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FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U17 · 13 teams · FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (all teams)

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3rd
2-0-1 record · 3 played
2.00 points per game
+2 goal diff · 7–5
WWLlast 3
45% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.9
+0.75 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

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FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
3rd · 2.00 PPG
at

Hickman Fields, Hickman #1 11 v 11 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.7 for, 1.6 against · 1.44 expected points)

Season so farFLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)ALBION SC San Diego (1)
Position3rd7th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-13-0-4
Points per game2.001.29
Goals for / game2.31.4
Goals against / game1.71.4
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless03
Form (recent first)L W WW W W L L
Biggest win2–0 vs Chula Vista FC 25–1 at EMPIRE SC
Worst loss4–5 at Crusaders SC0–2 at Crusaders SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.47+0.06
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.75+0.07

Common opponents: Reds FC 2 — we 1–0; they 2–1. Chula Vista FC 2 — we 2–0; they 0–1. Crusaders SC — we 4–5; they 0–2.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 40%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    ALBION SC San Diego (1) have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Hickman Fields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Rayados Academy San Diego sit 2nd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.

    A point moves us above Rayados Academy San Diego on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC San Diego (1) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) – ALBION SC San Diego (1)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.75 PPG
4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 2
Win
2.25 PPG
2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Draw
1.75 PPG
4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 2
Loss
1.50 PPG
7th▼ down 4 7th▼ down 4 7th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
45% top 4
55% below the top 4
4.9 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 6%
  3. 3rd 13%
  4. 4th 26%
  5. 5th 24%
  6. 6th 15%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Crusaders SC 2.75 (+0.75) 1st (2.51) 60 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 2.00 (+0.00) 3rd (1.98) A point next game

How the results connect

13 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) to ALBION SC San Diego (1) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
3 even
2 favour them
+1.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–0 1–2 4–5 2–0 2–0 1–0 1–1 2–1 3–1 3–0 1–5 0–1 1–2 1–0 5–3 2–1 7–0 FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 3rd Reds FC 2 8th Crusaders SC 1st Chula Vista FC 2 5th Rangers FC 2 6th EMPIRE SC 11th Zeta Academy 10th ALBION SC San Diego… 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.18 · 11th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
7th · 3-0-4 · GD +0
Away
Hickman Fields
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.44 1.86 Upside
Sun Nov 1
03:15 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12
Away
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.76 1.64 Upside
Sat Nov 7
03:45 PM
Rayados Academy San Diego
2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +14
Home
South Fontana
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.23 1.57 Upside
Sun Nov 8
04:15 PM
Rangers FC 2
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +6
Home
RJRSP
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.39 1.54 Upside
Sun Nov 15
05:00 PM
Reds FC 2
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -3
Away
Portola Springs Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.67 1.56 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.38 1.54 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
1st · 7-1-0 · GD +27
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–3 0.73 1.46 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -32
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
4–1 2.67 1.57 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
11th · 1-0-4 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
3–1 2.39 1.64 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
09:55 AM
BOCA OC (2)
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -5
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.76 1.65 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
10th · 2-0-4 · GD -16
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
3–1 2.33 1.70 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
04:15 PM
Zeta Academy
10th · 2-0-4 · GD -16
Home
RJRSP
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.55 1.75 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
7th · 3-0-4 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
1–1 1.71 1.75 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
04:15 PM
BOCA OC (2)
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -5
Home
RJRSP
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.05 1.77 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.03 1.73 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +14
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
25%
2–3 0.90 1.68 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +6
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.11 1.65 Upside
Tue May 25
03:00 PM
Elite FC 2
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -32
Home
South Fontana
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
5–1 2.81 1.71 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
11th · 1-0-4 · GD -8
Away
Eastvale Community Park
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.16 1.73 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
AC Brea (2)
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–2 1.51 1.72 Swing game
Sat May 29
04:15 PM
AC Brea (2)
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
RJRSP
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.82 1.72 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Crusaders SC 8710 369+27 222.75 WWDWW -0.38 -0.15 100% 1.1
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 6402 2612+14 122.00 WWLWL -0.46 -0.05 88% 3.2
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3201 75+2 62.00 WWL +0.75 -0.18 45% 4.9
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 5302 197+12 91.80 LWWLW +0.10 -0.21 95% 2.6
5 Chula Vista FC 2 7403 1512+3 121.71 WWLLW -0.40 +0.09 13% 6.4
6 Rangers FC 2 6312 137+6 101.67 LWWDL +0.04 -0.10 45% 4.8
7 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7304 1010+0 91.29 LLWWW +0.07 -0.12 4% 7.3
8 Reds FC 2 6204 58-3 61.00 LWLLW +0.17 -0.03 0% 9.2
9 BOCA OC (2) 3102 49-5 31.00 LWL +1.47 -0.20 2% 8.5
10 Zeta Academy 6204 824-16 61.00 WLLLL +0.39 +0.02 0% 11.4
11 EMPIRE SC 5104 513-8 30.60 LLLWL -0.95 +0.35 0% 11.7
12 Elite FC 2 6105 840-32 30.50 LLLWL +0.82 +0.04 0% 12.7
13 AC Brea (2) 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.03 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.