TableChase Clubs

Unico Futbol Club

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U16 · 13 teams · Unico Futbol Club (all teams)

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2nd
5-0-1 record · 6 played
2.50 points per game
+18 goal diff · 23–5
LWWWWlast 5
99% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.1
+0.07 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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Unico Futbol Club
2nd · 2.50 PPG
at
Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 0.00 PPG

Kern County Soccer Park, 7 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 5–0 (expected goals 5.6 for, 0.7 against · 2.93 expected points)

Season so farUnico Futbol ClubCentral Cal Aztecs 2
Position2nd13th
Record (W-D-L)5-0-10-0-7
Points per game2.500.00
Goals for / game3.80.6
Goals against / game0.85.3
Clean sheets30
Held scoreless04
Form (recent first)W W W W LL L L L L
Biggest win7–0 vs FC Man United—
Worst loss2–3 at TFA-SGV0–8 at Central Coast Surf Soccer
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.98-3.22
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.07-0.00

Common opponents: FC Man United — we 7–0; they 0–6. ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) — we 3–1; they 1–4. ALBION SC SCV — we 5–0; they 0–6.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Central Cal Aztecs 2 average 0.6 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 4 of 7.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Central Cal Aztecs 2 concede 5.3/game; worst result 0–8 at Central Coast Surf Soccer.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 97% chance; likely score 5–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Central Cal Aztecs 2 have lost 7 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Kern County Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Central Cal Aztecs 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Unico Futbol Club – Central Cal Aztecs 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.57 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Win
2.57 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.29 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Loss
2.14 PPG		 2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 5–0 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

9% finish 1st
99% top 4
1% below the top 4
2.1 average finish
  1. 1st 9%
  2. 2nd 77%
  3. 3rd 11%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3.00 (+0.50) 1st (2.67) 57 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection

How the results connect

23 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Unico Futbol Club to Central Cal Aztecs 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

22 favour us
1 favour them
+8.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 4–1 5–0 6–0 7–0 6–0 1–6 4–0 2–3 0–3 4–1 2–0 1–3 4–1 0–3 2–0 5–2 2–0 2–5 0–3 3–2 Unico Futbol Club 2nd ALBION SC Antelope … 12th ALBION SC SCV 7th FC Man United 8th TFA-SGV 4th Central Coast Unite… 5th Dynamo 9th Oxnard United Socce… 1st Oaks FC 2 11th LA Surf SC SFV 10th Central Cal Aztecs 2 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.21 · 12th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -33		 Away
Kern County Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
97%		 5–0 2.93 2.56 Bank it
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM		 Oaks FC 2
11th · 2-0-6 · GD -25		 Away
River Ridge		 ●○○○○ Favorable
93%		 5–1 2.84 2.60 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
04:00 PM		 Valley United Soccer Club
3rd · 4-3-0 · GD +10		 Away
Birmingham High School		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
50%		 2–1 1.70 2.50 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
08:30 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +8		 Home
Elings Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
69%		 3–1 2.22 2.47 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
01:30 PM		 LA Surf SC SFV
10th · 2-0-6 · GD -12		 Home
Santa Barbara High School · turf?		 ●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 5–1 2.82 2.50 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
04:45 PM		 FC Man United
8th · 3-1-3 · GD -1		 Away
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
72%		 3–1 2.30 2.49 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
12:00 PM		 TFA-SGV
4th · 5-0-3 · GD +3		 Home
Santa Barbara High School · turf?		 ●●○○○ Lean win
74%		 3–1 2.35 2.47 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
9th · 3-0-4 · GD -6		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 3–1 2.42 2.47 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
12th · 1-1-4 · GD -9		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
87%		 3–0 2.70 2.49 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
10:00 AM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +8		 Away
CMT Ranch		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
54%		 2–1 1.80 2.44 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +32		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 1–2 1.12 2.37 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
7th · 4-0-4 · GD +7		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 3–1 2.03 2.35 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +8		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 2–1 1.94 2.32 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -33		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
98%		 6–0 2.97 2.36 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
11th · 2-0-6 · GD -25		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
96%		 6–1 2.92 2.38 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
3rd · 4-3-0 · GD +10		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 2–1 1.98 2.37 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
10th · 2-0-6 · GD -12		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
87%		 4–1 2.69 2.38 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +32		 Away
River Ridge Playfields		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 1–2 0.85 2.32 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7700 364+32 213.00 WWWWW -0.65 -0.06 100% 1.1
2 Unico Futbol Club 6501 235+18 152.50 LWWWW +0.07 -0.21 99% 2.1
3 Valley United Soccer Club 7430 199+10 152.14 DWWWW -0.16 -0.02 70% 4.0
4 TFA-SGV 8503 1916+3 151.88 LWWWL -0.17 +0.07 13% 6.2
5 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7403 2113+8 121.71 WWLLW +0.74 -0.39 64% 4.2
6 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6312 2113+8 101.67 WLLWW -0.05 -0.07 34% 5.2
7 ALBION SC SCV 8404 2619+7 121.50 WLLLL +0.23 -0.11 20% 5.8
8 FC Man United 7313 1617-1 101.43 WDWLW -0.47 +0.20 1% 8.1
9 Dynamo 7304 1319-6 91.29 LLWWW +0.13 -0.02 0% 8.6
10 LA Surf SC SFV 8206 2032-12 60.75 LLLLL -0.34 +0.40 0% 10.8
11 Oaks FC 2 8206 1439-25 60.75 LWWLL -0.10 +0.35 0% 11.8
12 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6114 817-9 40.67 WLLLL +0.40 -0.01 0% 10.1
13 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7007 437-33 00.00 LLLLL -0.00 +0.42 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.