TableChase Clubs

East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU11 · 12 teams · East Meadow Soccer Club (all teams)

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3rd
3-1-1 record · 5 played
2.00 points per game
+3 goal diff · 16–13
WWWLDlast 5
38% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.5
-0.95 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 09:00 AM

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East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II
3rd · 2.00 PPG
at
SUSA FC Pre- ll
2nd · 3.00 PPG

The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex, field 4A ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.2 for, 3.8 against · 0.30 expected points)

Season so farEast Meadow Soccer Club Pre- IISUSA FC Pre- ll
Position3rd2nd
Record (W-D-L)3-1-15-0-0
Points per game2.003.00
Goals for / game3.24.2
Goals against / game2.60.2
Clean sheets14
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)D L W W WW W W W W
Biggest win4–0 vs SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll9–1 vs AC Connecticut Pre- II
Worst loss2–7 vs Connecticut FC Pre ll—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.00+2.16
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.95-0.96

Common opponents: AC Connecticut Pre- II — we 4–2; they 9–1. Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White — we 4–2; they 5–0. SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll — we 4–0; they 3–0. Connecticut FC Pre ll — we 2–7; they 2–0. FSA FC Pre- ll — we 2–2; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    SUSA FC Pre- ll score 4.2/game — well above the league's 2.5.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    SUSA FC Pre- ll concede only 0.2/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 7%; a draw (9%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    SUSA FC Pre- ll have won 5 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SUSA FC Pre- ll game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II – SUSA FC Pre- ll) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.67 PPG		 3rd— holds 3rd— holds 7th▼ down 4
Win
2.17 PPG		 3rd— holds 3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1
Draw
1.83 PPG		 3rd— holds 3rd— holds 5th▼ down 2
Loss
1.67 PPG		 3rd— holds 3rd— holds 7th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
38% top 4
62% below the top 4
5.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 20%
  4. 4th 18%
  5. 5th 15%
  6. 6th 14%
  7. 7th 13%
  8. 8th 10%
  9. 9th 7%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.77 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Select Pre- White 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.63) 56 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
2 SUSA FC Pre- ll 3.00 (+1.00) 2nd (2.55) 56 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection

How the results connect

9 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II to SUSA FC Pre- ll through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
6 favour them
-2.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–0 0–3 2–2 0–2 4–2 0–5 4–2 1–9 2–7 0–2 5–5 7–1 East Meadow Soccer … 3rd SUSA FC Pre- ACADEM… 9th FSA FC Pre- ll 10th Oakwood Soccer Club… 12th AC Connecticut Pre-… 11th Connecticut FC Pre … 7th SUSA FC Pre- ll 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.26 · 1st hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM		 SUSA FC Pre- ll
2nd · 5-0-0 · GD +20		 Away far trip
The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–3 0.30 1.72 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM		 East Coast Surf Pre- ll
5th · 1-1-1 · GD +1		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 2–2 1.52 1.69 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
10:15 AM		 Manhattan SC Pre- White
6th · 2-0-3 · GD -2		 Away far trip
College of Mt. St. Vincent		 ●●●●○ Tough
39%		 2–2 1.34 1.65 Upside
Sun Nov 15
TBD		 Select Pre- White
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +27		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
5%		 1–5 0.22 1.49 Upside
Sat Nov 21
08:00 AM		 FC Stars Pre- White
8th · 0-1-0 · GD +0		 Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 2–3 1.25 1.46 Upside
Sun Nov 22
01:45 PM		 Scorpions SC PRE- ll
4th · 1-0-1 · GD -2		 Away far trip
Walpole Soccer Complex · turf		 ●●●●○ Tough
42%		 2–2 1.44 1.46 Upside
Sat Mar 6
TBD		 AC Connecticut Pre- II
11th · 1-0-4 · GD -17		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
68%		 3–2 2.19 1.52 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
08:00 AM		 SUSA FC Pre- ll
2nd · 5-0-0 · GD +20		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.46 1.44 Upside
Sat Apr 3
08:00 AM		 Scorpions SC PRE- ll
4th · 1-0-1 · GD -2		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 2–2 1.77 1.46 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
08:00 AM		 FC Stars Pre- White
8th · 0-1-0 · GD +0		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
48%		 3–2 1.60 1.47 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
11:30 AM		 FSA FC Pre- ll
10th · 0-3-2 · GD -10		 Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 3–2 1.68 1.49 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 Connecticut FC Pre ll
7th · 2-0-3 · GD -5		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
39%		 3–3 1.34 1.48 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll
9th · 2-2-4 · GD -4		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
40%		 2–2 1.37 1.47 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD		 East Coast Surf Pre- ll
5th · 1-1-1 · GD +1		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
34%		 2–2 1.20 1.46 Upside
Sun May 2
08:00 AM		 Manhattan SC Pre- White
6th · 2-0-3 · GD -2		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
50%		 2–2 1.67 1.47 Swing game
Sun May 16
08:00 AM		 Select Pre- White
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +27		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–4 0.37 1.42 Upside
Sun May 23
TBD		 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -11		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
66%		 3–1 2.13 1.45 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Select Pre- White 5500 325+27 153.00 WWWWW -0.70 -0.18 100% 1.4
2 SUSA FC Pre- ll 5500 211+20 153.00 WWWWW -0.96 +0.01 100% 1.6
3 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II 5311 1613+3 102.00 WWWLD -0.95 +0.26 38% 5.5
4 Scorpions SC PRE- ll 2101 35-2 31.50 LW -0.23 +0.04 17% 7.1
5 East Coast Surf Pre- ll 3111 65+1 41.33 LDW -0.73 +0.09 37% 5.7
6 Manhattan SC Pre- White 5203 1012-2 61.20 LLLWW -0.25 +0.04 21% 6.7
7 Connecticut FC Pre ll 5203 1318-5 61.20 LLWWL +0.92 -0.27 35% 5.8
8 FC Stars Pre- White 1010 33+0 11.00 D -0.87 +0.02 36% 5.8
9 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll 8224 1822-4 81.00 LWLLL +0.49 -0.26 14% 6.9
10 FSA FC Pre- ll 5032 1020-10 30.60 LDDLD +0.96 -0.21 3% 9.0
11 AC Connecticut Pre- II 5104 623-17 30.60 WLLLL +1.06 -0.10 0% 11.2
12 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White 3003 213-11 00.00 LLL +0.60 +0.05 0% 11.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.