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Rangers FC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U17 · 13 teams · Rangers FC (all teams)

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6th
3-1-2 record · 6 played
1.67 points per game
+6 goal diff · 13–7
LWWDLlast 5
45% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.8
+0.04 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 04:15 PM

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Rangers FC 2
6th · 1.67 PPG
vs
EMPIRE SC
11th · 0.60 PPG

Fullerton College, Sherbeck Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.7 for, 0.9 against · 2.41 expected points)

Season so farRangers FC 2EMPIRE SC
Position6th11th
Record (W-D-L)3-1-21-0-4
Points per game1.670.60
Goals for / game2.21.0
Goals against / game1.22.6
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)L D W W LL W L L L
Biggest win6–0 vs Elite FC 22–1 vs Elite FC 2
Worst loss0–1 vs BOCA OC (2)1–5 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.63-1.23
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.04-0.95

Common opponents: Elite FC 2 — we 6–0; they 2–1. ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 2–1; they 1–5. Reds FC 2 — we 1–2; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    EMPIRE SC average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 2 of 5.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs BOCA OC (2).

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 75% chance; likely score 2–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • What a win does
    Chula Vista FC 2 sit 5th on 1.71 PPG; we are on 1.67.

    A point moves us above Chula Vista FC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the EMPIRE SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rangers FC 2 – EMPIRE SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.86 PPG
4th▲ up 2 4th▲ up 2 7th▼ down 1
Win
1.86 PPG
4th▲ up 2 4th▲ up 2 7th▼ down 1
Draw
1.57 PPG
6th— holds 5th▲ up 1 7th▼ down 1
Loss
1.43 PPG
6th— holds 8th▼ down 2 9th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–0 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
45% top 4
55% below the top 4
4.8 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 6%
  3. 3rd 14%
  4. 4th 26%
  5. 5th 24%
  6. 6th 17%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Crusaders SC 2.75 (+1.08) 1st (2.51) 56 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 2.00 (+0.33) 3rd (1.98) 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 2.00 (+0.33) 5th (1.72) 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 1.80 (+0.13) 2nd (2.10) A point next game
5 Chula Vista FC 2 1.71 (+0.04) 6th (1.53) A point next game

How the results connect

17 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Rangers FC 2 to EMPIRE SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

15 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
+4.9 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 1–0 2–1 5–1 6–0 1–2 0–1 3–2 3–2 1–4 3–0 1–2 1–1 3–1 0–1 2–1 2–0 2–0 Rangers FC 2 6th Reds FC 2 8th ALBION SC San Diego… 7th Elite FC 2 12th Rayados Academy San… 2nd Crusaders SC 1st Zeta Academy 10th Chula Vista FC 2 5th EMPIRE SC 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.10 · 8th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
04:15 PM
EMPIRE SC
11th · 1-0-4 · GD -8
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
2–0 2.41 1.77 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
04:15 PM
Zeta Academy
10th · 2-0-4 · GD -16
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.56 1.87 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
04:15 PM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +2
Away
RJRSP
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.39 1.82 Upside
Sat Nov 21
04:15 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.19 1.76 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -32
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
4–1 2.68 1.84 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
09:55 AM
BOCA OC (2)
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -5
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
2–1 1.86 1.84 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
7th · 3-0-4 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
1–1 1.79 1.84 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +14
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.39 1.81 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
1–1 1.77 1.80 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
1st · 7-1-0 · GD +27
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.66 1.73 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
1–0 1.96 1.75 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
11th · 1-0-4 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.20 1.77 Swing game
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
10th · 2-0-4 · GD -16
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.36 1.80 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–1 1.67 1.80 Swing game
Sat May 8
12:00 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12
Away
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.93 1.75 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +3
Away
Hoover High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
1–1 1.51 1.74 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
AC Brea (2)
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Grass - Whittier College · grass
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–1 1.63 1.74 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
AC Brea (2)
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.91 1.75 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Crusaders SC 8710 369+27 222.75 WWDWW -0.38 -0.15 100% 1.1
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 6402 2612+14 122.00 WWLWL -0.46 -0.05 88% 3.2
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3201 75+2 62.00 WWL +0.75 -0.18 45% 4.9
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 5302 197+12 91.80 LWWLW +0.10 -0.21 95% 2.6
5 Chula Vista FC 2 7403 1512+3 121.71 WWLLW -0.40 +0.09 13% 6.4
6 Rangers FC 2 6312 137+6 101.67 LWWDL +0.04 -0.10 45% 4.8
7 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7304 1010+0 91.29 LLWWW +0.07 -0.12 4% 7.3
8 Reds FC 2 6204 58-3 61.00 LWLLW +0.17 -0.03 0% 9.2
9 BOCA OC (2) 3102 49-5 31.00 LWL +1.47 -0.20 2% 8.5
10 Zeta Academy 6204 824-16 61.00 WLLLL +0.39 +0.02 0% 11.4
11 EMPIRE SC 5104 513-8 30.60 LLLWL -0.95 +0.35 0% 11.7
12 Elite FC 2 6105 840-32 30.50 LLLWL +0.82 +0.04 0% 12.7
13 AC Brea (2) 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.03 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.