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FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U15 · 13 teams · FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (all teams)

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9th
1-0-2 record · 3 played
1.00 points per game
-14 goal diff · 3–17
WLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.3
+0.74 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
9th · 1.00 PPG
at

Hickman Fields, Hickman #1 11 v 11 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.5 for, 3.3 against · 0.53 expected points)

Season so farFLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)ALBION SC San Diego (1)
Position9th7th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-23-0-4
Points per game1.001.29
Goals for / game1.01.4
Goals against / game5.72.0
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)L L WL W W L L
Biggest win3–2 vs Reds FC 22–0 at Reds FC 2
Worst loss0–12 vs Chula Vista FC 21–4 vs Chula Vista FC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.14-0.12
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.74+0.93

Common opponents: Reds FC 2 — we 3–2; they 2–0. Chula Vista FC 2 — we 0–12; they 1–4. Crusaders SC — we 0–3; they 1–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–12 vs Chula Vista FC 2, 0–3 at Crusaders SC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 13%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Hickman Fields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Zeta Academy sit 8th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above Zeta Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC San Diego (1) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) – ALBION SC San Diego (1)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.75 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Win
1.50 PPG
7th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 2
Draw
1.00 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 10th▼ down 1
Loss
0.75 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 5%
  10. 10th 12%
  11. 11th 27%
  12. 12th 47%
  13. 13th 7%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.75 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 EMPIRE SC 3.00 (+2.00) 3rd (2.38) 69 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 2.71 (+1.71) 1st (2.63) 63 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 61 for their projection
3 Chula Vista FC 2 2.29 (+1.29) 2nd (2.45) 52 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection
4 Crusaders SC 1.88 (+0.88) 4th (1.70) 43 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
5 Rangers FC 2 1.67 (+0.67) 5th (1.66) 38 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
6 AC Brea (2) 1.50 (+0.50) 7th (1.27) Win next game
7 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 1.29 (+0.29) 6th (1.50) A point next game
8 Zeta Academy 1.00 (+0.00) 8th (1.24) A point next game

How the results connect

13 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) to ALBION SC San Diego (1) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
12 favour them
-4.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–2 0–2 0–3 0–1 0–12 4–1 0–2 0–3 1–2 0–5 3–2 4–2 3–2 1–2 0–3 2–2 3–0 3–0 FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 9th Reds FC 2 12th Crusaders SC 4th Chula Vista FC 2 3rd Zeta Academy 8th EMPIRE SC 1st Rangers FC 2 5th Rayados Academy San… 2nd ALBION SC San Diego… 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.04 · 4th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
7th · 3-0-4 · GD -4
Away
Hickman Fields
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.53 0.88 Upside
Sun Nov 1
11:25 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Away
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●● Very tough
21%
2–3 0.76 0.86 Upside
Sat Nov 7
12:00 PM
Rayados Academy San Diego
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +30
Home
South Fontana
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–6 0.05 0.72 Upside
Sun Nov 8
12:30 PM
Rangers FC 2
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +5
Home
RJRSP
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–4 0.46 0.69 Upside
Sun Nov 15
01:00 PM
Reds FC 2
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Away
Portola Springs Park
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.01 0.73 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
6th · 1-0-1 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
2–4 0.60 0.71 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +27
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–7 0.03 0.65 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
4th · 5-0-3 · GD +10
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.45 0.63 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -12
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–3 0.84 0.64 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +13
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.18 0.61 Upside
Sat Apr 10
01:45 PM
BOCA OC (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -21
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
3–2 1.74 0.69 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–3 0.67 0.69 Upside
Sat Apr 17
12:30 PM
Zeta Academy
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -8
Home
RJRSP
●●●●○ Tough
26%
2–3 0.95 0.70 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
7th · 3-0-4 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.76 0.71 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:30 PM
BOCA OC (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -21
Home
RJRSP
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
4–2 2.09 0.78 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–3 1.08 0.80 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +30
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–7 0.02 0.76 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–5 0.28 0.74 Upside
Tue May 25
11:15 AM
Elite FC 2
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -12
Home
South Fontana
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–2 1.14 0.76 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +13
Away
Eastvale Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.10 0.73 Upside
Sat May 29
12:30 PM
AC Brea (2)
6th · 1-0-1 · GD -4
Home
RJRSP
●●●●● Very tough
25%
2–3 0.89 0.73 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 EMPIRE SC 5500 174+13 153.00 WWWWW -0.01 -0.33 100% 2.5
2 Rayados Academy San Diego 7610 355+30 192.71 WWWWD +0.02 -0.52 100% 1.3
3 Chula Vista FC 2 7511 347+27 162.29 LWWWD +0.01 -0.49 100% 2.2
4 Crusaders SC 8503 177+10 151.88 WWLWW -1.10 +0.29 45% 4.9
5 Rangers FC 2 6312 1914+5 101.67 WWLWL -0.30 -0.11 38% 5.0
6 AC Brea (2) 2101 48-4 31.50 LW +0.99 -0.17 3% 7.6
7 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7304 1014-4 91.29 LLWWL +0.93 -0.56 12% 6.1
8 Zeta Academy 6204 917-8 61.00 LWLLL +1.16 -0.47 2% 7.8
9 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3102 317-14 31.00 WLL +0.74 -0.04 0% 11.3
10 Elite FC 2 6114 719-12 40.67 WLLLL +1.32 -0.48 0% 9.0
11 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6105 1223-11 30.50 LWLLL +0.25 -0.13 0% 9.8
12 Reds FC 2 6105 617-11 30.50 LLLLW +0.02 -0.03 0% 10.7
13 BOCA OC (2) 3003 223-21 00.00 LLL +0.00 +0.18 0% 12.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.