TableChase Clubs

Dynamo

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U16 · 13 teams · Dynamo (all teams)

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9th
3-0-4 record · 7 played
1.29 points per game
-6 goal diff · 13–19
LLWWWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.7
+0.13 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM

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Dynamo
9th · 1.29 PPG
at
Central Coast Surf Soccer
6th · 1.67 PPG

Talley Fields, Field #2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.8 for, 3.4 against · 0.66 expected points)

Season so farDynamoCentral Coast Surf Soccer
Position9th6th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-43-1-2
Points per game1.291.67
Goals for / game1.93.5
Goals against / game2.72.2
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W W W L LW W L L W
Biggest win3–0 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)8–0 vs Central Cal Aztecs 2
Worst loss1–5 vs TFA-SGV1–6 at Oxnard United Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.49+0.82
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.13-0.05

Common opponents: Oxnard United Soccer Club — we 0–3; they 1–6. Valley United Soccer Club — we 2–4; they 2–2. Oaks FC 2 — we 3–1; they 6–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 17%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Talley Fields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    FC Man United sit 8th on 1.43 PPG; we are on 1.29.

    A point moves us above FC Man United on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Central Coast Surf Soccer game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dynamo – Central Coast Surf Soccer) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.13 PPG		 9th— holds 9th— holds 10th▼ down 1
Win
1.50 PPG		 7th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 1
Draw
1.25 PPG		 9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds
Loss
1.13 PPG		 9th— holds 9th— holds 10th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
8.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 26%
  9. 9th 46%
  10. 10th 14%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3.00 (+1.71) 1st (2.67) 63 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Unico Futbol Club 2.50 (+1.21) 2nd (2.32) 51 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
3 Valley United Soccer Club 2.14 (+0.85) 3rd (1.93) 43 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
4 TFA-SGV 1.88 (+0.59) 7th (1.62) 37 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
5 Central Coast United Soccer Club 1.71 (+0.42) 4th (1.89) 33 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
6 Central Coast Surf Soccer 1.67 (+0.38) 5th (1.74) 32 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
7 ALBION SC SCV 1.50 (+0.21) 6th (1.65) Win next game
8 FC Man United 1.43 (+0.14) 8th (1.32) A point next game

How the results connect

24 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Dynamo to Central Coast Surf Soccer through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
2 even
15 favour them
-2.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–4 2–2 0–3 6–1 3–1 0–6 3–2 8–3 3–0 2–3 11–1 3–1 3–1 3–0 1–4 2–0 5–0 1–6 3–0 4–1 0–8 Dynamo 9th Valley United Socce… 3rd Oxnard United Socce… 1st Oaks FC 2 11th LA Surf SC SFV 10th Unico Futbol Club 2nd ALBION SC Antelope … 12th ALBION SC SCV 7th Central Coast Unite… 5th Central Cal Aztecs 2 13th Central Coast Surf … 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.02 · 7th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
12:00 PM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +8		 Away
Talley Fields		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–3 0.66 1.21 Upside
Sat Oct 31
04:30 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +8		 Home
Van Nuys / Sherman Oaks Rec Center		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 1–2 0.84 1.17 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
7th · 4-0-4 · GD +7		 Home
Ribet Academy · grass		 ●●●●○ Tough
28%		 2–2 1.01 1.15 Upside
Sat Nov 7
04:30 PM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -33		 Home
Van Nuys / Sherman Oaks Rec Center		 ●○○○○ Favorable
85%		 3–1 2.64 1.29 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
10:45 AM		 TFA-SGV
4th · 5-0-3 · GD +3		 Away
Azusa High School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
24%		 1–2 0.90 1.25 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Unico Futbol Club
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +18		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.46 1.19 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +32		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 0–4 0.14 1.12 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
3rd · 4-3-0 · GD +10		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
14%		 1–2 0.59 1.08 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
8th · 3-1-3 · GD -1		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
40%		 2–2 1.39 1.10 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
12th · 1-1-4 · GD -9		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
42%		 2–1 1.47 1.12 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
11th · 2-0-6 · GD -25		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
72%		 3–1 2.29 1.19 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
10th · 2-0-6 · GD -12		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
58%		 3–2 1.89 1.22 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +8		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
25%		 2–2 0.93 1.21 Upside
Sat Apr 24
10:00 AM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +8		 Away
CMT Ranch		 ●●●●● Very tough
15%		 1–3 0.60 1.18 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
7th · 4-0-4 · GD +7		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
19%		 1–3 0.73 1.16 Upside
Sun May 2
09:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -33		 Away
Kern County Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
78%		 3–1 2.46 1.22 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
8th · 3-1-3 · GD -1		 Away
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
30%		 1–2 1.08 1.21 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7700 364+32 213.00 WWWWW -0.65 -0.06 100% 1.1
2 Unico Futbol Club 6501 235+18 152.50 LWWWW +0.07 -0.21 99% 2.1
3 Valley United Soccer Club 7430 199+10 152.14 DWWWW -0.16 -0.02 70% 4.0
4 TFA-SGV 8503 1916+3 151.88 LWWWL -0.17 +0.07 14% 6.2
5 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7403 2113+8 121.71 WWLLW +0.74 -0.39 64% 4.2
6 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6312 2113+8 101.67 WLLWW -0.05 -0.07 32% 5.2
7 ALBION SC SCV 8404 2619+7 121.50 WLLLL +0.23 -0.11 20% 5.9
8 FC Man United 7313 1617-1 101.43 WDWLW -0.47 +0.20 1% 8.1
9 Dynamo 7304 1319-6 91.29 LLWWW +0.13 -0.02 0% 8.7
10 LA Surf SC SFV 8206 2032-12 60.75 LLLLL -0.34 +0.40 0% 10.8
11 Oaks FC 2 8206 1439-25 60.75 LWWLL -0.10 +0.35 0% 11.7
12 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6114 817-9 40.67 WLLLL +0.40 -0.01 0% 10.1
13 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7007 437-33 00.00 LLLLL -0.00 +0.42 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.