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BOCA OC (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U15 · 13 teams · BOCA OC (all teams)

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13th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-21 goal diff · 2–23
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.9
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM

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BOCA OC (2)
13th · 0.00 PPG
at
EMPIRE SC
1st · 3.00 PPG

Eastvale Community Park, Full Size Field 12 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–6 (expected goals 0.9 for, 6.8 against · 0.03 expected points)

Season so farBOCA OC (2)EMPIRE SC
Position13th1st
Record (W-D-L)0-0-35-0-0
Points per game0.003.00
Goals for / game0.73.4
Goals against / game7.70.8
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L L LW W W W W
Biggest win—5–0 at Reds FC 2
Worst loss1–9 at Rangers FC 2—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-3.37+1.68
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00-0.01

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    EMPIRE SC concede only 0.8/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–5 vs Crusaders SC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 1%; a draw (1%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    EMPIRE SC have won 5 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Eastvale Community Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Reds FC 2 sit 12th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Reds FC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the EMPIRE SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (BOCA OC (2) – EMPIRE SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds
Win
0.75 PPG
10th▲ up 3 10th▲ up 3 12th▲ up 1
Draw
0.25 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–6 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
12.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th 8%
  13. 13th 89%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 EMPIRE SC 3.00 (+3.00) 3rd (2.38) 72 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 2.71 (+2.71) 1st (2.63) 66 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 64 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Chula Vista FC 2 2.29 (+2.29) 2nd (2.45) 55 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 59 for their projection
4 Crusaders SC 1.88 (+1.88) 4th (1.70) 46 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
5 Rangers FC 2 1.67 (+1.67) 5th (1.66) 41 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
6 AC Brea (2) 1.50 (+1.50) 7th (1.27) 36 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
7 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 1.29 (+1.29) 6th (1.50) 31 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
8 Zeta Academy 1.00 (+1.00) 8th (1.24) 24 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
9 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 1.00 (+1.00) 12th (0.73) 24 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
10 Elite FC 2 0.67 (+0.67) 9th (1.07) A point next game
11 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 0.50 (+0.50) 10th (0.96) A point next game
12 Reds FC 2 0.50 (+0.50) 11th (0.81) A point next game

How the results connect

9 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link BOCA OC (2) to EMPIRE SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
9 favour them
-10.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–5 3–1 0–3 0–1 2–3 1–9 3–2 1–2 2–4 2–0 0–5 1–1 1–9 1–2 2–4 0–10 0–2 BOCA OC (2) 13th Crusaders SC 4th Rangers FC 2 5th ALBION SC Santa Ana… 11th Elite FC 2 10th ALBION SC San Diego… 7th Zeta Academy 8th Reds FC 2 12th Chula Vista FC 2 3rd EMPIRE SC 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.18 · 2nd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
12:00 PM
EMPIRE SC
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +13
Away
Eastvale Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–6 0.03 0.01 Upside
Sat Oct 31
12:55 PM
Zeta Academy
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -8
Away
Portola Springs Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–4 0.37 0.08 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:45 PM
Elite FC 2
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -12
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–3 0.73 0.19 Upside
Sun Nov 8
02:30 PM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
7th · 3-0-4 · GD -4
Away
Madison High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.28 0.20 Upside
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +30
Away
SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–9 0.01 0.18 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
4th · 5-0-3 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–4 0.14 0.17 Upside
Sun Mar 7
01:45 PM
Rangers FC 2
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +5
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–5 0.22 0.18 Upside
Sun Mar 14
01:45 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Upper)
●●●●● Very tough
18%
2–4 0.65 0.22 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +27
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–8 0.01 0.20 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
6th · 1-0-1 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–5 0.31 0.21 Upside
Sat Apr 3
01:45 PM
Rayados Academy San Diego
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +30
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–8 0.01 0.20 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.64 0.23 Upside
Sat Apr 10
01:45 PM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -14
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–3 1.11 0.28 Upside
Sun Apr 18
01:45 PM
EMPIRE SC
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +13
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–5 0.07 0.27 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:30 PM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -14
Away
RJRSP
●●●●● Very tough
21%
2–4 0.77 0.30 Upside
Sun Apr 25
01:45 PM
Zeta Academy
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -8
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.57 0.31 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -12
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.49 0.32 Upside
Sat May 1
12:15 PM
Chula Vista FC 2
3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +27
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
0%
1–7 0.02 0.31 Upside
Sun May 2
01:45 PM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
7th · 3-0-4 · GD -4
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.45 0.31 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
6th · 1-0-1 · GD -4
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
13%
2–4 0.51 0.32 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.90 0.35 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 EMPIRE SC 5500 174+13 153.00 WWWWW -0.01 -0.33 100% 2.5
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 7610 355+30 192.71 WWWWD +0.02 -0.52 100% 1.4
3 Chula Vista FC 2 7511 347+27 162.29 LWWWD +0.01 -0.49 100% 2.2
4 Crusaders SC 8503 177+10 151.88 WWLWW -1.10 +0.29 44% 4.9
5 Rangers FC 2 6312 1914+5 101.67 WWLWL -0.30 -0.11 40% 5.0
6 AC Brea (2) 2101 48-4 31.50 LW +0.99 -0.17 3% 7.6
7 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7304 1014-4 91.29 LLWWL +0.93 -0.56 11% 6.0
8 Zeta Academy 6204 917-8 61.00 LWLLL +1.16 -0.47 1% 7.8
9 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3102 317-14 31.00 WLL +0.74 -0.04 0% 11.3
10 Elite FC 2 6114 719-12 40.67 WLLLL +1.32 -0.48 1% 9.0
11 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6105 1223-11 30.50 LWLLL +0.25 -0.13 0% 9.7
12 Reds FC 2 6105 617-11 30.50 LLLLW +0.02 -0.03 0% 10.8
13 BOCA OC (2) 3003 223-21 00.00 LLL +0.00 +0.18 0% 12.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.