TableChase Clubs

Oaks FC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U16 · 13 teams · Oaks FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 25 minutes ago.
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11th
2-0-6 record · 8 played
0.75 points per game
-25 goal diff · 14–39
LWWLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.7
-0.10 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 01:00 PM

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Oaks FC 2
11th · 0.75 PPG
vs
Unico Futbol Club
2nd · 2.50 PPG

River Ridge, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–5 (expected goals 1.2 for, 5.4 against · 0.12 expected points)

Season so farOaks FC 2Unico Futbol Club
Position11th2nd
Record (W-D-L)2-0-65-0-1
Points per game0.752.50
Goals for / game1.83.8
Goals against / game4.90.8
Clean sheets13
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L L W W LW W W W L
Biggest win3–0 vs TFA-SGV7–0 vs FC Man United
Worst loss1–11 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club2–3 at TFA-SGV
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.29+1.98
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.10+0.07

Common opponents: ALBION SC SCV — we 1–5; they 5–0. FC Man United — we 1–5; they 7–0. TFA-SGV — we 3–0; they 2–3. Dynamo — we 1–3; they 4–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Unico Futbol Club score 3.8/game — well above the league's 2.5.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Unico Futbol Club concede only 0.8/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–6 at Central Coast Surf Soccer.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 3%; a draw (4%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Unico Futbol Club have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • What a win does
    LA Surf SC SFV sit 10th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.75.

    A point moves us above LA Surf SC SFV on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Unico Futbol Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Oaks FC 2 – Unico Futbol Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.67 PPG		 12th▼ down 1 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG		 10th▲ up 1 10th▲ up 1 12th▼ down 1
Draw
0.78 PPG		 10th▲ up 1 10th▲ up 1 12th▼ down 1
Loss
0.67 PPG		 12th▼ down 1 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–5 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th 4%
  11. 11th 18%
  12. 12th 77%
  13. 13th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3.00 (+2.25) 1st (2.67) 66 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 59 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Unico Futbol Club 2.50 (+1.75) 2nd (2.32) 54 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Valley United Soccer Club 2.14 (+1.39) 3rd (1.93) 46 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
4 TFA-SGV 1.88 (+1.13) 7th (1.62) 40 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
5 Central Coast United Soccer Club 1.71 (+0.96) 4th (1.89) 36 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
6 Central Coast Surf Soccer 1.67 (+0.92) 5th (1.74) 35 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
7 ALBION SC SCV 1.50 (+0.75) 6th (1.65) 30 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
8 FC Man United 1.43 (+0.68) 8th (1.32) 29 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
9 Dynamo 1.29 (+0.54) 9th (1.21) 25 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
10 LA Surf SC SFV 0.75 (+0.00) 11th (0.78) Already ahead

How the results connect

27 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Oaks FC 2 to Unico Futbol Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
24 favour them
-6.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 3–2 1–3 1–4 1–5 0–5 1–5 0–7 3–0 1–3 4–1 1–4 4–2 1–5 0–2 2–0 5–2 5–1 Oaks FC 2 11th TFA-SGV 4th Dynamo 9th ALBION SC SCV 7th FC Man United 8th Central Cal Aztecs 2 13th ALBION SC Antelope … 12th Central Coast Unite… 5th Unico Futbol Club 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.35 · 3rd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM		 Unico Futbol Club
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +18		 Home
River Ridge		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 1–5 0.12 0.68 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
12th · 1-1-4 · GD -9		 Home
River Ridge		 ●●●●○ Tough
30%		 2–2 1.07 0.72 Upside
Sun Nov 8
10:00 AM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +8		 Away
CMT Ranch		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 1–5 0.17 0.67 Upside
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +32		 Away
River Ridge Playfields		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–7 0.02 0.61 Upside
Sun Nov 15
11:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
7th · 4-0-4 · GD +7		 Home
River Ridge		 ●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–4 0.38 0.60 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
8th · 3-1-3 · GD -1		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 2–3 0.68 0.60 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
10th · 2-0-6 · GD -12		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 2–4 0.75 0.61 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
4th · 5-0-3 · GD +3		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–4 0.34 0.60 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
3rd · 4-3-0 · GD +10		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–4 0.30 0.58 Upside
Sun Apr 4
09:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -33		 Away
Kern County Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 3–2 1.95 0.65 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
9th · 3-0-4 · GD -6		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
15%		 1–3 0.58 0.65 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +8		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–4 0.33 0.63 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 Unico Futbol Club
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +18		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–6 0.06 0.61 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
12th · 1-1-4 · GD -9		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 1–3 0.78 0.62 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +8		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–4 0.30 0.60 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
3rd · 4-3-0 · GD +10		 Away
Valley United Soccer Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 1–4 0.18 0.58 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7700 364+32 213.00 WWWWW -0.65 -0.06 100% 1.1
2 Unico Futbol Club 6501 235+18 152.50 LWWWW +0.07 -0.21 99% 2.1
3 Valley United Soccer Club 7430 199+10 152.14 DWWWW -0.16 -0.02 71% 4.0
4 TFA-SGV 8503 1916+3 151.88 LWWWL -0.17 +0.07 13% 6.2
5 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7403 2113+8 121.71 WWLLW +0.74 -0.39 64% 4.2
6 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6312 2113+8 101.67 WLLWW -0.05 -0.07 35% 5.2
7 ALBION SC SCV 8404 2619+7 121.50 WLLLL +0.23 -0.11 17% 5.9
8 FC Man United 7313 1617-1 101.43 WDWLW -0.47 +0.20 1% 8.1
9 Dynamo 7304 1319-6 91.29 LLWWW +0.13 -0.02 0% 8.7
10 LA Surf SC SFV 8206 2032-12 60.75 LLLLL -0.34 +0.40 0% 10.8
11 Oaks FC 2 8206 1439-25 60.75 LWWLL -0.10 +0.35 0% 11.7
12 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6114 817-9 40.67 WLLLL +0.40 -0.01 0% 10.1
13 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7007 437-33 00.00 LLLLL -0.00 +0.42 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.