XF Pre- 2

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northwest GU12 · 10 teams · Crossfire Premier (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.

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5th

2-2-1 record · 5 played

1.60 points per game

+4 goal diff · 9–5

WLDDWlast 5

61% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.1

-0.12 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 02:00 PM

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XF Pre- 2
5th · 1.60 PPG

Seattle United Pre
2nd · 2.33 PPG

Lower Woodland Park, Field 2 ↗ far trip

29% 29% 42%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 1.0 for, 1.2 against · 1.16 expected points)

Season so far	XF Pre- 2	Seattle United Pre
Position	5th	2nd
Record (W-D-L)	2-2-1	2-1-0
Points per game	1.60	2.33
Goals for / game	1.8	1.3
Goals against / game	1.0	0.3
Clean sheets	2	2
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	W D D L W	W W D
Biggest win	3–0 vs PacNW SC Pre	2–0 at Eastside FC Pre- II
Worst loss	1–2 vs Eastside FC Pre- I	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.45	+0.48
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.12	-0.31

Common opponents: Eastside FC Pre- II — we 2–0; they 2–0. Washington Premier Pre — we 2–2; they 1–0.

Game plan

Hard to break down
Seattle United Pre concede only 0.3/game with 2 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 29%; a draw (29%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 02:00 PM at Lower Woodland Park.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Seattle United Pre Copa sit 4th on 1.67 PPG; we are on 1.60.
A point moves us above Seattle United Pre Copa on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Seattle United Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (XF Pre- 2 – Seattle United Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 1.33 PPG	5th— holds	5th— holds	5th— holds
Win 1.83 PPG	3rd▲ up 2	2nd▲ up 3	3rd▲ up 2
Draw 1.50 PPG	5th— holds	5th— holds	5th— holds
Loss 1.33 PPG	5th— holds	5th— holds	5th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

5% finish 1st

61% top 4

39% below the top 4

4.1 average finish

1st 5%
2nd 16%
3rd 20%
4th 21%
5th 17%
6th 13%
7th 6%
8th 2%
9th <1%
10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.61 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Eastside FC Pre- I	3.00 (+1.40)	1st (2.12)	46 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
2	Seattle United Pre	2.33 (+0.73)	2nd (1.85)	34 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
3	PacNW SC Pre	2.00 (+0.40)	6th (1.52)	28 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
4	Seattle United Pre Copa	1.67 (+0.07)	5th (1.60)	A point next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link XF Pre- 2 to Seattle United Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us

1 even

2 favour them

+0.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.05 · 6th hardest of 10

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Nov 7 02:00 PM	Seattle United Pre 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +3	Away far trip Lower Woodland Park	●●●●○ Tough	29%	0–1	1.16	1.53	Upside
Sat Nov 14 TBD	XF Pre- 1 6th · 1-0-2 · GD +3	Home	●●●●○ Tough	41%	1–1	1.47	1.52	Upside
Sat Dec 5 11:00 AM	Snohomish United Pre 10th · 0-0-3 · GD -8	Away far trip Snohomish High School · turf	●●○○○ Lean win	71%	2–0	2.31	1.62	Bank it
Sat Dec 12 TBD	Seattle United Pre Copa 4th · 1-2-0 · GD +1	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	45%	1–1	1.61	1.62	Swing game
Sat Jan 23 TBD	Eastside FC Pre- II 9th · 0-0-3 · GD -6	Home	●●○○○ Lean win	72%	2–0	2.35	1.69	Bank it
Sat Jan 30 03:00 PM	Eastside FC Pre- I 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +5	Away PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS	●●●●○ Tough	28%	1–1	1.10	1.64	Upside
Sat Feb 6 01:30 PM	Washington Premier Pre 8th · 0-1-2 · GD -2	Away far trip WPFC Field Complex	●●●○○ Toss-up	49%	1–1	1.72	1.64	Swing game
Sat Feb 13 TBD	Seattle United Pre 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +3	Home	●●●●○ Tough	36%	1–1	1.37	1.62	Upside
Sat Feb 20 TBD	PacNW SC Pre 3rd · 3-1-1 · GD +1	Away	●●●○○ Toss-up	45%	1–1	1.59	1.62	Swing game
Sat Mar 20 TBD	XF Pre- 1 6th · 1-0-2 · GD +3	Away	●●●●○ Tough	33%	1–1	1.23	1.59	Upside
Sat Apr 3 TBD	Snohomish United Pre 10th · 0-0-3 · GD -8	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	78%	2–0	2.48	1.65	Bank it
Sat Apr 24 12:30 PM	Seattle United Pre Copa 4th · 1-2-0 · GD +1	Away far trip TBD	●●●●○ Tough	37%	1–1	1.38	1.63	Upside
Sat May 1 TBD	Northwest United Pre 7th · 0-1-1 · GD -1	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	58%	1–1	1.95	1.65	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Eastside FC Pre- I

3.00

WWWW

-0.14

-0.09

97%

1.7

W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Seattle United Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Seattle United Pre Copa · Sat Nov 14 at PacNW SC Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	1–0	50%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	1–1	51%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Northwest United Pre (7th)	2–0	63%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–0	77%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	1–1	46%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	1–0	63%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	2–0	75%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–0	40%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Northwest United Pre (7th)	1–1	54%
·	Sat May 1	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–0	70%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Seattle United Pre

2.33

DWW

-0.31

-0.03

83%

2.9

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–0
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	1–1

Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Northwest United Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Eastside FC Pre- I · Sat Oct 31 vs PacNW SC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 19 (no score yet)	vs	Northwest United Pre (7th)	1–0	58%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	1–1	55%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	1–0	42%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	2–0	76%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	1–0	45%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Northwest United Pre (7th)	1–0	50%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	1–0	71%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	1–0	57%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	0–1	30%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat May 1	at	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	1–0	69%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PacNW SC Pre

2.00

WDWWL

-0.30

+0.10

34%

5.1

L	Sat Oct 17	at	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	0–3
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Northwest United Pre (7th)	3–2
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	2–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Seattle United Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Washington Premier Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Eastside FC Pre- I See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–1	21%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	1–1	50%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	1–1	27%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Northwest United Pre (7th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	1–2	20%
·	Sat May 1	at	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	1–2	23%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Seattle United Pre Copa

1.67

DDW

+0.35

-0.12

52%

4.4

W	Sat Oct 17	at	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	1–0
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	2–2
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Snohomish United Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Eastside FC Pre- I · Sat Nov 14 at Northwest United Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	2–0	72%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	0–1	24%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Northwest United Pre (7th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	1–0	67%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	1–1	29%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	1–0	51%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–1	25%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	1–0	65%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Northwest United Pre (7th)	1–1	52%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	1–0	59%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat May 1	at	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	1–1	43%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

XF Pre- 2

1.60

WLDDW

-0.12

-0.05

61%

4.1

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	3–0
D	Sat Oct 10	at	Northwest United Pre (7th)	1–1
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–0

Next: Sat Nov 7 at Seattle United Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs XF Pre- 1 · Sat Dec 5 at Snohomish United Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–1	29%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	2–0	71%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	1–1	45%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–0	72%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	1–1	49%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	1–1	45%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	2–0	78%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Northwest United Pre (7th)	1–1	58%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

XF Pre- 1

1.00

LLW

-0.13

-0.07

60%

4.1

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	5–0
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Northwest United Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Eastside FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 14 at XF Pre- 2 See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Northwest United Pre (7th)	1–1	51%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–0	74%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	1–1	51%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	2–0	80%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Northwest United Pre (7th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	2–0	67%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	1–1	59%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–1	30%
·	Sat May 1	vs	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	2–1	57%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Northwest United Pre

-1

0.50

+0.24

-0.03

7.0

D	Sat Oct 10	vs	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	2–3

Next: Sat Sep 19 at Seattle United Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs XF Pre- 1 · Sun Nov 1 at Snohomish United Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 19 (no score yet)	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–1	18%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	1–1	27%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	1–1	58%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	0–2	17%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	1–1	52%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–1	24%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	1–2	30%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	2–0	67%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	1–1	24%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	1–1	23%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	1–0	60%
·	Sat May 1	at	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	1–1	21%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Washington Premier Pre

-2

0.33

DLL

+0.53

-0.10

7.1

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	1–2
D	Sat Sep 26	at	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	2–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Eastside FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 at PacNW SC Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs XF Pre- 1 See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	1–0	58%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	1–1	29%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	1–1	26%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	2–0	64%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	0–1	24%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Northwest United Pre (7th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Northwest United Pre (7th)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	1–1	50%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	1–1	26%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	0–1	16%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–1	18%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	1–1	19%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	1–1	56%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	1–1	30%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eastside FC Pre- II

-6

0.00

LLL

+0.31

+0.03

9.2

L	Sat Oct 3	at	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	0–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Washington Premier Pre · Sat Oct 31 at XF Pre- 1 · Sat Nov 14 vs Snohomish United Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	0–1	19%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	1–1	45%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	0–1	13%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Northwest United Pre (7th)	1–1	24%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	0–2	10%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	1–1	25%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–1	9%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	0–2	14%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Snohomish United Pre (10th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	0–1	17%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Northwest United Pre (7th)	0–1	18%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	0–2	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Snohomish United Pre

-8

0.00

LLL

+0.42

+0.06

9.5

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	0–5
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Seattle United Pre Copa · Sun Nov 1 vs Northwest United Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Eastside FC Pre- II See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	0–2	10%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Northwest United Pre (7th)	1–1	20%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	0–2	11%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	0–2	16%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–2	7%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	PacNW SC Pre (3rd)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	XF Pre- 1 (6th)	0–2	7%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (1st)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (4th)	0–1	14%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Northwest United Pre (7th)	0–2	15%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (9th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	XF Pre- 2 (5th)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Washington Premier Pre (8th)	1–1	21%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–1	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.38 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.