TableChase Clubs

Maryland United FC Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Atlantic BU12 · 12 teams · Maryland United Football Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 26 minutes ago.
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4th
4-1-1 record · 6 played
2.17 points per game
+17 goal diff · 23–6
WWDWWlast 5
78% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.0
-0.53 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:30 PM

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Maryland United FC Pre
4th · 2.17 PPG
at
World Class FC Pre
8th · 1.20 PPG

Orangetown Soccer Complex, Field 4 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.1 for, 1.9 against · 2.01 expected points)

Season so farMaryland United FC PreWorld Class FC Pre
Position4th8th
Record (W-D-L)4-1-12-0-3
Points per game2.171.20
Goals for / game3.83.6
Goals against / game1.02.8
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W W D W WW L L W L
Biggest win6–0 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- I7–1 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- I
Worst loss0–3 at Potomac Soccer Association Pre2–5 vs Delaware FC New Castle Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.64+0.15
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.53-1.41

Common opponents: Potomac Soccer Association Pre — we 0–3; they 2–4. Match Fit Surf Pre- I — we 6–0; they 7–1. Delaware FC New Castle Pre — we 1–1; they 2–5. SJEB FC Pre Red — we 6–0; they 4–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at Potomac Soccer Association Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 62% / draw 16% / loss 22%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:30 PM at Orangetown Soccer Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the World Class FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Maryland United FC Pre – World Class FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.29 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Win
2.29 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG
4th— holds 5th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 2
Loss
1.86 PPG
4th— holds 5th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

25% finish 1st
78% top 4
22% below the top 4
3.0 average finish
  1. 1st 25%
  2. 2nd 21%
  3. 3rd 18%
  4. 4th 15%
  5. 5th 12%
  6. 6th 7%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.77 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 PUNSC Pre 2.50 (+0.33) 6th (1.77) 42 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
2 Pipeline SC Pre 2.43 (+0.26) 2nd (2.01) 41 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
3 Potomac Soccer Association Pre 2.29 (+0.12) 4th (1.98) 38 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection

How the results connect

13 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Maryland United FC Pre to World Class FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
2 even
4 favour them
+3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
6–0 1–7 0–3 4–2 6–0 0–4 1–1 5–2 0–8 6–0 0–15 5–1 9–0 5–1 11–0 Maryland United FC … 4th Match Fit Surf Pre-… 12th Potomac Soccer Asso… 3rd SJEB FC Pre Red 11th Delaware FC New Cas… 5th STA Pre 6th Baltimore Celtic Pre 7th World Class FC Pre 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 6th 12th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.07 · 7th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:30 PM
World Class FC Pre
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +4
Away far trip
Orangetown Soccer Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
3–1 2.01 2.14 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
10:00 AM
PSA Monmouth Pre- l
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -4
Away far trip
The Ranney School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.22 2.15 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
12:00 PM
Pipeline SC Pre
2nd · 5-2-0 · GD +11
Away far trip
Baltimore Polytechnic Institute
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–1 1.51 2.08 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM
PUNSC Pre
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +6
Home
Indian Creek
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.98 2.07 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre
10th · 1-0-3 · GD +3
Away far trip
Scott Auto Field
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
3–2 1.97 2.06 Swing game
Sun Dec 20
10:00 AM
PSA Monmouth Pre- l
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -4
Home
Indian Creek
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.46 2.10 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
TBD
Baltimore Celtic Pre
7th · 1-1-1 · GD +7
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–2 1.78 2.07 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
TBD
STA Pre
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +20
Away
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 2.01 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD
Match Fit Surf Pre- I
12th · 0-0-7 · GD -70
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
7–0 2.98 2.08 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre
10th · 1-0-3 · GD +3
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
3–2 2.28 2.09 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
01:30 PM
Delaware FC New Castle Pre
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +18
Away far trip
Hudson Fields · grass
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.38 2.05 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
PUNSC Pre
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +6
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.68 2.03 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
TBD
World Class FC Pre
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +4
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
3–1 2.29 2.04 Bank it
Sat May 1
TBD
Pipeline SC Pre
2nd · 5-2-0 · GD +11
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.81 2.03 Swing game
Sat May 8
TBD
Potomac Soccer Association Pre
3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +20
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–2 1.70 2.01 Swing game
Sat May 15
TBD
SJEB FC Pre Red
11th · 0-0-6 · GD -32
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
5–0 2.92 2.06 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 PUNSC Pre 4310 137+6 102.50 WWDW +0.06 +0.01 31% 5.2
2 Pipeline SC Pre 7520 2312+11 172.43 WDWDW +0.58 -0.27 73% 3.4
3 Potomac Soccer Association Pre 7511 3212+20 162.29 DWWWW -0.82 +0.24 69% 3.5
4 Maryland United FC Pre 6411 236+17 132.17 WWDWW -0.53 +0.07 78% 3.0
5 Delaware FC New Castle Pre 6321 3113+18 111.83 WDDWL -0.46 -0.00 67% 3.6
6 STA Pre 4202 277+20 61.50 WLLW -1.72 +0.20 73% 3.3
7 Baltimore Celtic Pre 3111 147+7 41.33 WLD -1.08 +0.18 8% 6.9
8 World Class FC Pre 5203 1814+4 61.20 LWLLW -1.41 +0.46 0% 8.7
9 PSA Monmouth Pre- l 3102 59-4 31.00 LLW +0.68 +0.02 0% 9.3
10 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre 4103 1815+3 30.75 LWLL -0.37 +0.13 2% 8.1
11 SJEB FC Pre Red 6006 133-32 00.00 LLLLL +1.36 +0.02 0% 11.1
12 Match Fit Surf Pre- I 7007 272-70 00.00 LLLLL +1.26 +0.35 0% 11.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.21 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.