TableChase Clubs

FC Man United

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U16 · 13 teams · FC Man United (all teams)

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8th
3-1-3 record · 7 played
1.43 points per game
-1 goal diff · 16–17
WDWLWlast 5
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.1
-0.47 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:25 PM

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FC Man United
8th · 1.43 PPG
at
ALBION SC SCV
7th · 1.50 PPG

Turf - West Ranch High School, Stadium ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.0 for, 3.1 against · 0.88 expected points)

Season so farFC Man UnitedALBION SC SCV
Position8th7th
Record (W-D-L)3-1-34-0-4
Points per game1.431.50
Goals for / game2.33.3
Goals against / game2.42.4
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless33
Form (recent first)W L W D WL L L L W
Biggest win6–0 vs Central Cal Aztecs 28–2 at LA Surf SC SFV
Worst loss0–7 at Unico Futbol Club0–5 at Unico Futbol Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.16+0.62
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.47+0.23

Common opponents: Unico Futbol Club — we 0–7; they 0–5. Central Coast United Soccer Club — we 0–4; they 5–2. Oaks FC 2 — we 5–1; they 5–1. Valley United Soccer Club — we 0–0; they 0–3. LA Surf SC SFV — we 3–1; they 8–2. Central Cal Aztecs 2 — we 6–0; they 6–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–7 at Unico Futbol Club, 0–4 at Central Coast United Soccer Club, 0–0 vs Valley United Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 24%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    ALBION SC SCV have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:25 PM at Turf - West Ranch High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    ALBION SC SCV sit 7th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.43.

    A point moves us above ALBION SC SCV on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC SCV game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Man United – ALBION SC SCV) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.25 PPG		 9th▼ down 1 8th— holds 9th▼ down 1
Win
1.63 PPG		 7th▲ up 1 6th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 1
Draw
1.38 PPG		 8th— holds 8th— holds 9th▼ down 1
Loss
1.25 PPG		 9th▼ down 1 8th— holds 9th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
8.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 5%
  7. 7th 15%
  8. 8th 41%
  9. 9th 27%
  10. 10th 8%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.54 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3.00 (+1.57) 1st (2.67) 62 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Unico Futbol Club 2.50 (+1.07) 2nd (2.32) 50 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
3 Valley United Soccer Club 2.14 (+0.71) 3rd (1.93) 42 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
4 TFA-SGV 1.88 (+0.45) 7th (1.62) 36 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
5 Central Coast United Soccer Club 1.71 (+0.28) 4th (1.89) 32 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
6 Central Coast Surf Soccer 1.67 (+0.24) 5th (1.74) 31 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
7 ALBION SC SCV 1.50 (+0.07) 6th (1.65) A point next game

How the results connect

30 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link FC Man United to ALBION SC SCV through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
3 even
20 favour them
-2.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
6–0 0–6 5–1 1–5 0–7 5–0 0–0 3–0 3–1 2–8 0–4 2–5 2–4 2–3 0–8 3–2 1–4 5–2 1–5 2–2 FC Man United 8th Central Cal Aztecs 2 13th Oaks FC 2 11th Unico Futbol Club 2nd Valley United Socce… 3rd LA Surf SC SFV 10th Central Coast Unite… 5th TFA-SGV 4th Central Coast Surf … 6th ALBION SC SCV 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.20 · 4th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:25 PM		 ALBION SC SCV
7th · 4-0-4 · GD +7		 Away
Turf - West Ranch High School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
24%		 2–3 0.88 1.36 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:30 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +8		 Away
Talley Fields		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 1–3 0.79 1.30 Upside
Sun Nov 1
05:10 PM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +32		 Home
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–3 0.30 1.20 Upside
Sun Nov 8
12:30 PM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
12th · 1-1-4 · GD -9		 Away
Lancaster National Soccer Center		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
48%		 2–1 1.64 1.24 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
04:45 PM		 Unico Futbol Club
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +18		 Home
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
14%		 1–3 0.56 1.18 Upside
Sun Nov 15
01:40 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +8		 Home
Citrus College · turf?		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 1–2 0.99 1.17 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
11th · 2-0-6 · GD -25		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
68%		 3–2 2.18 1.24 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
3rd · 4-3-0 · GD +10		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 1–2 0.70 1.20 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
10th · 2-0-6 · GD -12		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 3–2 2.08 1.26 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
9th · 3-0-4 · GD -6		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
41%		 2–2 1.42 1.27 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
4th · 5-0-3 · GD +3		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 2–2 1.35 1.27 Upside
Sun Apr 11
09:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -33		 Away
Kern County Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
83%		 3–1 2.58 1.34 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
7th · 4-0-4 · GD +7		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
34%		 2–2 1.19 1.33 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +8		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 2–2 1.09 1.32 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +32		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 1–4 0.18 1.27 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
12th · 1-1-4 · GD -9		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
58%		 2–1 1.93 1.30 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
9th · 3-0-4 · GD -6		 Home
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 2–1 1.73 1.32 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7700 364+32 213.00 WWWWW -0.65 -0.06 100% 1.1
2 Unico Futbol Club 6501 235+18 152.50 LWWWW +0.07 -0.21 99% 2.1
3 Valley United Soccer Club 7430 199+10 152.14 DWWWW -0.16 -0.02 69% 4.0
4 TFA-SGV 8503 1916+3 151.88 LWWWL -0.17 +0.07 14% 6.1
5 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7403 2113+8 121.71 WWLLW +0.74 -0.39 64% 4.2
6 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6312 2113+8 101.67 WLLWW -0.05 -0.07 34% 5.2
7 ALBION SC SCV 8404 2619+7 121.50 WLLLL +0.23 -0.11 18% 5.9
8 FC Man United 7313 1617-1 101.43 WDWLW -0.47 +0.20 1% 8.1
9 Dynamo 7304 1319-6 91.29 LLWWW +0.13 -0.02 0% 8.7
10 LA Surf SC SFV 8206 2032-12 60.75 LLLLL -0.34 +0.40 0% 10.8
11 Oaks FC 2 8206 1439-25 60.75 LWWLL -0.10 +0.35 0% 11.7
12 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6114 817-9 40.67 WLLLL +0.40 -0.01 0% 10.1
13 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7007 437-33 00.00 LLLLL -0.00 +0.42 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.