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Eastside FC Pre- II

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northwest GU12 · 10 teams · Eastside FC (WA) (all teams)

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9th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-6 goal diff · 1–7
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.2
+0.31 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:30 AM

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Eastside FC Pre- II
9th · 0.00 PPG
at
Washington Premier Pre
8th · 0.33 PPG

WPFC Field Complex, Field 2A ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.9 for, 1.8 against · 0.80 expected points)

Season so farEastside FC Pre- IIWashington Premier Pre
Position9th8th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-30-1-2
Points per game0.000.33
Goals for / game0.31.0
Goals against / game2.31.7
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)L L LL L D
Biggest win——
Worst loss0–2 vs XF Pre- 21–2 vs Eastside FC Pre- I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.91-0.23
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.31+0.53

Common opponents: XF Pre- 2 — we 0–2; they 2–2. Seattle United Pre — we 0–2; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 vs XF Pre- 2, 0–2 vs Seattle United Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 19%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:30 AM at WPFC Field Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Washington Premier Pre sit 8th on 0.33 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Washington Premier Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Washington Premier Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eastside FC Pre- II – Washington Premier Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 10th▼ down 1
Win
0.75 PPG
7th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 1
Draw
0.25 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 10th▼ down 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 10th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th 11%
  9. 9th 50%
  10. 10th 36%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Eastside FC Pre- I 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.12) 54 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
2 Seattle United Pre 2.33 (+2.33) 2nd (1.85) 42 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
3 PacNW SC Pre 2.00 (+2.00) 6th (1.52) 36 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
4 Seattle United Pre Copa 1.67 (+1.67) 5th (1.60) 31 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
5 XF Pre- 2 1.60 (+1.60) 3rd (1.65) 29 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
6 XF Pre- 1 1.00 (+1.00) 4th (1.63) 18 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
7 Northwest United Pre 0.50 (+0.50) 7th (1.17) A point next game
8 Washington Premier Pre 0.33 (+0.33) 8th (1.13) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Eastside FC Pre- II to Washington Premier Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
4 favour them
-2.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 1–0 0–2 2–2 1–2 2–1 1–3 0–3 Eastside FC Pre- II 9th Seattle United Pre 2nd XF Pre- 2 5th PacNW SC Pre 3rd Eastside FC Pre- I 1st Washington Premier … 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.03 · 3rd hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM
Washington Premier Pre
8th · 0-1-2 · GD -2
Away far trip
WPFC Field Complex
●●●●● Very tough
19%
0–1 0.80 0.20 Upside
Sat Oct 31
12:00 PM
XF Pre- 1
6th · 1-0-2 · GD +3
Away
Marymoor Park
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.44 0.25 Upside
Sat Nov 14
03:30 PM
Snohomish United Pre
10th · 0-0-3 · GD -8
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.63 0.48 Swing game
Sat Dec 5
06:00 AM
Seattle United Pre Copa
4th · 1-2-0 · GD +1
Away far trip
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–1 0.59 0.49 Upside
Sat Dec 12
02:15 PM
Northwest United Pre
7th · 0-1-1 · GD -1
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–1 0.97 0.55 Upside
Sat Jan 16
09:00 AM
Eastside FC Pre- I
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +5
Away
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.39 0.54 Upside
Sat Jan 23
TBD
XF Pre- 2
5th · 2-2-1 · GD +4
Away
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.48 0.53 Upside
Sat Jan 30
01:45 PM
Washington Premier Pre
8th · 0-1-2 · GD -2
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–1 1.01 0.57 Upside
Sat Feb 6
11:00 AM
Seattle United Pre
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Away far trip
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–1 0.48 0.57 Upside
Sat Feb 13
03:15 PM
PacNW SC Pre
3rd · 3-1-1 · GD +1
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.82 0.59 Upside
Sat Mar 13
10:15 AM
XF Pre- 1
6th · 1-0-2 · GD +3
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
14%
0–2 0.60 0.59 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 PM
Snohomish United Pre
10th · 0-0-3 · GD -8
Away far trip
Valley View Middle School
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.39 0.64 Upside
Sat Apr 3
09:00 AM
Seattle United Pre Copa
4th · 1-2-0 · GD +1
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
17%
0–1 0.76 0.65 Upside
Sat Apr 24
09:00 AM
Northwest United Pre
7th · 0-1-1 · GD -1
Away far trip
Skagit Valley College
●●●●● Very tough
18%
0–1 0.76 0.65 Upside
Sat May 1
02:45 PM
Eastside FC Pre- I
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +5
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
11%
0–2 0.53 0.65 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eastside FC Pre- I 4400 83+5 123.00 WWWW -0.14 -0.09 97% 1.6
2 Seattle United Pre 3210 41+3 72.33 DWW -0.31 -0.03 84% 2.9
3 PacNW SC Pre 5311 109+1 102.00 WDWWL -0.30 +0.10 36% 5.0
4 Seattle United Pre Copa 3120 43+1 51.67 DDW +0.35 -0.12 51% 4.4
5 XF Pre- 2 5221 95+4 81.60 WLDDW -0.12 -0.05 62% 4.0
6 XF Pre- 1 3102 63+3 31.00 LLW -0.13 -0.07 58% 4.2
7 Northwest United Pre 2011 34-1 10.50 LD +0.24 -0.03 7% 7.0
8 Washington Premier Pre 3012 35-2 10.33 DLL +0.53 -0.10 5% 7.2
9 Eastside FC Pre- II 3003 17-6 00.00 LLL +0.31 +0.03 0% 9.2
10 Snohomish United Pre 3003 19-8 00.00 LLL +0.42 +0.06 0% 9.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.38 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.