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Reds FC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U16 · 13 teams · SoCal Reds FC (all teams)

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13th
0-1-5 record · 6 played
0.17 points per game
-16 goal diff · 5–21
DLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.0
-0.06 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:30 AM

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Reds FC 2
13th · 0.17 PPG
at

MEADOW PARK, FIELD 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 for, 2.1 against · 0.75 expected points)

Season so farReds FC 2Rayados Academy San Diego
Position13th10th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-52-1-4
Points per game0.171.00
Goals for / game0.81.0
Goals against / game3.51.9
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)L L L L DL W L W D
Biggest win—3–1 at AC Brea (2)
Worst loss0–6 at Zeta Academy1–5 vs Elite FC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.83-0.55
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.06+0.12

Common opponents: Zeta Academy — we 0–6; they 1–1. ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 1–2; they 1–2. Rangers FC 2 — we 0–1; they 1–0.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Rayados Academy San Diego average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.2); blanked in 2 of 7.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–6 at Zeta Academy, 0–1 vs Rangers FC 2.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 18%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:30 AM at MEADOW PARK.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Rayados Academy San Diego game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Reds FC 2 – Rayados Academy San Diego) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.14 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds
Win
0.57 PPG
13th— holds 12th▲ up 1 13th— holds
Draw
0.29 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds
Loss
0.14 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th 3%
  13. 13th 96%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.29 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Elite FC 2 2.50 (+2.33) 1st (2.27) 59 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
2 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 2.14 (+1.97) 6th (1.55) 51 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
3 BOCA OC (2) 2.00 (+1.83) 2nd (2.03) 47 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
4 EMPIRE SC 2.00 (+1.83) 4th (1.70) 47 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
5 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 2.00 (+1.83) 3rd (1.84) 47 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
6 Crusaders SC 1.50 (+1.33) 5th (1.61) 35 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
7 AC Brea (2) 1.50 (+1.33) 7th (1.50) 35 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
8 Zeta Academy 1.33 (+1.16) 9th (1.18) 31 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
9 Chula Vista FC 2 1.00 (+0.83) 8th (1.18) 23 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
10 Rayados Academy San Diego 1.00 (+0.83) 11th (1.05) 23 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
11 Rangers FC 2 1.00 (+0.83) 12th (1.00) 23 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
12 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 0.67 (+0.50) 10th (1.13) 16 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection

How the results connect

20 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Reds FC 2 to Rayados Academy San Diego through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
2 even
12 favour them
-1.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 2–1 0–1 0–1 0–6 1–1 3–2 0–4 5–1 1–2 3–4 3–0 4–2 1–6 6–0 1–4 2–0 1–1 Reds FC 2 13th ALBION SC San Diego… 2nd Rangers FC 2 11th Zeta Academy 8th Crusaders SC 6th EMPIRE SC 4th Elite FC 2 1st Chula Vista FC 2 9th Rayados Academy San… 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.25 · 1st hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
10th · 2-1-4 · GD -6
Away
MEADOW PARK
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.75 0.25 Upside
Sun Nov 1
11:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -4
Away
O'Farrell Charter High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.55 0.29 Upside
Sat Nov 7
03:45 PM
AC Brea (2)
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Away
Whittier College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.35 0.29 Upside
Sun Nov 8
03:00 PM
Elite FC 2
1st · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Home
Orange County Great Park
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.19 0.28 Upside
Sun Nov 15
03:00 PM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
12th · 0-2-1 · GD -1
Home
Portola Springs Park
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.79 0.33 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
8th · 2-2-2 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.73 0.36 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.32 0.36 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.42 0.36 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.32 0.36 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
BOCA OC (2)
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +7
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.25 0.35 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
6th · 4-0-4 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.22 0.35 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
11th · 2-0-4 · GD -6
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
20%
0–1 0.85 0.37 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
10th · 2-1-4 · GD -6
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–1 0.97 0.41 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.76 0.42 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.53 0.43 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
1st · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.11 0.41 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
BOCA OC (2)
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +7
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–4 0.15 0.40 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3
Home
Portola Springs Park
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–2 0.47 0.40 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Elite FC 2 6501 2310+13 152.50 WLWWW -0.01 -0.14 100% 1.4
2 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7502 1616+0 152.14 WWWWW -0.40 +0.20 22% 6.0
3 BOCA OC (2) 3201 125+7 62.00 WWL +0.14 -0.11 93% 2.4
4 EMPIRE SC 5311 128+4 102.00 DWWWL -0.20 +0.04 48% 4.8
5 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6402 129+3 122.00 LWWWL +0.41 -0.17 74% 3.7
6 Crusaders SC 8404 2922+7 121.50 WLLWL -0.01 -0.04 39% 5.2
7 AC Brea (2) 2101 54+1 31.50 LW -0.04 +0.01 21% 6.3
8 Zeta Academy 6222 1416-2 81.33 DLDWL -0.29 +0.17 1% 9.2
9 Chula Vista FC 2 7214 1216-4 71.00 LLLLW +0.17 +0.00 2% 9.1
10 Rayados Academy San Diego 7214 713-6 71.00 DWLWL +0.12 +0.05 1% 10.1
11 Rangers FC 2 6204 410-6 61.00 LLLWW +0.07 +0.05 0% 10.5
12 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3021 45-1 20.67 DDL -0.52 +0.12 1% 9.3
13 Reds FC 2 6015 521-16 10.17 DLLLL -0.06 +0.25 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.15 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.