Rayados Academy San Diego
Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U16 · 13 teams · Rayados Academy San Diego (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:30 AM
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 1.1 against · 2.05 expected points)
| Season so far | Rayados Academy San Diego | Reds FC 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 13th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-4 | 0-1-5 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.17 |
| Goals for / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 3.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W D | L L L L D |
| Biggest win | 3–1 at AC Brea (2) | — |
| Worst loss | 1–5 vs Elite FC 2 | 0–6 at Zeta Academy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.55 | -1.83 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.12 | -0.06 |
Common opponents: ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 1–2; they 1–2. Zeta Academy — we 1–1; they 0–6. Rangers FC 2 — we 1–0; they 0–1.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Reds FC 2 average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.2); blanked in 2 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
Reds FC 2 concede 3.5/game; worst result 0–6 at Zeta Academy.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana 2, 0–3 at Chula Vista FC 2.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 62% / draw 20% / loss 18%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
Reds FC 2 have lost 4 straight (form: DLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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What a win does
Chula Vista FC 2 sit 9th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.A point moves us above Chula Vista FC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Reds FC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rayados Academy San Diego – Reds FC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.25 PPG |
9th▲ up 1 | 8th▲ up 2 | 11th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.25 PPG |
9th▲ up 1 | 8th▲ up 2 | 11th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
10th— holds | 9th▲ up 1 | 11th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.88 PPG |
11th▼ down 1 | 11th▼ down 1 | 12th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 8th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd
- 4th <1%
- 5th 1%
- 6th 2%
- 7th 4%
- 8th 10%
- 9th 14%
- 10th 20%
- 11th 24%
- 12th 24%
- 13th 1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.42 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elite FC 2 | 2.50 (+1.50) | 1st (2.27) | 53 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection |
| 2 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 2.14 (+1.14) | 6th (1.55) | 45 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 3 | BOCA OC (2) | 2.00 (+1.00) | 2nd (2.03) | 41 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection |
| 4 | EMPIRE SC | 2.00 (+1.00) | 4th (1.70) | 41 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection |
| 5 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 2.00 (+1.00) | 3rd (1.84) | 41 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection |
| 6 | Crusaders SC | 1.50 (+0.50) | 5th (1.61) | 29 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 7 | AC Brea (2) | 1.50 (+0.50) | 7th (1.50) | 29 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 8 | Zeta Academy | 1.33 (+0.33) | 9th (1.18) | 25 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
| 9 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 1.00 (+0.00) | 8th (1.18) | A point next game |
How the results connect
20 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Rayados Academy San Diego to Reds FC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.05 · 6th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 10:30 AM |
Reds FC 2 13th · 0-1-5 · GD -16 |
Home MEADOW PARK |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
2–1 | 2.05 | 1.13 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 01:45 PM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 12th · 0-2-1 · GD -1 |
Away South Fontana |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–1 | 1.08 | 1.13 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 10:40 AM |
EMPIRE SC 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +4 |
Home SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–1 | 0.99 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 12:20 PM |
BOCA OC (2) 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +7 |
Home MEADOW PARK |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.70 | 1.08 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
0–2 | 0.74 | 1.05 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
1–1 | 1.20 | 1.06 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
Zeta Academy 8th · 2-2-2 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–1 | 1.35 | 1.08 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
Rangers FC 2 11th · 2-0-4 · GD -6 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–1 | 1.32 | 1.10 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
Crusaders SC 6th · 4-0-4 · GD +7 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–3 | 0.68 | 1.07 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 11:50 AM |
BOCA OC (2) 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +7 |
Away El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–2 | 0.50 | 1.04 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
Elite FC 2 1st · 5-0-1 · GD +13 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.41 | 1.00 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
AC Brea (2) 7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–2 | 1.09 | 1.01 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Chula Vista FC 2 9th · 2-1-4 · GD -4 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.34 | 1.02 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
Reds FC 2 13th · 0-1-5 · GD -16 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
1–1 | 1.81 | 1.06 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 12th · 0-2-1 · GD -1 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.32 | 1.07 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
EMPIRE SC 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +4 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.77 | 1.06 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Crusaders SC 6th · 4-0-4 · GD +7 |
Home SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.94 | 1.05 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Elite FC 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 10 | +13 | 15 | 2.50 | WLWWW | -0.01 | -0.14 | 100% | 1.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Zeta Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at BOCA OC (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +0 | 15 | 2.14 | WWWWW | -0.40 | +0.20 | 23% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Elite FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | BOCA OC (2) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | +0.14 | -0.11 | 92% | 2.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at EMPIRE SC · Sat Oct 31 at Zeta Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC 2 See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | EMPIRE SC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 10 | 2.00 | DWWWL | -0.20 | +0.04 | 49% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Rangers FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at Crusaders SC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 | 2.00 | LWWWL | +0.41 | -0.17 | 75% | 3.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 14 at Zeta Academy See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Crusaders SC | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 12 | 1.50 | WLLWL | -0.01 | -0.04 | 36% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs AC Brea (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs EMPIRE SC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | AC Brea (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | LW | -0.04 | +0.01 | 22% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Crusaders SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs Chula Vista FC 2 See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Zeta Academy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 8 | 1.33 | DLDWL | -0.29 | +0.17 | 1% | 9.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Elite FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sat Nov 7 at Rangers FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 7 | 1.00 | LLLLW | +0.17 | +0.00 | 1% | 9.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Crusaders SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at AC Brea (2) See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 | 1.00 | DWLWL | +0.12 | +0.05 | 0% | 10.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Reds FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs EMPIRE SC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Rangers FC 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 | 1.00 | LLLWW | +0.07 | +0.05 | 0% | 10.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs EMPIRE SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Zeta Academy · Sun Nov 8 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 | DDL | -0.52 | +0.12 | 1% | 9.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs Rayados Academy San Diego See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Reds FC 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 1 | 0.17 | DLLLL | -0.06 | +0.25 | 0% | 13.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Rayados Academy San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at AC Brea (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.15 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.