AC Brea (2)
Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U17 · 13 teams · AC Brea (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 12:45 PM
Pershing Middle School, Pershing MS Field 1 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.4 for, 4.1 against · 0.33 expected points)
| Season so far | AC Brea (2) | Crusaders SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 13th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 7-1-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 2.75 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 4.5 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | W W D W W |
| Biggest win | — | 13–1 vs Elite FC 2 |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +2.30 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | -0.38 |
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Crusaders SC score 4.5/game — well above the league's 2.3.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
Crusaders SC concede only 1.1/game with 2 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 8%; a draw (9%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 12:45 PM at Pershing Middle School.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Elite FC 2 sit 12th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Elite FC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Crusaders SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (AC Brea (2) – Crusaders SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
13th— holds | 13th— holds | 13th— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 12 | 1st▲ up 12 | 1st▲ up 12 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
8th▲ up 5 | 9th▲ up 4 | 11th▲ up 2 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
13th— holds | 13th— holds | 13th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 2%
- 4th 5%
- 5th 10%
- 6th 15%
- 7th 21%
- 8th 19%
- 9th 16%
- 10th 9%
- 11th 1%
- 12th <1%
- 13th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 24 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crusaders SC | 2.75 (+2.75) | 1st (2.51) | A point next game |
| 2 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 2.00 (+2.00) | 3rd (1.98) | A point next game |
| 3 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 2.00 (+2.00) | 5th (1.72) | A point next game |
| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 1.80 (+1.80) | 2nd (2.10) | A point next game |
| 5 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 1.71 (+1.71) | 6th (1.53) | A point next game |
| 6 | Rangers FC 2 | 1.67 (+1.67) | 4th (1.75) | A point next game |
| 7 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 1.29 (+1.29) | 8th (1.41) | A point next game |
| 8 | Reds FC 2 | 1.00 (+1.00) | 10th (1.14) | A point next game |
| 9 | BOCA OC (2) | 1.00 (+1.00) | 9th (1.24) | A point next game |
| 10 | Zeta Academy | 1.00 (+1.00) | 11th (0.75) | A point next game |
| 11 | EMPIRE SC | 0.60 (+0.60) | 12th (0.67) | Already ahead |
| 12 | Elite FC 2 | 0.50 (+0.50) | 13th (0.44) | Already ahead |
Position over the season
11 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.03 · 5th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31 12:45 PM |
Crusaders SC 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +27 |
Away Pershing Middle School |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–4 | 0.33 | 0.33 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 04:00 PM |
Elite FC 2 12th · 1-0-5 · GD -32 |
Away Rosetta Canyon Sports Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
4–1 | 2.51 | 1.42 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
Zeta Academy 10th · 2-0-4 · GD -16 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
3–1 | 2.12 | 1.65 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–3 | 0.55 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
Reds FC 2 8th · 2-0-4 · GD -3 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
1–1 | 1.46 | 1.40 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
Chula Vista FC 2 5th · 4-0-3 · GD +3 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–2 | 1.14 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7th · 3-0-4 · GD +0 |
Away Hickman Fields |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
1–1 | 1.22 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
BOCA OC (2) 9th · 1-0-2 · GD -5 |
Away El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–2 | 1.51 | 1.35 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Crusaders SC 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +27 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–3 | 0.52 | 1.26 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Rayados Academy San Diego 2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +14 |
Home Whittier College · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
2–3 | 0.95 | 1.23 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Zeta Academy 10th · 2-0-4 · GD -16 |
Home Whittier College · turf? |
●○○○○ Favorable | 75% |
3–1 | 2.38 | 1.34 | Bank it |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Rangers FC 2 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +6 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–2 | 0.89 | 1.30 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Elite FC 2 12th · 1-0-5 · GD -32 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
5–1 | 2.71 | 1.41 | Bank it |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7th · 3-0-4 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
1–1 | 1.49 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Reds FC 2 8th · 2-0-4 · GD -3 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
1–1 | 1.72 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +2 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.30 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12 |
Home Whittier College · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.79 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
EMPIRE SC 11th · 1-0-4 · GD -8 |
Home Whittier College · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
2–1 | 2.22 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
EMPIRE SC 11th · 1-0-4 · GD -8 |
Away Eastvale Community Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.96 | 1.46 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Chula Vista FC 2 5th · 4-0-3 · GD +3 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–1 | 1.43 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Rangers FC 2 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +6 |
Home Grass - Whittier College · grass |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–2 | 1.15 | 1.45 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
BOCA OC (2) 9th · 1-0-2 · GD -5 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–1 | 1.82 | 1.46 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Rayados Academy San Diego 2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +14 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
2–3 | 0.65 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sat May 29 04:15 PM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +2 |
Away RJRSP |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 1.00 | 1.41 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Crusaders SC | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 9 | +27 | 22 | 2.75 | WWDWW | -0.38 | -0.15 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs AC Brea (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs EMPIRE SC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 12 | 2.00 | WWLWL | -0.46 | -0.05 | 87% | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Reds FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs EMPIRE SC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | +0.75 | -0.18 | 43% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs Rayados Academy San Diego See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 9 | 1.80 | LWWLW | +0.10 | -0.21 | 94% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 14 at Zeta Academy See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 12 | 1.71 | WWLLW | -0.40 | +0.09 | 13% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Crusaders SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 15 vs Zeta Academy See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Rangers FC 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 10 | 1.67 | LWWDL | +0.04 | -0.10 | 48% | 4.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs EMPIRE SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Zeta Academy · Sun Nov 8 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 9 | 1.29 | LLWWW | +0.07 | -0.12 | 5% | 7.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Elite FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Reds FC 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 | 1.00 | LWLLW | +0.17 | -0.03 | 0% | 9.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Rayados Academy San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs Elite FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | BOCA OC (2) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 | 1.00 | LWL | +1.47 | -0.20 | 2% | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at EMPIRE SC · Sat Oct 31 at Zeta Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC 2 See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Zeta Academy | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 6 | 1.00 | WLLLL | +0.39 | +0.02 | 0% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Elite FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sat Nov 7 at Rangers FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | EMPIRE SC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLWL | -0.95 | +0.35 | 0% | 11.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Rangers FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at Crusaders SC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Elite FC 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 40 | -32 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLWL | +0.82 | +0.04 | 0% | 12.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Zeta Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at BOCA OC (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | AC Brea (2) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.03 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Oct 31 at Crusaders SC · Sat Nov 14 at Elite FC 2 · Sat Mar 20 at Zeta Academy See all 24 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.