EMPIRE SC
Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U16 · 13 teams · EMPIRE SC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:00 AM
Eastvale Community Park, Full Size Field 12 ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.1 for, 2.5 against · 1.22 expected points)
| Season so far | EMPIRE SC | BOCA OC (2) |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-1 | 2-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 4.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W W D | L W W |
| Biggest win | 4–1 at Reds FC 2 | 7–1 vs Crusaders SC |
| Worst loss | 1–4 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 2–3 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.39 | +1.17 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.20 | +0.14 |
Game plan
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Respect their attack
BOCA OC (2) score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.2.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 34%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
BOCA OC (2) sit 3rd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.A point moves us above BOCA OC (2) on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the BOCA OC (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (EMPIRE SC – BOCA OC (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.83 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
| Win 2.17 PPG |
2nd▲ up 2 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.83 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
| Loss 1.67 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 4th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 2%
- 2nd 9%
- 3rd 18%
- 4th 22%
- 5th 19%
- 6th 15%
- 7th 9%
- 8th 4%
- 9th 2%
- 10th 1%
- 11th <1%
- 12th <1%
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.79 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elite FC 2 | 2.50 (+0.50) | 1st (2.27) | 50 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection |
| 2 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 2.14 (+0.14) | 6th (1.55) | A point next game |
| 3 | BOCA OC (2) | 2.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (2.03) | A point next game |
How the results connect
9 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link EMPIRE SC to BOCA OC (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.04 · 7th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 10:00 AM |
BOCA OC (2) 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +7 |
Home Eastvale Community Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.22 | 1.87 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 06:15 PM |
Rangers FC 2 11th · 2-0-4 · GD -6 |
Away Fullerton College · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
1–1 | 1.82 | 1.86 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 09:00 AM |
Crusaders SC 6th · 4-0-4 · GD +7 |
Away Pershing Middle School |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–2 | 1.25 | 1.79 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 10:40 AM |
Rayados Academy San Diego 10th · 2-1-4 · GD -6 |
Away SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
1–1 | 1.78 | 1.79 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 02:00 PM |
AC Brea (2) 7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1 |
Home Eastvale Community Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.70 | 1.78 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 01:30 PM |
AC Brea (2) 7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1 |
Away Whittier College · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
2–2 | 1.39 | 1.74 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
Reds FC 2 13th · 0-1-5 · GD -16 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
3–1 | 2.57 | 1.81 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 13 01:15 PM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3 |
Away Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–1 | 1.19 | 1.76 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
Chula Vista FC 2 9th · 2-1-4 · GD -4 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.94 | 1.78 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
Elite FC 2 1st · 5-0-1 · GD +13 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–3 | 0.79 | 1.71 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
Zeta Academy 8th · 2-2-2 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 1.99 | 1.73 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 12th · 0-2-1 · GD -1 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
1–1 | 1.62 | 1.72 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
1–1 | 1.46 | 1.71 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–2 | 1.51 | 1.70 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 11:50 AM |
BOCA OC (2) 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +7 |
Away El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●●● Very tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.92 | 1.66 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
Rangers FC 2 11th · 2-0-4 · GD -6 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
1–0 | 2.05 | 1.68 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
Crusaders SC 6th · 4-0-4 · GD +7 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.60 | 1.67 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
Rayados Academy San Diego 10th · 2-1-4 · GD -6 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.03 | 1.69 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 12th · 0-2-1 · GD -1 |
Home Eastvale Community Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
2–1 | 1.88 | 1.70 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Elite FC 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 10 | +13 | 15 | 2.50 | WLWWW | -0.01 | -0.14 | 99% | 1.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Zeta Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at BOCA OC (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +0 | 15 | 2.14 | WWWWW | -0.40 | +0.20 | 24% | 5.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Elite FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | BOCA OC (2) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | +0.14 | -0.11 | 92% | 2.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at EMPIRE SC · Sat Oct 31 at Zeta Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC 2 See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | EMPIRE SC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 10 | 2.00 | DWWWL | -0.20 | +0.04 | 50% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Rangers FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at Crusaders SC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 | 2.00 | LWWWL | +0.41 | -0.17 | 74% | 3.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 14 at Zeta Academy See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Crusaders SC | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 12 | 1.50 | WLLWL | -0.01 | -0.04 | 35% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs AC Brea (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs EMPIRE SC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | AC Brea (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | LW | -0.04 | +0.01 | 21% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Crusaders SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs Chula Vista FC 2 See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Zeta Academy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 8 | 1.33 | DLDWL | -0.29 | +0.17 | 1% | 9.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Elite FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sat Nov 7 at Rangers FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 7 | 1.00 | LLLLW | +0.17 | +0.00 | 1% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Crusaders SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at AC Brea (2) See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 | 1.00 | DWLWL | +0.12 | +0.05 | 0% | 10.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Reds FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs EMPIRE SC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Rangers FC 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 | 1.00 | LLLWW | +0.07 | +0.05 | 0% | 10.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs EMPIRE SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Zeta Academy · Sun Nov 8 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 | DDL | -0.52 | +0.12 | 1% | 9.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs Rayados Academy San Diego See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Reds FC 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 1 | 0.17 | DLLLL | -0.06 | +0.25 | 0% | 13.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Rayados Academy San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at AC Brea (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.15 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.