AC Brea (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U16 · 13 teams · AC Brea (all teams)

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7th

1-0-1 record · 2 played

1.50 points per game

+1 goal diff · 5–4

LWlast 2

21% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.3

-0.04 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 10:40 AM

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AC Brea (2)
7th · 1.50 PPG

Crusaders SC
6th · 1.50 PPG

Pershing Middle School, Pershing MS Field 1 ↗

31% 16% 54%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.7 for, 3.5 against · 1.08 expected points)

Season so far	AC Brea (2)	Crusaders SC
Position	7th	6th
Record (W-D-L)	1-0-1	4-0-4
Points per game	1.50	1.50
Goals for / game	2.5	3.6
Goals against / game	2.0	2.8
Clean sheets	0	2
Held scoreless	0	1
Form (recent first)	W L	L W L L W
Biggest win	4–1 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana 2	9–0 vs Zeta Academy
Worst loss	1–3 vs Rayados Academy San Diego	1–7 at BOCA OC (2)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.17	+0.54
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.04	-0.01

Common opponents: ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 — we 4–1; they 1–5.

Game plan

Respect their attack
Crusaders SC score 3.6/game — well above the league's 2.2.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 31%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 10:40 AM at Pershing Middle School.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Crusaders SC sit 6th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.50.
A point moves us above Crusaders SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Crusaders SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (AC Brea (2) – Crusaders SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 1.00 PPG	8th▼ down 1	9th▼ down 2	11th▼ down 4
Win 2.00 PPG	6th▲ up 1	4th▲ up 3	6th▲ up 1
Draw 1.33 PPG	7th— holds	7th— holds	8th▼ down 1
Loss 1.00 PPG	8th▼ down 1	9th▼ down 2	11th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we fall to at least 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st

21% top 4

79% below the top 4

6.3 average finish

1st 1%
2nd 2%
3rd 7%
4th 12%
5th 16%
6th 18%
7th 18%
8th 12%
9th 7%
10th 3%
11th 3%
12th 1%
13th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Elite FC 2	2.50 (+1.00)	1st (2.27)	57 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection
2	ALBION SC San Diego (1)	2.14 (+0.64)	6th (1.55)	49 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
3	BOCA OC (2)	2.00 (+0.50)	2nd (2.03)	Win next game
4	EMPIRE SC	2.00 (+0.50)	4th (1.70)	Win next game
5	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2	2.00 (+0.50)	3rd (1.84)	Win next game
6	Crusaders SC	1.50 (+0.00)	5th (1.61)	A point next game

How the results connect

8 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link AC Brea (2) to Crusaders SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us

1 even

3 favour them

+0.0 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.01 · 8th hardest of 13

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 31 10:40 AM	Crusaders SC 6th · 4-0-4 · GD +7	Away Pershing Middle School	●●●●○ Tough	31%	2–3	1.08	1.36	Upside
Sat Nov 7 03:45 PM	Reds FC 2 13th · 0-1-5 · GD -16	Home Whittier College · turf?	●○○○○ Favorable	81%	3–1	2.54	1.66	Bank it
Sun Nov 8 11:15 AM	Chula Vista FC 2 9th · 2-1-4 · GD -4	Home Whittier College · turf?	●●●○○ Toss-up	55%	2–1	1.84	1.69	Swing game
Sat Nov 14 02:00 PM	Elite FC 2 1st · 5-0-1 · GD +13	Away Rosetta Canyon Sports Park	●●●●● Very tough	17%	1–3	0.63	1.52	Upside
Sun Nov 15 02:00 PM	EMPIRE SC 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +4	Away Eastvale Community Park	●●●●○ Tough	31%	1–2	1.11	1.46	Upside
Sun Nov 22 01:30 PM	EMPIRE SC 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +4	Home Whittier College · turf?	●●●●○ Tough	40%	2–2	1.41	1.45	Upside
Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 12th · 0-2-1 · GD -1	Home TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	53%	2–1	1.79	1.49	Swing game
Sun Mar 7 01:30 PM	Zeta Academy 8th · 2-2-2 · GD -2	Home Whittier College · turf?	●●●○○ Toss-up	57%	3–2	1.88	1.53	Swing game
Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM	Elite FC 2 1st · 5-0-1 · GD +13	Home TBD	●●●●○ Tough	25%	2–3	0.91	1.47	Upside
Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM	Zeta Academy 8th · 2-2-2 · GD -2	Away TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	46%	2–2	1.56	1.48	Swing game
Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM	BOCA OC (2) 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +7	Home TBD	●●●●○ Tough	30%	2–2	1.06	1.45	Upside
Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM	ALBION SC San Diego (1) 2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +0	Home TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	51%	2–2	1.70	1.47	Swing game
Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM	Rayados Academy San Diego 10th · 2-1-4 · GD -6	Away TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	49%	2–1	1.69	1.48	Swing game
Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3	Away TBD	●●●●○ Tough	28%	1–2	1.05	1.45	Upside
Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM	Rangers FC 2 11th · 2-0-4 · GD -6	Away TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	50%	1–1	1.74	1.47	Swing game
Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM	Crusaders SC 6th · 4-0-4 · GD +7	Home TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	43%	3–3	1.44	1.47	Swing game
Sat May 1 12:00 AM	Reds FC 2 13th · 0-1-5 · GD -16	Away TBD	●●○○○ Lean win	73%	3–1	2.33	1.51	Bank it
Sun May 2 12:00 AM	Chula Vista FC 2 9th · 2-1-4 · GD -4	Away TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	45%	2–2	1.53	1.52	Swing game
Sun May 23 05:20 PM	Rangers FC 2 11th · 2-0-4 · GD -6	Home Grass - Whittier College · grass	●●○○○ Lean win	59%	2–1	1.99	1.54	Swing game
Tue May 25 12:00 AM	BOCA OC (2) 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +7	Away El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)	●●●●● Very tough	20%	2–3	0.76	1.50	Upside
Tue May 25 12:00 AM	ALBION SC San Diego (1) 2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +0	Away Hickman Fields	●●●●○ Tough	40%	2–2	1.38	1.50	Upside
Sat May 29 02:15 PM	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 12th · 0-2-1 · GD -1	Away RJRSP	●●●○○ Toss-up	43%	1–1	1.50	1.50	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Elite FC 2

+13

2.50

WLWWW

-0.01

-0.14

100%

1.4

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Crusaders SC (6th)	7–4
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	4–1
W	Sun Oct 11	at	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	5–1
L	Sun Sep 27	at	EMPIRE SC (4th)	2–4
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	1–0
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	4–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Zeta Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at BOCA OC (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Zeta Academy (8th)	3–2	70%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	3–1	74%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	2–2	41%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Reds FC 2 (13th)	4–1	89%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	AC Brea (2) (7th)	3–1	70%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	2–0	78%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	AC Brea (2) (7th)	3–2	59%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	EMPIRE SC (4th)	3–1	63%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	3–1	74%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	3–1	68%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Crusaders SC (6th)	4–2	69%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Zeta Academy (8th)	4–1	80%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	3–2	63%
·	Sat May 1	vs	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	3–2	53%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Reds FC 2 (13th)	5–1	94%
·	Tue May 25	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	2–1	65%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC San Diego (1)

2.14

WWWWW

-0.40

+0.20

21%

6.1

W	Sun Oct 18	at	EMPIRE SC (4th)	4–1
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Zeta Academy (8th)	3–2
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Reds FC 2 (13th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	2–1
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	3–4
L	Sat Sep 5	at	Crusaders SC (6th)	0–6

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Elite FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Elite FC 2 (1st)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	2–3	26%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Crusaders SC (6th)	2–3	38%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	2–2	40%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	1–1	45%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Reds FC 2 (13th)	3–1	78%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	AC Brea (2) (7th)	2–2	31%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Zeta Academy (8th)	2–2	53%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	EMPIRE SC (4th)	2–2	36%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	1–1	39%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Elite FC 2 (1st)	2–3	21%
·	Sat May 1	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun May 2	at	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	1–3	17%
·	Tue May 25	vs	AC Brea (2) (7th)	2–2	42%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

BOCA OC (2)

2.00

WWL

+0.14

-0.11

93%

2.4

L	Sat Sep 26	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	3–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Crusaders SC (6th)	7–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 at EMPIRE SC · Sat Oct 31 at Zeta Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC 2 See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	EMPIRE SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Zeta Academy (8th)	3–2	64%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Elite FC 2 (1st)	2–2	42%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	3–2	58%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Crusaders SC (6th)	3–3	50%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	2–0	74%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	3–1	62%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	AC Brea (2) (7th)	2–2	53%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	2–1	74%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Reds FC 2 (13th)	4–1	86%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	2–1	69%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	EMPIRE SC (4th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	2–1	60%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Zeta Academy (8th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	3–1	72%
·	Sat May 1	at	Elite FC 2 (1st)	2–3	31%
·	Sun May 2	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	3–1	69%
·	Tue May 25	vs	AC Brea (2) (7th)	3–2	65%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Reds FC 2 (13th)	4–1	92%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

EMPIRE SC

2.00

DWWWL

-0.20

+0.04

50%

4.7

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	1–4
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Elite FC 2 (1st)	4–2
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Reds FC 2 (13th)	4–1
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Zeta Academy (8th)	1–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Rangers FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at Crusaders SC See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	2–2	34%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	1–1	53%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Crusaders SC (6th)	2–2	36%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	1–1	52%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	AC Brea (2) (7th)	2–1	50%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	AC Brea (2) (7th)	2–2	40%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Reds FC 2 (13th)	3–1	82%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	1–1	32%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Elite FC 2 (1st)	1–3	21%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Zeta Academy (8th)	2–1	61%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	1–1	46%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	1–1	41%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	2–2	44%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	1–0	61%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Crusaders SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	2–1	61%
·	Tue May 25	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	2–1	56%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Santa Ana 2

2.00

LWWWL

+0.41

-0.17

75%

3.6

L	Sun Oct 18	at	AC Brea (2) (7th)	1–4
W	Sun Oct 11	at	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	2–1
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Crusaders SC (6th)	5–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Elite FC 2 (1st)	0–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	1–0

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 14 at Zeta Academy See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Zeta Academy (8th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	1–0	53%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	2–0	61%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Elite FC 2 (1st)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	EMPIRE SC (4th)	1–1	46%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Crusaders SC (6th)	2–2	49%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Reds FC 2 (13th)	3–0	82%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	EMPIRE SC (4th)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	AC Brea (2) (7th)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	1–1	48%
·	Sat May 1	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	2–1	46%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Zeta Academy (8th)	2–1	62%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	1–0	61%
·	Tue May 25	at	Reds FC 2 (13th)	2–1	75%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Crusaders SC

1.50

WLLWL

-0.01

-0.04

36%

5.2

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Elite FC 2 (1st)	4–7
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Reds FC 2 (13th)	6–1
L	Sun Oct 11	at	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	1–5
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Zeta Academy (8th)	9–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	1–7
W	Sat Sep 5	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	6–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs AC Brea (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs EMPIRE SC See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	3–2	52%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	AC Brea (2) (7th)	3–2	54%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	EMPIRE SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	3–2	46%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	3–3	34%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Zeta Academy (8th)	3–2	53%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	2–2	50%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	2–2	33%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	3–1	67%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Reds FC 2 (13th)	4–1	88%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Elite FC 2 (1st)	2–4	19%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	3–2	63%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	AC Brea (2) (7th)	3–3	41%
·	Sat May 1	at	EMPIRE SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Tue May 25	at	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	2–1	57%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

AC Brea (2)

1.50

-0.04

+0.01

21%

6.3

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	4–1
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	1–3

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Crusaders SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs Chula Vista FC 2 See all 22 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Crusaders SC (6th)	2–3	31%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Reds FC 2 (13th)	3–1	81%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Elite FC 2 (1st)	1–3	17%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	EMPIRE SC (4th)	1–2	31%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	EMPIRE SC (4th)	2–2	40%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	2–1	53%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Zeta Academy (8th)	3–2	57%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Elite FC 2 (1st)	2–3	25%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Zeta Academy (8th)	2–2	46%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	2–2	30%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	2–2	51%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	1–1	50%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Crusaders SC (6th)	3–3	43%
·	Sat May 1	at	Reds FC 2 (13th)	3–1	73%
·	Sun May 2	at	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	2–2	45%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	2–1	59%
·	Tue May 25	at	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	2–3	20%
·	Tue May 25	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	2–2	40%
·	Sat May 29	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	1–1	43%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Zeta Academy

-2

1.33

DLDWL

-0.29

+0.17

9.1

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	2–3
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	4–2
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Crusaders SC (6th)	0–9
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	EMPIRE SC (4th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Reds FC 2 (13th)	6–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Elite FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sat Nov 7 at Rangers FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Elite FC 2 (1st)	2–3	17%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	2–3	21%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	1–2	29%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Reds FC 2 (13th)	2–1	65%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	AC Brea (2) (7th)	2–3	26%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Crusaders SC (6th)	2–3	31%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	AC Brea (2) (7th)	2–2	36%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	EMPIRE SC (4th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	2–2	30%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	2–1	44%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Elite FC 2 (1st)	1–4	10%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	1–3	13%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	1–1	51%
·	Sun May 2	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	1–2	21%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Chula Vista FC 2

-4

1.00

LLLLW

+0.17

+0.00

9.1

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	3–0
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Elite FC 2 (1st)	1–4
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	1–2
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Zeta Academy (8th)	2–4
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	EMPIRE SC (4th)	0–2
D	Sun Sep 20	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	4–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Crusaders SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at AC Brea (2) See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Crusaders SC (6th)	2–3	32%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Reds FC 2 (13th)	2–1	72%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	AC Brea (2) (7th)	1–2	26%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Zeta Academy (8th)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	2–2	40%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	1–1	43%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	EMPIRE SC (4th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	1–3	21%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	1–1	41%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Elite FC 2 (1st)	1–3	18%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Crusaders SC (6th)	2–3	22%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Reds FC 2 (13th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat May 1	at	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	1–3	14%
·	Sun May 2	vs	AC Brea (2) (7th)	2–2	36%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	1–1	50%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Rayados Academy San Diego

-6

1.00

DWLWL

+0.12

+0.05

10.1

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	0–3
W	Sat Oct 17	at	AC Brea (2) (7th)	3–1
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Elite FC 2 (1st)	1–5
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	1–0
D	Sat Sep 26	at	Zeta Academy (8th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	0–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Reds FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs EMPIRE SC See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Reds FC 2 (13th)	2–1	62%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	1–1	28%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	EMPIRE SC (4th)	1–1	26%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	0–2	18%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	1–1	33%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Zeta Academy (8th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	1–1	34%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Crusaders SC (6th)	1–3	18%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	1–2	12%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Elite FC 2 (1st)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	AC Brea (2) (7th)	1–2	29%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	1–1	37%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Reds FC 2 (13th)	1–1	53%
·	Sat May 1	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	1–1	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	EMPIRE SC (4th)	1–2	19%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Crusaders SC (6th)	1–2	25%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Rangers FC 2

-6

1.00

LLLWW

+0.07

+0.05

10.5

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Reds FC 2 (13th)	1–0
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	Crusaders SC (6th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 26	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	1–3
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Elite FC 2 (1st)	0–4

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs EMPIRE SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Zeta Academy · Sun Nov 8 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	EMPIRE SC (4th)	1–1	23%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Zeta Academy (8th)	1–1	34%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	0–1	25%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	0–1	22%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Elite FC 2 (1st)	0–2	9%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	0–2	11%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	1–1	30%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	1–1	37%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	1–1	33%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Crusaders SC (6th)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Reds FC 2 (13th)	1–0	56%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	AC Brea (2) (7th)	1–1	27%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	EMPIRE SC (4th)	0–1	17%
·	Sat May 1	at	Zeta Academy (8th)	1–1	26%
·	Sun May 2	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat May 8	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	0–1	16%
·	Sun May 23	at	AC Brea (2) (7th)	1–2	20%
·	Tue May 25	at	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	1–1	26%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)

-1

0.67

DDL

-0.52

+0.12

9.4

L	Sat Sep 26	at	Crusaders SC (6th)	1–2
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	1–1
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Reds FC 2 (13th)	2–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs Rayados Academy San Diego See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	1–2	30%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	1–1	47%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	1–0	48%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Reds FC 2 (13th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	AC Brea (2) (7th)	1–2	27%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Crusaders SC (6th)	2–2	32%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Elite FC 2 (1st)	1–3	12%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	EMPIRE SC (4th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	1–2	15%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Zeta Academy (8th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Zeta Academy (8th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	1–1	29%
·	Sat May 1	at	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	1–1	39%
·	Sun May 2	at	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	1–1	40%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Elite FC 2 (1st)	1–2	19%
·	Tue May 25	at	EMPIRE SC (4th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat May 29	vs	AC Brea (2) (7th)	1–1	36%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Reds FC 2

-16

0.17

DLLLL

-0.06

+0.25

13.0

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Crusaders SC (6th)	1–6
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	EMPIRE SC (4th)	1–4
D	Sat Sep 19	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Zeta Academy (8th)	0–6

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Rayados Academy San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at AC Brea (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	AC Brea (2) (7th)	1–3	8%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Elite FC 2 (1st)	1–4	4%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) (12th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Zeta Academy (8th)	1–2	19%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	EMPIRE SC (4th)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	ALBION SC San Diego (1) (2nd)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	0–3	7%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	1–4	6%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Crusaders SC (6th)	1–4	5%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Rangers FC 2 (11th)	0–1	20%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Rayados Academy San Diego (10th)	1–1	25%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Chula Vista FC 2 (9th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat May 1	vs	AC Brea (2) (7th)	1–3	13%
·	Sun May 2	at	Elite FC 2 (1st)	1–5	2%
·	Tue May 25	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 (5th)	1–2	11%
·	Tue May 25	at	BOCA OC (2) (3rd)	1–4	3%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.15 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.