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FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U16 · 13 teams · FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (all teams)

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12th
0-2-1 record · 3 played
0.67 points per game
-1 goal diff · 4–5
DDLlast 3
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.3
-0.52 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM

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FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
12th · 0.67 PPG
at

Hickman Fields, Hickman #2 11 v 11 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.7 for, 2.1 against · 1.12 expected points)

Season so farFLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)ALBION SC San Diego (1)
Position12th2nd
Record (W-D-L)0-2-15-0-2
Points per game0.672.14
Goals for / game1.32.3
Goals against / game1.72.3
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)L D DW W W W W
Biggest win—4–1 at EMPIRE SC
Worst loss1–2 at Crusaders SC0–6 at Crusaders SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.27-0.07
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.52-0.40

Common opponents: Reds FC 2 — we 2–2; they 2–1. Chula Vista FC 2 — we 1–1; they 3–4. Crusaders SC — we 1–2; they 0–6.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 30%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    ALBION SC San Diego (1) have won 5 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Hickman Fields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Rangers FC 2 sit 11th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.67.

    A point moves us above Rangers FC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC San Diego (1) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) – ALBION SC San Diego (1)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.50 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1
Win
1.25 PPG
9th▲ up 3 8th▲ up 4 9th▲ up 3
Draw
0.75 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Loss
0.50 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
9.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 5%
  7. 7th 10%
  8. 8th 14%
  9. 9th 17%
  10. 10th 19%
  11. 11th 17%
  12. 12th 14%
  13. 13th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.71 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Elite FC 2 2.50 (+1.83) 1st (2.27) 58 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection
2 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 2.14 (+1.47) 6th (1.55) 50 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
3 BOCA OC (2) 2.00 (+1.33) 2nd (2.03) 46 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
4 EMPIRE SC 2.00 (+1.33) 4th (1.70) 46 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
5 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 2.00 (+1.33) 3rd (1.84) 46 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
6 Crusaders SC 1.50 (+0.83) 5th (1.61) 34 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
7 AC Brea (2) 1.50 (+0.83) 7th (1.50) 34 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
8 Zeta Academy 1.33 (+0.66) 9th (1.18) 30 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
9 Chula Vista FC 2 1.00 (+0.33) 8th (1.18) A point next game
10 Rayados Academy San Diego 1.00 (+0.33) 11th (1.05) A point next game
11 Rangers FC 2 1.00 (+0.33) 12th (1.00) A point next game

How the results connect

13 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) to ALBION SC San Diego (1) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
7 favour them
-0.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 4–3 2–2 1–2 1–2 6–0 1–6 3–0 1–2 0–1 1–2 0–1 2–4 2–3 0–2 1–4 1–4 9–0 FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 12th Chula Vista FC 2 9th Reds FC 2 13th Crusaders SC 6th Rayados Academy San… 10th Rangers FC 2 11th Zeta Academy 8th EMPIRE SC 4th ALBION SC San Diego… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.12 · 4th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +0
Away
Hickman Fields
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.12 0.78 Upside
Sun Nov 1
01:15 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3
Away
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.87 0.80 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:45 PM
Rayados Academy San Diego
10th · 2-1-4 · GD -6
Home
South Fontana
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.67 0.94 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
02:15 PM
Rangers FC 2
11th · 2-0-4 · GD -6
Home
RJRSP
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–0 1.71 1.05 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
03:00 PM
Reds FC 2
13th · 0-1-5 · GD -16
Away
Portola Springs Park
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.02 1.17 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 1.01 1.15 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.26 1.17 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
6th · 4-0-4 · GD +7
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–2 1.14 1.16 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
1st · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.51 1.11 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +4
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.16 1.11 Upside
Sat Apr 10
11:50 AM
BOCA OC (2)
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +7
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–2 0.61 1.08 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
8th · 2-2-2 · GD -2
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.27 1.09 Upside
Sat Apr 17
02:15 PM
Zeta Academy
8th · 2-2-2 · GD -2
Home
RJRSP
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.56 1.12 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.40 1.14 Upside
Sat Apr 24
02:15 PM
BOCA OC (2)
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +7
Home
RJRSP
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.85 1.12 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–1 1.11 1.12 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
10th · 2-1-4 · GD -6
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.42 1.13 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
11th · 2-0-4 · GD -6
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.48 1.15 Upside
Tue May 25
01:00 PM
Elite FC 2
1st · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Home
South Fontana
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.73 1.13 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +4
Away
Eastvale Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.91 1.12 Upside
Sat May 29
02:15 PM
AC Brea (2)
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Home
RJRSP
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.29 1.13 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Elite FC 2 6501 2310+13 152.50 WLWWW -0.01 -0.14 100% 1.4
2 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7502 1616+0 152.14 WWWWW -0.40 +0.20 22% 6.0
3 BOCA OC (2) 3201 125+7 62.00 WWL +0.14 -0.11 93% 2.4
4 EMPIRE SC 5311 128+4 102.00 DWWWL -0.20 +0.04 48% 4.8
5 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6402 129+3 122.00 LWWWL +0.41 -0.17 74% 3.7
6 Crusaders SC 8404 2922+7 121.50 WLLWL -0.01 -0.04 39% 5.2
7 AC Brea (2) 2101 54+1 31.50 LW -0.04 +0.01 21% 6.3
8 Zeta Academy 6222 1416-2 81.33 DLDWL -0.29 +0.17 1% 9.2
9 Chula Vista FC 2 7214 1216-4 71.00 LLLLW +0.17 +0.00 2% 9.1
10 Rayados Academy San Diego 7214 713-6 71.00 DWLWL +0.12 +0.05 1% 10.1
11 Rangers FC 2 6204 410-6 61.00 LLLWW +0.07 +0.05 0% 10.5
12 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3021 45-1 20.67 DDL -0.52 +0.12 1% 9.3
13 Reds FC 2 6015 521-16 10.17 DLLLL -0.06 +0.25 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.15 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.