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Rangers FC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U15 · 13 teams · Rangers FC (all teams)

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5th
3-1-2 record · 6 played
1.67 points per game
+5 goal diff · 19–14
WWLWLlast 5
39% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.0
-0.30 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 02:25 PM

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Rangers FC 2
5th · 1.67 PPG
vs
EMPIRE SC
1st · 3.00 PPG

Fullerton College, Sherbeck Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.9 against · 0.86 expected points)

Season so farRangers FC 2EMPIRE SC
Position5th1st
Record (W-D-L)3-1-25-0-0
Points per game1.673.00
Goals for / game3.23.4
Goals against / game2.30.8
Clean sheets13
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L W L W WW W W W W
Biggest win9–1 vs BOCA OC (2)5–0 at Reds FC 2
Worst loss1–6 at Rayados Academy San Diego—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.46+1.68
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.30-0.01

Common opponents: Elite FC 2 — we 1–1; they 3–0. ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 3–2; they 3–2. Reds FC 2 — we 2–4; they 5–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    EMPIRE SC concede only 0.8/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    EMPIRE SC have won 5 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the EMPIRE SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rangers FC 2 – EMPIRE SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.43 PPG
6th▼ down 1 5th— holds 8th▼ down 3
Win
1.86 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 6th▼ down 1
Draw
1.57 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 6th▼ down 1
Loss
1.43 PPG
6th▼ down 1 5th— holds 8th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
39% top 4
61% below the top 4
5.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 38%
  5. 5th 35%
  6. 6th 17%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 EMPIRE SC 3.00 (+1.33) 3rd (2.38) 62 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 2.71 (+1.04) 1st (2.63) 56 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
3 Chula Vista FC 2 2.29 (+0.62) 2nd (2.45) 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
4 Crusaders SC 1.88 (+0.21) 4th (1.70) 36 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection

How the results connect

17 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Rangers FC 2 to EMPIRE SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
4 even
11 favour them
-2.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–2 2–3 1–1 0–3 2–4 0–5 3–0 1–2 2–4 2–0 2–1 0–1 1–6 7–1 8–1 3–1 2–0 3–0 Rangers FC 2 5th ALBION SC San Diego… 7th Elite FC 2 10th Reds FC 2 12th Crusaders SC 4th Rayados Academy San… 2nd Zeta Academy 8th EMPIRE SC 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.11 · 5th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
02:25 PM
EMPIRE SC
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +13
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.86 1.55 Upside
Sat Nov 7
02:25 PM
Zeta Academy
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -8
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.11 1.62 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
12:30 PM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -14
Away
RJRSP
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
4–1 2.43 1.71 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
02:25 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
4–2 2.30 1.77 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -12
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.98 1.79 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
01:45 PM
BOCA OC (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -21
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
5–1 2.72 1.87 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
7th · 3-0-4 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
2–1 1.83 1.86 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +30
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.41 1.76 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +27
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.53 1.68 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
4th · 5-0-3 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.04 1.64 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
3–1 2.38 1.68 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
6th · 1-0-1 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
3–2 2.13 1.71 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.61 1.65 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–2 1.80 1.66 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -14
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
5–1 2.65 1.70 Bank it
Sat May 8
12:00 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Away
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
3–2 2.00 1.72 Swing game
Sun May 23
03:15 PM
AC Brea (2)
6th · 1-0-1 · GD -4
Away
Grass - Whittier College · grass
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
3–2 1.80 1.72 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +27
Away
Castle Park High School
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–4 0.33 1.66 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 EMPIRE SC 5500 174+13 153.00 WWWWW -0.01 -0.33 100% 2.5
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 7610 355+30 192.71 WWWWD +0.02 -0.52 100% 1.4
3 Chula Vista FC 2 7511 347+27 162.29 LWWWD +0.01 -0.49 100% 2.2
4 Crusaders SC 8503 177+10 151.88 WWLWW -1.10 +0.29 47% 4.8
5 Rangers FC 2 6312 1914+5 101.67 WWLWL -0.30 -0.11 39% 5.0
6 AC Brea (2) 2101 48-4 31.50 LW +0.99 -0.17 3% 7.6
7 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7304 1014-4 91.29 LLWWL +0.93 -0.56 11% 6.1
8 Zeta Academy 6204 917-8 61.00 LWLLL +1.16 -0.47 1% 7.8
9 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3102 317-14 31.00 WLL +0.74 -0.04 0% 11.3
10 Elite FC 2 6114 719-12 40.67 WLLLL +1.32 -0.48 0% 9.0
11 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6105 1223-11 30.50 LWLLL +0.25 -0.13 0% 9.8
12 Reds FC 2 6105 617-11 30.50 LLLLW +0.02 -0.03 0% 10.7
13 BOCA OC (2) 3003 223-21 00.00 LLL +0.00 +0.18 0% 12.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.