Reds FC 2
Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U15 · 13 teams · SoCal Reds FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM
SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, FIELD 1 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–5 (expected goals 0.7 for, 5.1 against · 0.07 expected points)
| Season so far | Reds FC 2 | Rayados Academy San Diego |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-5 | 6-1-0 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 2.71 |
| Goals for / game | 1.0 | 5.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L L L | D W W W W |
| Biggest win | 4–2 vs Rangers FC 2 | 8–1 vs Elite FC 2 |
| Worst loss | 0–5 vs EMPIRE SC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.19 | +3.04 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.02 | +0.02 |
Common opponents: Zeta Academy — we 0–3; they 7–1. ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 0–2; they 3–0. Rangers FC 2 — we 4–2; they 6–1.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Rayados Academy San Diego score 5.0/game — well above the league's 2.6.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
Rayados Academy San Diego concede only 0.7/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–3 at Zeta Academy, 0–5 vs EMPIRE SC, 0–2 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1), 0–2 vs Crusaders SC.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 1%; a draw (3%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 09:00 AM at SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 sit 11th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.50.A point moves us above ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Rayados Academy San Diego game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Reds FC 2 – Rayados Academy San Diego) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.43 PPG |
12th— holds | 12th— holds | 13th▼ down 1 |
| Win 0.86 PPG |
10th▲ up 2 | 9th▲ up 3 | 11th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.57 PPG |
11th▲ up 1 | 10th▲ up 2 | 12th— holds |
| Loss 0.43 PPG |
12th— holds | 12th— holds | 13th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–5 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th <1%
- 7th 1%
- 8th 4%
- 9th 10%
- 10th 22%
- 11th 33%
- 12th 26%
- 13th 3%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMPIRE SC | 3.00 (+2.50) | 3rd (2.38) | 69 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 2.71 (+2.21) | 1st (2.63) | 63 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 61 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 2.29 (+1.79) | 2nd (2.45) | 52 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Crusaders SC | 1.88 (+1.38) | 4th (1.70) | 43 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection |
| 5 | Rangers FC 2 | 1.67 (+1.17) | 5th (1.66) | 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection |
| 6 | AC Brea (2) | 1.50 (+1.00) | 7th (1.27) | 33 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 7 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 1.29 (+0.79) | 6th (1.50) | 28 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 8 | Zeta Academy | 1.00 (+0.50) | 8th (1.24) | 21 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 9 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 1.00 (+0.50) | 12th (0.73) | 21 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection |
| 10 | Elite FC 2 | 0.67 (+0.17) | 9th (1.07) | A point next game |
| 11 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 0.50 (+0.00) | 10th (0.96) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
20 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Reds FC 2 to Rayados Academy San Diego through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.03 · 3rd hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM |
Rayados Academy San Diego 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +30 |
Away SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–5 | 0.07 | 0.44 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 01:00 PM |
Chula Vista FC 2 3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +27 |
Away O'Farrell Charter High School · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.10 | 0.40 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 11:05 AM |
AC Brea (2) 6th · 1-0-1 · GD -4 |
Away Grass - Whittier College · grass |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–2 | 0.88 | 0.45 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 01:00 PM |
Elite FC 2 10th · 1-1-4 · GD -12 |
Home Orange County Great Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.38 | 0.54 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 01:00 PM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 9th · 1-0-2 · GD -14 |
Home Portola Springs Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.81 | 0.66 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
Zeta Academy 8th · 2-0-4 · GD -8 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
1–2 | 1.21 | 0.70 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
EMPIRE SC 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +13 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.22 | 0.67 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7th · 3-0-4 · GD -4 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.77 | 0.67 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -11 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–2 | 1.04 | 0.70 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
BOCA OC (2) 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -21 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.22 | 0.79 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
Crusaders SC 4th · 5-0-3 · GD +10 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
0–2 | 0.49 | 0.78 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Rangers FC 2 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +5 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.50 | 0.76 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
Rayados Academy San Diego 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +30 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–4 | 0.13 | 0.73 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
Chula Vista FC 2 3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +27 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–4 | 0.17 | 0.70 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
AC Brea (2) 6th · 1-0-1 · GD -4 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.17 | 0.72 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
Elite FC 2 10th · 1-1-4 · GD -12 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–2 | 1.10 | 0.74 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
BOCA OC (2) 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -21 |
Away El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.93 | 0.79 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -11 |
Home Portola Springs Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
2–2 | 1.35 | 0.81 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | EMPIRE SC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.01 | -0.33 | 100% | 2.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Rangers FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at Crusaders SC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 5 | +30 | 19 | 2.71 | WWWWD | +0.02 | -0.52 | 100% | 1.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Reds FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs EMPIRE SC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 7 | +27 | 16 | 2.29 | LWWWD | +0.01 | -0.49 | 100% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Crusaders SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at AC Brea (2) See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Crusaders SC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 15 | 1.88 | WWLWW | -1.10 | +0.29 | 45% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs AC Brea (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs EMPIRE SC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Rangers FC 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 10 | 1.67 | WWLWL | -0.30 | -0.11 | 38% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs EMPIRE SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Zeta Academy · Sun Nov 8 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | AC Brea (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | 1.50 | LW | +0.99 | -0.17 | 3% | 7.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Crusaders SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs Chula Vista FC 2 See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 | 1.29 | LLWWL | +0.93 | -0.56 | 12% | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Elite FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Zeta Academy | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 | 1.00 | LWLLL | +1.16 | -0.47 | 2% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Elite FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sat Nov 7 at Rangers FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 3 | 1.00 | WLL | +0.74 | -0.04 | 0% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs Rayados Academy San Diego See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Elite FC 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 | 0.67 | WLLLL | +1.32 | -0.48 | 0% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Zeta Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at BOCA OC (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 3 | 0.50 | LWLLL | +0.25 | -0.13 | 0% | 9.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 14 at Zeta Academy See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Reds FC 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLLW | +0.02 | -0.03 | 0% | 10.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Rayados Academy San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at AC Brea (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | BOCA OC (2) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 23 | -21 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.00 | +0.18 | 0% | 12.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at EMPIRE SC · Sat Oct 31 at Zeta Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC 2 See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.