TableChase Clubs

Chula Vista FC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U15 · 13 teams · Chula Vista FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 34 minutes ago.
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3rd
5-1-1 record · 7 played
2.29 points per game
+27 goal diff · 34–7
LWWWDlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.2
+0.01 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

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Chula Vista FC 2
3rd · 2.29 PPG
vs
Crusaders SC
4th · 1.88 PPG

Hoover High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.6 for, 1.1 against · 2.21 expected points)

Season so farChula Vista FC 2Crusaders SC
Position3rd4th
Record (W-D-L)5-1-15-0-3
Points per game2.291.88
Goals for / game4.92.1
Goals against / game1.00.9
Clean sheets34
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)D W W W LW W L W W
Biggest win12–0 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)5–0 at BOCA OC (2)
Worst loss0–2 vs EMPIRE SC0–3 at Rangers FC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.74+0.65
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.01-1.10

Common opponents: ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 4–1; they 0–1. FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) — we 12–0; they 3–0. Zeta Academy — we 3–0; they 1–2. ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 — we 10–0; they 3–0. Elite FC 2 — we 3–2; they 3–1.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Crusaders SC concede only 0.9/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs EMPIRE SC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 68% / draw 17% / loss 15%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Crusaders SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chula Vista FC 2 – Crusaders SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.38 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
2.38 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
2.13 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Loss
2.00 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

17% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
2.2 average finish
  1. 1st 17%
  2. 2nd 50%
  3. 3rd 33%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.79 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 EMPIRE SC 3.00 (+0.71) 3rd (2.38) 56 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 2.71 (+0.42) 1st (2.63) 50 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection

How the results connect

24 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Chula Vista FC 2 to Crusaders SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

19 favour us
2 even
3 favour them
+4.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–2 1–3 3–0 2–1 4–1 1–0 10–0 0–3 12–0 0–3 2–2 3–0 0–2 3–2 2–1 4–2 5–0 0–2 3–0 1–2 Chula Vista FC 2 3rd Elite FC 2 10th Zeta Academy 8th ALBION SC San Diego… 7th ALBION SC Santa Ana… 11th FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 9th Rayados Academy San… 2nd EMPIRE SC 1st Reds FC 2 12th Crusaders SC 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.49 · 11th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Crusaders SC
4th · 5-0-3 · GD +10
Home
Hoover High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.21 2.28 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
01:00 PM
Reds FC 2
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Home
O'Farrell Charter High School · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
4–0 2.86 2.34 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
6th · 1-0-1 · GD -4
Away
Grass - Whittier College · grass
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
4–1 2.68 2.38 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
03:00 PM
Zeta Academy
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -8
Home
Hoover High School · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
4–1 2.78 2.41 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
7th · 3-0-4 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
3–1 2.61 2.43 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -14
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
7–1 2.95 2.47 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–1 1.61 2.41 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
BOCA OC (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -21
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
8–0 2.99 2.45 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.35 2.44 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
5–1 2.76 2.46 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -12
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
4–0 2.83 2.48 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +30
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–2 1.04 2.40 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
4th · 5-0-3 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.97 2.38 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
4–0 2.77 2.40 Bank it
Sat May 1
12:15 PM
BOCA OC (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -21
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
7–1 2.97 2.43 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
6th · 1-0-1 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
5–1 2.81 2.44 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +5
Home
Castle Park High School
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
4–1 2.58 2.45 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 EMPIRE SC 5500 174+13 153.00 WWWWW -0.01 -0.33 100% 2.5
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 7610 355+30 192.71 WWWWD +0.02 -0.52 100% 1.4
3 Chula Vista FC 2 7511 347+27 162.29 LWWWD +0.01 -0.49 100% 2.2
4 Crusaders SC 8503 177+10 151.88 WWLWW -1.10 +0.29 46% 4.8
5 Rangers FC 2 6312 1914+5 101.67 WWLWL -0.30 -0.11 39% 5.0
6 AC Brea (2) 2101 48-4 31.50 LW +0.99 -0.17 2% 7.6
7 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7304 1014-4 91.29 LLWWL +0.93 -0.56 11% 6.1
8 Zeta Academy 6204 917-8 61.00 LWLLL +1.16 -0.47 2% 7.8
9 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3102 317-14 31.00 WLL +0.74 -0.04 0% 11.3
10 Elite FC 2 6114 719-12 40.67 WLLLL +1.32 -0.48 0% 9.0
11 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6105 1223-11 30.50 LWLLL +0.25 -0.13 0% 9.8
12 Reds FC 2 6105 617-11 30.50 LLLLW +0.02 -0.03 0% 10.8
13 BOCA OC (2) 3003 223-21 00.00 LLL +0.00 +0.18 0% 12.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.