TableChase Clubs

PacNW SC Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northwest GU12 · 10 teams · PacNW (all teams)

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3rd
3-1-1 record · 5 played
2.00 points per game
+1 goal diff · 10–9
WDWWLlast 5
37% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.0
-0.30 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 06:00 AM

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PacNW SC Pre
3rd · 2.00 PPG
at
Seattle United Pre
2nd · 2.33 PPG

TBD, Field TBD ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.0 for, 1.8 against · 0.88 expected points)

Season so farPacNW SC PreSeattle United Pre
Position3rd2nd
Record (W-D-L)3-1-12-1-0
Points per game2.002.33
Goals for / game2.01.3
Goals against / game1.80.3
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L W W D WW W D
Biggest win3–1 vs Eastside FC Pre- II2–0 at Eastside FC Pre- II
Worst loss0–3 at XF Pre- 2—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.02+0.48
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.30-0.31

Common opponents: Seattle United Pre Copa — we 2–2; they 1–1. Eastside FC Pre- II — we 3–1; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Seattle United Pre concede only 0.3/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at XF Pre- 2.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 21%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 06:00 AM at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Seattle United Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PacNW SC Pre – Seattle United Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.83 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1
Win
2.17 PPG
2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Draw
1.83 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1
Loss
1.67 PPG
4th▼ down 1 3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st
37% top 4
63% below the top 4
5.0 average finish
  1. 1st 2%
  2. 2nd 7%
  3. 3rd 12%
  4. 4th 17%
  5. 5th 20%
  6. 6th 23%
  7. 7th 14%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.72 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Eastside FC Pre- I 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.12) 44 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
2 Seattle United Pre 2.33 (+0.33) 2nd (1.85) 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection

How the results connect

4 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link PacNW SC Pre to Seattle United Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
2 even
2 favour them
-1.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 0–2 2–2 1–1 0–3 2–0 2–2 0–1 PacNW SC Pre 3rd Eastside FC Pre- II 9th Seattle United Pre … 4th XF Pre- 2 5th Washington Premier … 8th Seattle United Pre 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.10 · 1st hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 31
06:00 AM
Seattle United Pre
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–1 0.88 1.81 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:15 PM
Washington Premier Pre
8th · 0-1-2 · GD -2
Home
Starfire Sports
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
1–1 1.71 1.80 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
TBD
Eastside FC Pre- I
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +5
Home
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–1 1.02 1.70 Upside
Sat Jan 16
TBD
XF Pre- 1
6th · 1-0-2 · GD +3
Home
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.15 1.64 Upside
Sat Jan 23
12:00 PM
Snohomish United Pre
10th · 0-0-3 · GD -8
Away far trip
Snohomish High School · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.14 1.69 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
TBD
Seattle United Pre Copa
4th · 1-2-0 · GD +1
Home
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.34 1.66 Upside
Sat Feb 6
TBD
Northwest United Pre
7th · 0-1-1 · GD -1
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.69 1.66 Swing game
Sat Feb 13
03:15 PM
Eastside FC Pre- II
9th · 0-0-3 · GD -6
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.97 1.68 Swing game
Sat Feb 20
TBD
XF Pre- 2
5th · 2-2-1 · GD +4
Home
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.19 1.65 Upside
Sat Feb 27
01:30 PM
Washington Premier Pre
8th · 0-1-2 · GD -2
Away far trip
WPFC Field Complex
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.44 1.63 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Seattle United Pre
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Home
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–1 1.09 1.60 Upside
Sat Mar 20
01:15 PM
Eastside FC Pre- I
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +5
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.78 1.55 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
XF Pre- 1
6th · 1-0-2 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.90 1.52 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eastside FC Pre- I 4400 83+5 123.00 WWWW -0.14 -0.09 97% 1.7
2 Seattle United Pre 3210 41+3 72.33 DWW -0.31 -0.03 83% 2.9
3 PacNW SC Pre 5311 109+1 102.00 WDWWL -0.30 +0.10 37% 5.0
4 Seattle United Pre Copa 3120 43+1 51.67 DDW +0.35 -0.12 52% 4.4
5 XF Pre- 2 5221 95+4 81.60 WLDDW -0.12 -0.05 64% 4.0
6 XF Pre- 1 3102 63+3 31.00 LLW -0.13 -0.07 56% 4.2
7 Northwest United Pre 2011 34-1 10.50 LD +0.24 -0.03 7% 7.0
8 Washington Premier Pre 3012 35-2 10.33 DLL +0.53 -0.10 5% 7.2
9 Eastside FC Pre- II 3003 17-6 00.00 LLL +0.31 +0.03 0% 9.1
10 Snohomish United Pre 3003 19-8 00.00 LLL +0.42 +0.06 0% 9.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.38 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.