders SC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 11 minutes ago.
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1st
7-1-0 record · 8 played
2.75 points per game
+27 goal diff · 36–9
WWDWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.1
-0.38 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

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Crusaders SC
1st · 2.75 PPG
at
Chula Vista FC 2
5th · 1.71 PPG

O'Farrell Charter High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.0 for, 1.5 against · 2.20 expected points)

Season so farCrusaders SCChula Vista FC 2
Position1st5th
Record (W-D-L)7-1-04-0-3
Points per game2.751.71
Goals for / game4.52.1
Goals against / game1.11.7
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)W W D W WW L L W W
Biggest win13–1 vs Elite FC 23–0 vs EMPIRE SC
Worst loss—0–3 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.30+0.20
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.38-0.40

Common opponents: ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 2–0; they 1–0. Zeta Academy — we 7–0; they 5–3. FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) — we 5–4; they 0–2. ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 — we 2–1; they 0–3. Elite FC 2 — we 13–1; they 2–3.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 68% / draw 15% / loss 16%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at O'Farrell Charter High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Chula Vista FC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Crusaders SC – Chula Vista FC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.78 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
2.78 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.56 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.44 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

90% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.1 average finish
  1. 1st 90%
  2. 2nd 8%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

24 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link Crusaders SC to Chula Vista FC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

16 favour us
3 even
5 favour them
+2.7 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–0 0–1 5–4 2–0 2–1 3–0 7–0 3–5 13–1 3–2 3–1 1–0 0–3 1–2 1–1 2–1 0–1 3–1 2–6 2–1 3–10 1–4 Crusaders SC 1st ALBION SC San Diego… 7th FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 3rd ALBION SC Santa Ana… 4th Zeta Academy 10th Elite FC 2 12th Reds FC 2 8th Rangers FC 2 6th BOCA OC (2) 9th EMPIRE SC 11th Rayados Academy San… 2nd Chula Vista FC 2 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.15 · 10th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +3
Away
O'Farrell Charter High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
3–1 2.20 2.69 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
12:45 PM
AC Brea (2)
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Pershing Middle School
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
4–1 2.57 2.68 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
11:05 AM
EMPIRE SC
11th · 1-0-4 · GD -8
Home
Pershing Middle School
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
4–0 2.84 2.69 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
7th · 3-0-4 · GD +0
Away
Hickman Fields
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.20 2.65 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
BOCA OC (2)
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -5
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
4–1 2.70 2.66 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
12:00 PM
Zeta Academy
10th · 2-0-4 · GD -16
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
5–1 2.84 2.67 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.11 2.63 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.59 2.57 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +14
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–2 2.19 2.54 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +6
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.17 2.52 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–0 2.54 2.52 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -32
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
7–1 2.95 2.55 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.44 2.54 Bank it
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
11th · 1-0-4 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
4–1 2.74 2.55 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +14
Away
SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
3–2 1.86 2.52 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
AC Brea (2)
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.35 2.51 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Crusaders SC 8710 369+27 222.75 WWDWW -0.38 -0.15 100% 1.1
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 6402 2612+14 122.00 WWLWL -0.46 -0.05 87% 3.2
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3201 75+2 62.00 WWL +0.75 -0.18 43% 4.9
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 5302 197+12 91.80 LWWLW +0.10 -0.21 94% 2.6
5 Chula Vista FC 2 7403 1512+3 121.71 WWLLW -0.40 +0.09 13% 6.4
6 Rangers FC 2 6312 137+6 101.67 LWWDL +0.04 -0.10 48% 4.8
7 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7304 1010+0 91.29 LLWWW +0.07 -0.12 5% 7.3
8 Reds FC 2 6204 58-3 61.00 LWLLW +0.17 -0.03 0% 9.2
9 BOCA OC (2) 3102 49-5 31.00 LWL +1.47 -0.20 2% 8.5
10 Zeta Academy 6204 824-16 61.00 WLLLL +0.39 +0.02 0% 11.3
11 EMPIRE SC 5104 513-8 30.60 LLLWL -0.95 +0.35 0% 11.7
12 Elite FC 2 6105 840-32 30.50 LLLWL +0.82 +0.04 0% 12.7
13 AC Brea (2) 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.03 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.