TableChase Clubs

SUSA FC Pre- ll

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU11 · 12 teams · SUSA FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
2nd
5-0-0 record · 5 played
3.00 points per game
+20 goal diff · 21–1
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.6
-0.96 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:15 PM

Open the match preview →

SUSA FC Pre- ll
2nd · 3.00 PPG
at
Select Pre- White
1st · 3.00 PPG

Lovell Field, Field 3 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.0 for, 2.3 against · 1.28 expected points)

Season so farSUSA FC Pre- llSelect Pre- White
Position2nd1st
Record (W-D-L)5-0-05-0-0
Points per game3.003.00
Goals for / game4.26.4
Goals against / game0.21.0
Clean sheets41
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W W WW W W W W
Biggest win9–1 vs AC Connecticut Pre- II8–0 vs FSA FC Pre- ll
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.16+2.99
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.96-0.70

Common opponents: SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll — we 3–0; they 5–2. AC Connecticut Pre- II — we 9–1; they 5–1. FSA FC Pre- ll — we 2–0; they 8–0. Connecticut FC Pre ll — we 2–0; they 6–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Select Pre- White score 6.4/game — well above the league's 2.5.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Select Pre- White concede only 1.0/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 36%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Select Pre- White have won 5 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:15 PM at Lovell Field.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Select Pre- White sit 1st on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.

    A win moves us above Select Pre- White on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Select Pre- White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SUSA FC Pre- ll – Select Pre- White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.67 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Win
3.00 PPG		 1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1
Draw
2.67 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Loss
2.50 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

35% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.6 average finish
  1. 1st 35%
  2. 2nd 65%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Select Pre- White 3.00 (+0.00) 1st (2.63) Win next game

How the results connect

11 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link SUSA FC Pre- ll to Select Pre- White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 even
8 favour them
-2.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 2–5 2–0 1–6 9–1 1–5 2–0 0–8 5–5 0–4 1–8 1–0 7–1 5–0 0–4 SUSA FC Pre- ll 2nd SUSA FC Pre- ACADEM… 9th Connecticut FC Pre … 7th AC Connecticut Pre-… 11th FSA FC Pre- ll 10th Oakwood Soccer Club… 12th Manhattan SC Pre- W… 6th Select Pre- White 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.01 · 7th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
03:15 PM		 Select Pre- White
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +27		 Away far trip
Lovell Field		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 2–2 1.28 2.71 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM		 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II
3rd · 3-1-1 · GD +3		 Home
The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
84%		 3–1 2.61 2.70 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
10:00 AM		 East Coast Surf Pre- ll
5th · 1-1-1 · GD +1		 Away far trip
Holy Trinity high school		 ●●○○○ Lean win
71%		 2–1 2.29 2.65 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
10:30 AM		 Manhattan SC Pre- White
6th · 2-0-3 · GD -2		 Home
The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
83%		 3–0 2.58 2.64 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
10:30 AM		 Scorpions SC PRE- ll
4th · 1-0-1 · GD -2		 Away far trip
Medway High School		 ●○○○○ Favorable
78%		 3–1 2.46 2.62 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
08:00 AM		 FC Stars Pre- White
8th · 0-1-0 · GD +0		 Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 3–1 2.40 2.60 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
09:00 AM		 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -11		 Away far trip
Oakwood Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
91%		 4–0 2.79 2.62 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
TBD		 Select Pre- White
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +27		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 2–1 1.59 2.54 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
08:00 AM		 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II
3rd · 3-1-1 · GD +3		 Away far trip
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf		 ●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 3–1 2.41 2.53 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD		 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll
9th · 2-2-4 · GD -4		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
85%		 3–1 2.63 2.54 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 FC Stars Pre- White
8th · 0-1-0 · GD +0		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
83%		 3–1 2.60 2.54 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 Scorpions SC PRE- ll
4th · 1-0-1 · GD -2		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
84%		 3–0 2.63 2.55 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 Connecticut FC Pre ll
7th · 2-0-3 · GD -5		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
80%		 3–1 2.50 2.54 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
11:30 AM		 FSA FC Pre- ll
10th · 0-3-2 · GD -10		 Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena		 ●○○○○ Favorable
85%		 3–1 2.64 2.55 Bank it
Sat May 1
TBD		 Manhattan SC Pre- White
6th · 2-0-3 · GD -2		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
75%		 2–1 2.40 2.54 Bank it
Sun May 2
TBD		 East Coast Surf Pre- ll
5th · 1-1-1 · GD +1		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
79%		 3–0 2.49 2.54 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD		 AC Connecticut Pre- II
11th · 1-0-4 · GD -17		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 4–0 2.82 2.55 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Select Pre- White 5500 325+27 153.00 WWWWW -0.70 -0.18 100% 1.4
2 SUSA FC Pre- ll 5500 211+20 153.00 WWWWW -0.96 +0.01 100% 1.6
3 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II 5311 1613+3 102.00 WWWLD -0.95 +0.26 38% 5.5
4 Scorpions SC PRE- ll 2101 35-2 31.50 LW -0.23 +0.04 17% 7.1
5 East Coast Surf Pre- ll 3111 65+1 41.33 LDW -0.73 +0.09 37% 5.7
6 Manhattan SC Pre- White 5203 1012-2 61.20 LLLWW -0.25 +0.04 21% 6.7
7 Connecticut FC Pre ll 5203 1318-5 61.20 LLWWL +0.92 -0.27 35% 5.8
8 FC Stars Pre- White 1010 33+0 11.00 D -0.87 +0.02 36% 5.8
9 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll 8224 1822-4 81.00 LWLLL +0.49 -0.26 14% 6.9
10 FSA FC Pre- ll 5032 1020-10 30.60 LDDLD +0.96 -0.21 3% 9.0
11 AC Connecticut Pre- II 5104 623-17 30.60 WLLLL +1.06 -0.10 0% 11.2
12 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White 3003 213-11 00.00 LLL +0.60 +0.05 0% 11.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.