Select Pre- White
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU11 · 12 teams · Select (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:15 PM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.3 for, 2.0 against · 1.52 expected points)
| Season so far | Select Pre- White | SUSA FC Pre- ll |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-0 | 5-0-0 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 6.4 | 4.2 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 8–0 vs FSA FC Pre- ll | 9–1 vs AC Connecticut Pre- II |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.99 | +2.16 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.70 | -0.96 |
Common opponents: FSA FC Pre- ll — we 8–0; they 2–0. Connecticut FC Pre ll — we 6–1; they 2–0. AC Connecticut Pre- II — we 5–1; they 9–1. SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll — we 5–2; they 3–0.
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
SUSA FC Pre- ll score 4.2/game — well above the league's 2.5.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Hard to break down
SUSA FC Pre- ll concede only 0.2/game with 4 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 44% / draw 20% / loss 36%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
They arrive in form
SUSA FC Pre- ll have won 5 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the SUSA FC Pre- ll game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Select Pre- White – SUSA FC Pre- ll) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 2.67 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.67 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Loss 2.50 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 63%
- 2nd 37%
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
11 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Select Pre- White to SUSA FC Pre- ll through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.18 · 9th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 26 09:00 AM no score posted |
Scorpions SC PRE- ll 4th · 1-0-1 · GD -2 |
Away Taunton Forekicks |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
4–1 | 2.59 | 2.93 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 24 03:15 PM |
SUSA FC Pre- ll 2nd · 5-0-0 · GD +20 |
Home Lovell Field |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–2 | 1.52 | 2.73 | Swing game |
| Thu Oct 29 06:00 PM |
FC Stars Pre- White 8th · 0-1-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
4–1 | 2.53 | 2.70 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 7 09:00 AM |
Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -11 |
Away far trip
Oakwood Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 95% |
5–1 | 2.88 | 2.72 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 TBD |
East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II 3rd · 3-1-1 · GD +3 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 89% |
5–1 | 2.72 | 2.72 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll 9th · 2-2-4 · GD -4 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
4–1 | 2.58 | 2.71 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- ll 2nd · 5-0-0 · GD +20 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–2 | 1.21 | 2.59 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Scorpions SC PRE- ll 4th · 1-0-1 · GD -2 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 90% |
4–1 | 2.75 | 2.60 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
FC Stars Pre- White 8th · 0-1-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
5–1 | 2.72 | 2.61 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 11:30 AM |
FSA FC Pre- ll 10th · 0-3-2 · GD -10 |
Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena |
●○○○○ Favorable | 90% |
5–1 | 2.76 | 2.62 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Connecticut FC Pre ll 7th · 2-0-3 · GD -5 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 85% |
5–1 | 2.62 | 2.62 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 11:00 PM |
Manhattan SC Pre- White 6th · 2-0-3 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Randall's Island |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
4–1 | 2.53 | 2.61 | Bank it |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
AC Connecticut Pre- II 11th · 1-0-4 · GD -17 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 98% |
7–1 | 2.95 | 2.63 | Bank it |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -11 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 97% |
6–1 | 2.94 | 2.65 | Bank it |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
East Coast Surf Pre- ll 5th · 1-1-1 · GD +1 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 85% |
4–1 | 2.62 | 2.65 | Bank it |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
East Coast Surf Pre- ll 5th · 1-1-1 · GD +1 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
3–1 | 2.42 | 2.63 | Bank it |
| Sun May 16 08:00 AM |
East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II 3rd · 3-1-1 · GD +3 |
Away far trip
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
4–1 | 2.53 | 2.63 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Select Pre- White | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 5 | +27 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.70 | -0.18 | 100% | 1.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at Scorpions SC PRE- ll · Sat Oct 24 vs SUSA FC Pre- ll · Thu Oct 29 at FC Stars Pre- White See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | SUSA FC Pre- ll | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | +20 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.96 | +0.01 | 100% | 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Select Pre- White · Sun Nov 1 vs East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II · Sat Nov 14 at East Coast Surf Pre- ll See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 10 | 2.00 | WWWLD | -0.95 | +0.26 | 36% | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at SUSA FC Pre- ll · Sat Nov 7 vs East Coast Surf Pre- ll · Sat Nov 14 at Manhattan SC Pre- White See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Scorpions SC PRE- ll | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | 1.50 | LW | -0.23 | +0.04 | 17% | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Select Pre- White · Sat Oct 24 at Manhattan SC Pre- White · Sun Oct 25 at East Coast Surf Pre- ll See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | East Coast Surf Pre- ll | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 4 | 1.33 | LDW | -0.73 | +0.09 | 39% | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Stars Pre- White · Sun Oct 25 vs Scorpions SC PRE- ll See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Manhattan SC Pre- White | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 6 | 1.20 | LLLWW | -0.25 | +0.04 | 21% | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Scorpions SC PRE- ll · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Stars Pre- White · Sat Oct 31 at Connecticut FC Pre ll See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Connecticut FC Pre ll | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 6 | 1.20 | LLWWL | +0.92 | -0.27 | 36% | 5.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Connecticut Pre- II · Sun Oct 25 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White · Sat Oct 31 vs Manhattan SC Pre- White See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | FC Stars Pre- White | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 1 | 1.00 | D | -0.87 | +0.02 | 34% | 5.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at East Coast Surf Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 at Manhattan SC Pre- White · Thu Oct 29 vs Select Pre- White See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 8 | 1.00 | LWLLL | +0.49 | -0.26 | 14% | 7.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at FC Stars Pre- White · Sat Nov 7 at AC Connecticut Pre- II · Sun Nov 8 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | FSA FC Pre- ll | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 3 | 0.60 | LDDLD | +0.96 | -0.21 | 3% | 8.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White · Sun Oct 25 vs AC Connecticut Pre- II · Sat Oct 31 vs East Coast Surf Pre- ll See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | AC Connecticut Pre- II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 | 0.60 | WLLLL | +1.06 | -0.10 | 0% | 11.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Connecticut FC Pre ll · Sun Oct 25 at FSA FC Pre- ll · Sun Nov 1 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.60 | +0.05 | 0% | 11.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 vs East Coast Surf Pre- ll · Sat Oct 24 at FSA FC Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 at Connecticut FC Pre ll See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.