OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Frontier BU12 · 11 teams · Oklahoma Energy FC (all teams)
Next game — Wed Oct 28, 08:00 PM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.6 against · 1.55 expected points)
| Season so far | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White | Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-6 | 1-0-9 |
| Points per game | 0.78 | 0.30 |
| Goals for / game | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals against / game | 2.7 | 4.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 6 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W W L | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | 4–1 vs Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White | 3–1 vs Tulsa SC Frontier Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–6 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I | 0–6 at West Side Alliance Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.18 | -2.16 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.37 | +0.18 |
Already played this season: Sat Oct 3 4–1 vs Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White (W)
Common opponents: Tulsa SC Frontier Pre — we 1–5; they 3–1, 0–4. Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre — we 0–2; they 1–3. OK Energy FC Frontier Pre — we 0–5; they 0–5. West Side Alliance Pre — we 0–0; they 0–6, 2–6. Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I — we 0–6; they 3–6. Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II — we 3–2; they 0–2.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White average 1.1 goals/game (league avg 2.4); blanked in 4 of 10.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White concede 4.0/game; worst result 0–6 at West Side Alliance Pre.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 6 time(s): 0–2 vs Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre, 0–5 at OK Energy FC Frontier Pre, 0–0 at West Side Alliance Pre, 0–6 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I, 0–2 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre, 0–1 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 44% / draw 22% / loss 34%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White have lost 8 straight (form: LLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 08:00 PM at Oklahoma Celtic.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Wednesday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White – Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.80 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 11th▼ down 3 |
| Win 1.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 0.80 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 11th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 0.70 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 11th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th <1%
- 7th 3%
- 8th 57%
- 9th 24%
- 10th 14%
- 11th 2%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre | 2.78 (+2.00) | 1st (2.69) | 49 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre | 2.71 (+1.93) | 2nd (2.45) | 48 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I | 2.10 (+1.32) | 3rd (2.10) | 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Tulsa SC Frontier Pre | 1.82 (+1.04) | 4th (1.70) | 30 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 5 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II | 1.67 (+0.89) | 5th (1.53) | 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection |
| 6 | Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre | 1.55 (+0.77) | 7th (1.38) | 24 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 7 | West Side Alliance Pre | 1.40 (+0.62) | 6th (1.44) | 21 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
How the results connect
72 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White to Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
17 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.03 · 9th hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Oct 28 08:00 PM |
Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White 11th · 1-0-9 · GD -29 |
Away Oklahoma Celtic |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.55 | 0.85 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 31 03:00 PM |
Arkansas Rising Pre 9th · 2-1-7 · GD -26 |
Home Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–1 | 1.61 | 0.92 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 03:00 PM |
FC Tulsa Academy Pre 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +18 |
Home Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
0–3 | 0.30 | 0.87 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 11:00 AM |
FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +4 |
Home Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.75 | 0.86 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 03:00 PM |
West Side Alliance Pre 7th · 4-2-4 · GD +7 |
Home Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.70 | 0.85 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 01:00 PM |
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 1st · 8-1-0 · GD +32 |
Home North Oklahoma City FC |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–3 | 0.16 | 0.80 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 03:00 PM |
Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre 6th · 5-2-4 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
Indian Springs Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.74 | 0.80 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 20 03:00 PM |
Arkansas Rising Pre 9th · 2-1-7 · GD -26 |
Away far trip
Burns Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–2 | 1.31 | 0.83 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 21 03:30 PM |
Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I 3rd · 7-0-3 · GD +26 |
Away far trip
Brunner & Lay Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
1–4 | 0.19 | 0.80 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 21 12:30 PM |
Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II 10th · 2-1-8 · GD -20 |
Away far trip
Brunner & Lay Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–2 | 1.14 | 0.81 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 03:00 PM |
Tulsa SC Frontier Pre 4th · 6-2-3 · GD +8 |
Away far trip
Jenks Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–2 | 0.48 | 0.80 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 3 | +32 | 25 | 2.78 | WWWDW | -0.06 | -0.37 | 100% | 1.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Arkansas Rising Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II · Sat Nov 14 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 6 | +18 | 19 | 2.71 | WWWWD | +0.29 | -0.36 | 100% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II · Sat Oct 24 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II · Fri Oct 30 vs Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 18 | +26 | 21 | 2.10 | WLWLW | -0.38 | +0.07 | 99% | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 vs Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs West Side Alliance Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Tulsa SC Frontier Pre | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 21 | +8 | 20 | 1.82 | DLWWW | -0.20 | +0.22 | 58% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II · Sun Nov 1 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 10 | 1.67 | WLDLW | -0.20 | +0.14 | 23% | 5.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre · Sat Oct 31 at West Side Alliance Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 17 | 1.55 | WLWWL | -0.10 | +0.24 | 5% | 6.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Tulsa SC Frontier Pre · Sat Oct 10 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I · Fri Oct 30 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | West Side Alliance Pre | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 20 | +7 | 14 | 1.40 | LDLWW | -0.26 | +0.24 | 14% | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Arkansas Rising Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II · Sun Oct 25 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 | 0.78 | LWWLL | +0.37 | -0.03 | 0% | 8.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Oct 28 at Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White · Sat Oct 31 vs Arkansas Rising Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Arkansas Rising Pre | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 7 | 0.70 | WLWDL | +0.10 | +0.32 | 0% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West Side Alliance Pre · Sat Oct 31 at OK Energy FC Frontier Pre · Sat Oct 31 at OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 7 | 0.64 | LLLLD | -0.24 | +0.64 | 0% | 9.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs West Side Alliance Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White · Sun Nov 1 at Tulsa SC Frontier Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 40 | -29 | 3 | 0.30 | LLLLL | +0.18 | +0.37 | 0% | 10.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Oct 28 vs OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White · Sat Oct 31 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I · Sat Oct 31 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.39 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.