Connecticut FC Pre ll

Open the match preview →

CFC Park, Field 1 A ↗

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.3 for, 2.0 against · 2.40 expected points)

Common opponents: Select Pre- White — we 1–6; they 1–5. East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II — we 7–2; they 2–4. SUSA FC Pre- ll — we 0–2; they 1–9.

• They struggle to score
  AC Connecticut Pre- II average 1.2 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 1 of 5.

  A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

• They leak goals — be greedy
  AC Connecticut Pre- II concede 4.6/game; worst result 1–9 at SUSA FC Pre- ll.

  Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

• Finishing wins the tight ones
  Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 at SUSA FC Pre- ll.

  Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

• Expected win — the trap is complacency
  Model gives a 76% chance; likely score 4–1.

  Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

• Confidence is low on their side
  AC Connecticut Pre- II have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).

  Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

• What a win does
  Manhattan SC Pre- White sit 6th on 1.20 PPG; we are on 1.20.

  A point moves us above Manhattan SC Pre- White on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

Where we'd sit after the AC Connecticut Pre- II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Connecticut FC Pre ll – AC Connecticut Pre- II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–1 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

1. 1st
2. 2nd <1%
3. 3rd 19%
4. 4th 17%
5. 5th 16%
6. 6th 13%
7. 7th 13%
8. 8th 10%
9. 9th 7%
10. 10th 4%
11. 11th 1%
12. 12th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.59 PPG if we win out).