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Rangers FC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U16 · 13 teams · Rangers FC (all teams)

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11th
2-0-4 record · 6 played
1.00 points per game
-6 goal diff · 4–10
LLLWWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.6
+0.07 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 06:15 PM

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Rangers FC 2
11th · 1.00 PPG
vs
EMPIRE SC
4th · 2.00 PPG

Fullerton College, Sherbeck Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.0 for, 1.7 against · 0.94 expected points)

Season so farRangers FC 2EMPIRE SC
Position11th4th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-43-1-1
Points per game1.002.00
Goals for / game0.72.4
Goals against / game1.71.6
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)W W L L LL W W W D
Biggest win1–0 vs Crusaders SC4–1 at Reds FC 2
Worst loss0–4 vs Elite FC 21–4 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.59+0.39
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.07-0.20

Common opponents: Elite FC 2 — we 0–4; they 4–2. ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 1–2; they 1–4. Reds FC 2 — we 1–0; they 4–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–4 vs Elite FC 2, 0–1 at Rayados Academy San Diego.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (24%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Rayados Academy San Diego sit 10th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above Rayados Academy San Diego on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the EMPIRE SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rangers FC 2 – EMPIRE SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.00 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Win
1.29 PPG
9th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 4 9th▲ up 2
Draw
1.00 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Loss
0.86 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 10th if every rival drops points, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 12%
  10. 10th 17%
  11. 11th 24%
  12. 12th 35%
  13. 13th 2%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Elite FC 2 2.50 (+1.50) 1st (2.27) 54 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
2 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 2.14 (+1.14) 6th (1.55) 46 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
3 BOCA OC (2) 2.00 (+1.00) 2nd (2.03) 42 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
4 EMPIRE SC 2.00 (+1.00) 4th (1.70) 42 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
5 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 2.00 (+1.00) 3rd (1.84) 42 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
6 Crusaders SC 1.50 (+0.50) 5th (1.61) 30 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
7 AC Brea (2) 1.50 (+0.50) 7th (1.50) 30 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
8 Zeta Academy 1.33 (+0.33) 9th (1.18) 26 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
9 Chula Vista FC 2 1.00 (+0.00) 8th (1.18) A point next game
10 Rayados Academy San Diego 1.00 (+0.00) 11th (1.05) A point next game

How the results connect

17 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Rangers FC 2 to EMPIRE SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
1 even
10 favour them
-0.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–0 1–4 1–2 4–1 0–4 2–4 3–2 1–1 0–1 1–2 1–1 1–2 1–0 6–1 4–1 0–2 4–7 3–4 Rangers FC 2 11th Reds FC 2 13th ALBION SC San Diego… 2nd Elite FC 2 1st Rayados Academy San… 10th Crusaders SC 6th Zeta Academy 8th Chula Vista FC 2 9th EMPIRE SC 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.05 · 5th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
06:15 PM
EMPIRE SC
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +4
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–1 0.94 0.99 Upside
Sat Nov 7
06:15 PM
Zeta Academy
8th · 2-2-2 · GD -2
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.26 1.02 Upside
Sun Nov 8
02:15 PM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
12th · 0-2-1 · GD -1
Away
RJRSP
●●●●○ Tough
25%
0–1 1.03 1.03 Upside
Sat Nov 21
06:15 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
22%
0–1 0.91 1.01 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
1st · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.40 0.96 Upside
Sun Mar 7
11:50 AM
BOCA OC (2)
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +7
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
11%
0–2 0.48 0.92 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.13 0.93 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
10th · 2-1-4 · GD -6
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.39 0.97 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.25 0.99 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
6th · 4-0-4 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.65 0.96 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
13th · 0-1-5 · GD -16
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
1–0 1.92 1.02 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–1 1.03 1.02 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
0–1 0.74 1.01 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
8th · 2-2-2 · GD -2
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–1 1.01 1.01 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
12th · 0-2-1 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.24 1.02 Upside
Sat May 8
12:00 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3
Away
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●● Very tough
16%
0–1 0.72 1.00 Upside
Sun May 23
05:20 PM
AC Brea (2)
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Away
Grass - Whittier College · grass
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.80 1.00 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -4
Away
Castle Park High School
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–1 1.02 1.00 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Elite FC 2 6501 2310+13 152.50 WLWWW -0.01 -0.14 99% 1.4
2 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7502 1616+0 152.14 WWWWW -0.40 +0.20 23% 6.0
3 BOCA OC (2) 3201 125+7 62.00 WWL +0.14 -0.11 92% 2.5
4 EMPIRE SC 5311 128+4 102.00 DWWWL -0.20 +0.04 50% 4.7
5 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6402 129+3 122.00 LWWWL +0.41 -0.17 75% 3.6
6 Crusaders SC 8404 2922+7 121.50 WLLWL -0.01 -0.04 35% 5.3
7 AC Brea (2) 2101 54+1 31.50 LW -0.04 +0.01 21% 6.3
8 Zeta Academy 6222 1416-2 81.33 DLDWL -0.29 +0.17 2% 9.1
9 Chula Vista FC 2 7214 1216-4 71.00 LLLLW +0.17 +0.00 1% 9.1
10 Rayados Academy San Diego 7214 713-6 71.00 DWLWL +0.12 +0.05 0% 10.0
11 Rangers FC 2 6204 410-6 61.00 LLLWW +0.07 +0.05 0% 10.6
12 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3021 45-1 20.67 DDL -0.52 +0.12 1% 9.5
13 Reds FC 2 6015 521-16 10.17 DLLLL -0.06 +0.25 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.15 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.