TableChase Clubs

SJEB FC Pre Red

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Atlantic BU12 · 12 teams · SJEB FC (all teams)

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11th
0-0-6 record · 6 played
0.00 points per game
-32 goal diff · 1–33
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.1
+1.36 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:00 AM

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SJEB FC Pre Red
11th · 0.00 PPG
at

Smith Estates, Field 3 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–6 (expected goals 1.0 for, 6.9 against · 0.04 expected points)

Season so farSJEB FC Pre RedDelaware FC New Castle Pre
Position11th5th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-63-2-1
Points per game0.001.83
Goals for / game0.25.2
Goals against / game5.52.2
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless50
Form (recent first)L L L L LL W D D W
Biggest win—15–0 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- I
Worst loss0–9 at STA Pre2–4 at PUNSC Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-3.32+1.87
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.36-0.46

Common opponents: Pipeline SC Pre — we 0–4; they 3–3. PUNSC Pre — we 1–4; they 2–4. World Class FC Pre — we 0–4; they 5–2. Maryland United FC Pre — we 0–6; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Delaware FC New Castle Pre score 5.2/game — well above the league's 3.2.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–4 vs Pipeline SC Pre, 0–4 vs World Class FC Pre, 0–6 vs Potomac Soccer Association Pre, 0–9 at STA Pre, 0–6 vs Maryland United FC Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 1%; a draw (1%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:00 AM at Smith Estates.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Delaware FC New Castle Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SJEB FC Pre Red – Delaware FC New Castle Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Win
0.43 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 11th— holds
Draw
0.14 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–6 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th 89%
  12. 12th 10%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.18 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 PUNSC Pre 2.50 (+2.50) 6th (1.77) 55 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
2 Pipeline SC Pre 2.43 (+2.43) 2nd (2.01) 54 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
3 Potomac Soccer Association Pre 2.29 (+2.29) 4th (1.98) 51 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
4 Maryland United FC Pre 2.17 (+2.17) 1st (2.06) 48 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
5 Delaware FC New Castle Pre 1.83 (+1.83) 5th (1.96) 41 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
6 STA Pre 1.50 (+1.50) 3rd (1.99) 33 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
7 Baltimore Celtic Pre 1.33 (+1.33) 7th (1.53) 30 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
8 World Class FC Pre 1.20 (+1.20) 9th (1.21) 27 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
9 PSA Monmouth Pre- l 1.00 (+1.00) 10th (1.09) 22 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
10 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre 0.75 (+0.75) 8th (1.32) 17 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection

How the results connect

16 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link SJEB FC Pre Red to Delaware FC New Castle Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
16 favour them
-7.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–4 4–2 0–4 3–3 0–6 1–1 0–4 2–5 0–6 3–0 3–3 4–3 3–5 5–3 3–4 4–2 0–9 16–0 0–15 1–2 SJEB FC Pre Red 11th PUNSC Pre 1st Pipeline SC Pre 2nd Maryland United FC … 4th World Class FC Pre 8th Potomac Soccer Asso… 3rd STA Pre 6th Penn Fusion Soccer … 10th Match Fit Surf Pre-… 12th Delaware FC New Cas… 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 6th 12th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 9th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
10:00 AM
Delaware FC New Castle Pre
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +18
Away far trip
Smith Estates
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–6 0.04 0.01 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre
10th · 1-0-3 · GD +3
Away far trip
Scott Auto Field
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–6 0.10 0.02 Upside
Sat Nov 7
12:00 PM
Match Fit Surf Pre- I
12th · 0-0-7 · GD -70
Away far trip
Sycamore Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.91 0.23 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
11:30 AM
Baltimore Celtic Pre
7th · 1-1-1 · GD +7
Home
Tuckahoe Farm
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–5 0.16 0.22 Upside
Sat Dec 12
TBD
Pipeline SC Pre
2nd · 5-2-0 · GD +11
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–5 0.08 0.21 Upside
Sat Mar 6
TBD
World Class FC Pre
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +4
Away
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–5 0.15 0.20 Upside
Sun Mar 7
11:30 AM
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre
10th · 1-0-3 · GD +3
Home
Tuckahoe Farm
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–5 0.19 0.20 Upside
Sat Mar 13
11:30 AM
PSA Monmouth Pre- l
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -4
Home
Tuckahoe Farm
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.43 0.22 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD
PUNSC Pre
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +6
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–5 0.10 0.21 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Baltimore Celtic Pre
7th · 1-1-1 · GD +7
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.09 0.20 Upside
Sat Apr 17
11:30 AM
STA Pre
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +20
Home
Tuckahoe Farm
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–6 0.05 0.19 Upside
Sun May 2
09:00 AM
PSA Monmouth Pre- l
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -4
Away far trip
The Ranney School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.27 0.20 Upside
Sat May 8
11:30 AM
Match Fit Surf Pre- I
12th · 0-0-7 · GD -70
Home
Tuckahoe Farm
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.20 0.30 Swing game
Sat May 15
TBD
Maryland United FC Pre
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +17
Away
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.05 0.29 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD
Potomac Soccer Association Pre
3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +20
Away
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–6 0.04 0.28 Upside
Sun May 23
11:30 AM
Delaware FC New Castle Pre
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +18
Home
Tuckahoe Farm
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–6 0.07 0.27 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 PUNSC Pre 4310 137+6 102.50 WWDW +0.06 +0.01 30% 5.3
2 Pipeline SC Pre 7520 2312+11 172.43 WDWDW +0.58 -0.27 73% 3.4
3 Potomac Soccer Association Pre 7511 3212+20 162.29 DWWWW -0.82 +0.24 68% 3.6
4 Maryland United FC Pre 6411 236+17 132.17 WWDWW -0.53 +0.07 79% 2.9
5 Delaware FC New Castle Pre 6321 3113+18 111.83 WDDWL -0.46 -0.00 67% 3.6
6 STA Pre 4202 277+20 61.50 WLLW -1.72 +0.20 72% 3.3
7 Baltimore Celtic Pre 3111 147+7 41.33 WLD -1.08 +0.18 8% 6.9
8 World Class FC Pre 5203 1814+4 61.20 LWLLW -1.41 +0.46 0% 8.7
9 PSA Monmouth Pre- l 3102 59-4 31.00 LLW +0.68 +0.02 0% 9.3
10 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre 4103 1815+3 30.75 LWLL -0.37 +0.13 1% 8.1
11 SJEB FC Pre Red 6006 133-32 00.00 LLLLL +1.36 +0.02 0% 11.1
12 Match Fit Surf Pre- I 7007 272-70 00.00 LLLLL +1.26 +0.35 0% 11.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.21 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.