TableChase Clubs

EMPIRE SC

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U17 · 13 teams · EMPIRE SC (all teams)

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11th
1-0-4 record · 5 played
0.60 points per game
-8 goal diff · 5–13
LLLWLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.7
-0.95 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:00 AM

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EMPIRE SC
11th · 0.60 PPG
vs
BOCA OC (2)
9th · 1.00 PPG

Eastvale Community Park, Full Size Field 12 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.7 for, 2.2 against · 1.08 expected points)

Season so farEMPIRE SCBOCA OC (2)
Position11th9th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-41-0-2
Points per game0.601.00
Goals for / game1.01.3
Goals against / game2.63.0
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L W L L LL W L
Biggest win2–1 vs Elite FC 21–0 at Rangers FC 2
Worst loss1–5 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1)2–6 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.23-0.47
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.95+1.47

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 at Reds FC 2, 0–3 at Chula Vista FC 2.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 29%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Zeta Academy sit 10th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.60.

    A win moves us above Zeta Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the BOCA OC (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (EMPIRE SC – BOCA OC (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.50 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG
9th▲ up 2 9th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 1
Draw
0.67 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Loss
0.50 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 5%
  11. 11th 33%
  12. 12th 46%
  13. 13th 14%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Crusaders SC 2.75 (+2.15) 1st (2.51) 63 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 2.00 (+1.40) 3rd (1.98) 45 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 2.00 (+1.40) 5th (1.72) 45 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 1.80 (+1.20) 2nd (2.10) 41 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
5 Chula Vista FC 2 1.71 (+1.11) 6th (1.53) 39 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
6 Rangers FC 2 1.67 (+1.07) 4th (1.75) 38 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
7 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 1.29 (+0.69) 8th (1.41) 28 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
8 Reds FC 2 1.00 (+0.40) 10th (1.14) Win next game
9 BOCA OC (2) 1.00 (+0.40) 9th (1.24) Win next game
10 Zeta Academy 1.00 (+0.40) 11th (0.75) Win next game

How the results connect

9 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link EMPIRE SC to BOCA OC (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
9 favour them
-4.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 1–3 3–1 2–1 0–1 2–1 0–7 6–2 0–3 0–3 1–5 0–2 1–2 0–6 2–3 0–7 1–13 EMPIRE SC 11th Reds FC 2 8th Elite FC 2 12th Chula Vista FC 2 5th ALBION SC San Diego… 7th Zeta Academy 10th Crusaders SC 1st Rangers FC 2 6th ALBION SC Santa Ana… 4th BOCA OC (2) 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.35 · 1st hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
08:00 AM
BOCA OC (2)
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -5
Home
Eastvale Community Park
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–2 1.08 0.68 Upside
Sun Nov 1
04:15 PM
Rangers FC 2
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +6
Away
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.44 0.65 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:05 AM
Crusaders SC
1st · 7-1-0 · GD +27
Away
Pershing Middle School
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.11 0.58 Upside
Sun Nov 8
02:00 PM
Rayados Academy San Diego
2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +14
Away
SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.24 0.54 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–1 1.11 0.60 Upside
Sat Mar 13
03:15 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12
Away
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.22 0.56 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.79 0.58 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -32
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–2 1.75 0.67 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
10th · 2-0-4 · GD -16
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–1 1.64 0.74 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.47 0.72 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.34 0.70 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
7th · 3-0-4 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.67 0.70 Upside
Sun Apr 18
09:55 AM
BOCA OC (2)
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -5
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.82 0.70 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +6
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–2 0.62 0.70 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
1st · 7-1-0 · GD +27
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.19 0.67 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +14
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.39 0.66 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +2
Home
Eastvale Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.67 0.66 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
AC Brea (2)
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Eastvale Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.86 0.67 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
AC Brea (2)
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Whittier College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–2 0.62 0.67 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Crusaders SC 8710 369+27 222.75 WWDWW -0.38 -0.15 100% 1.1
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 6402 2612+14 122.00 WWLWL -0.46 -0.05 88% 3.2
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3201 75+2 62.00 WWL +0.75 -0.18 41% 5.0
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 5302 197+12 91.80 LWWLW +0.10 -0.21 95% 2.6
5 Chula Vista FC 2 7403 1512+3 121.71 WWLLW -0.40 +0.09 12% 6.5
6 Rangers FC 2 6312 137+6 101.67 LWWDL +0.04 -0.10 50% 4.7
7 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7304 1010+0 91.29 LLWWW +0.07 -0.12 5% 7.3
8 Reds FC 2 6204 58-3 61.00 LWLLW +0.17 -0.03 1% 9.2
9 BOCA OC (2) 3102 49-5 31.00 LWL +1.47 -0.20 2% 8.5
10 Zeta Academy 6204 824-16 61.00 WLLLL +0.39 +0.02 0% 11.3
11 EMPIRE SC 5104 513-8 30.60 LLLWL -0.95 +0.35 0% 11.7
12 Elite FC 2 6105 840-32 30.50 LLLWL +0.82 +0.04 0% 12.7
13 AC Brea (2) 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.03 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.