TableChase Clubs

West Side Alliance Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Frontier BU12 · 11 teams · West Side Alliance SC (all teams)

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7th
4-2-4 record · 10 played
1.40 points per game
+7 goal diff · 27–20
LDLWWlast 5
14% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.8
-0.26 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM

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West Side Alliance Pre
7th · 1.40 PPG
at
Arkansas Rising Pre
9th · 0.70 PPG

Burns Park , Field 11A ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.7 for, 1.8 against · 2.33 expected points)

Season so farWest Side Alliance PreArkansas Rising Pre
Position7th9th
Record (W-D-L)4-2-42-1-7
Points per game1.400.70
Goals for / game2.71.7
Goals against / game2.04.3
Clean sheets40
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)W W L D LL D W L W
Biggest win6–0 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II3–1 vs Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White
Worst loss0–4 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre1–7 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.41-1.87
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.26+0.10

Already played this season: Sat Aug 29 2–0 vs Arkansas Rising Pre (W)

Common opponents: Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre — we 4–4; they 2–1. Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II — we 6–0; they 3–6, 4–4. Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I — we 1–3; they 2–7, 1–6. FC Tulsa Academy Pre — we 0–4; they 1–7. Tulsa SC Frontier Pre — we 1–3; they 0–3. Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White — we 6–0, 6–2; they 3–1.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Arkansas Rising Pre concede 4.3/game; worst result 1–7 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–4 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre, 0–0 vs OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 73% chance; likely score 3–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Burns Park .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Arkansas Rising Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (West Side Alliance Pre – Arkansas Rising Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.55 PPG		 6th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Win
1.55 PPG		 6th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Draw
1.36 PPG		 7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Loss
1.27 PPG		 7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
14% top 4
86% below the top 4
5.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 13%
  5. 5th 26%
  6. 6th 32%
  7. 7th 27%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.20 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 2.78 (+1.38) 1st (2.69) 42 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Tulsa Academy Pre 2.71 (+1.31) 2nd (2.45) 41 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I 2.10 (+0.70) 3rd (2.10) 28 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
4 Tulsa SC Frontier Pre 1.82 (+0.42) 4th (1.70) 23 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
5 FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 1.67 (+0.27) 5th (1.53) 20 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
6 Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre 1.55 (+0.15) 7th (1.38) 17 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection

How the results connect

78 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link West Side Alliance Pre to Arkansas Rising Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

61 favour us
3 even
14 favour them
+3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–0 1–3 3–0 4–4 1–2 6–2 1–3 0–4 7–1 1–3 7–2 6–1 6–0 6–0 4–4 6–3 1–4 5–0 4–0 West Side Alliance … 7th Tulsa SC Frontier P… 4th Broken Arrow Soccer… 6th Oklahoma Celtic Pre… 11th FC Tulsa Academy Pre 2nd Arkansas Comets FC … 3rd Arkansas Comets FC … 10th OK Energy FC Fronti… 1st Arkansas Rising Pre 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 22 Aug 30 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 18 Oct 21

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.24 · 5th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
12:00 PM		 Arkansas Rising Pre
9th · 2-1-7 · GD -26		 Away far trip
Burns Park 		●●○○○ Lean win
73%		 3–1 2.33 1.48 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
02:00 PM		 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II
10th · 2-1-8 · GD -20		 Away far trip
Brunner & Lay Soccer Complex		 ●●○○○ Lean win
67%		 3–1 2.16 1.54 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM		 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I
3rd · 7-0-3 · GD +26		 Away far trip
Brunner & Lay Soccer Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 2–3 0.67 1.47 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM		 FC Tulsa Academy Pre
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +18		 Home
RiverCity Parks		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 1–2 0.81 1.43 Upside
Sat Oct 31
12:00 PM		 FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +4		 Home
RiverCity Parks		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
48%		 2–2 1.64 1.44 Swing game
Thu Nov 5
07:30 PM		 Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre
6th · 5-2-4 · GD -4		 Home
RiverCity Parks		 ●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 2–1 1.96 1.47 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM		 FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +4		 Away
Scheels Sports Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 2–2 1.32 1.46 Upside
Sun Nov 15
03:00 PM		 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White
8th · 2-1-6 · GD -16		 Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 2–1 2.12 1.50 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
11:00 AM		 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre
1st · 8-1-0 · GD +32		 Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 0–3 0.29 1.44 Upside
Sat Dec 5
01:30 PM		 Tulsa SC Frontier Pre
4th · 6-2-3 · GD +8		 Home
RiverCity Parks		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–2 1.50 1.44 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 9810 353+32 252.78 WWWDW -0.06 -0.37 100% 1.1
2 FC Tulsa Academy Pre 7610 246+18 192.71 WWWWD +0.29 -0.36 100% 2.0
3 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I 10703 4418+26 212.10 WLWLW -0.38 +0.07 99% 3.0
4 Tulsa SC Frontier Pre 11623 2921+8 201.82 DLWWW -0.20 +0.22 60% 4.5
5 FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 6312 1612+4 101.67 WLDLW -0.20 +0.14 24% 5.4
6 Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre 11524 2529-4 171.55 WLWWL -0.10 +0.24 4% 6.3
7 West Side Alliance Pre 10424 2720+7 141.40 LDLWW -0.26 +0.24 14% 5.8
8 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White 9216 824-16 70.78 LWWLL +0.37 -0.03 0% 8.6
9 Arkansas Rising Pre 10217 1743-26 70.70 WLWDL +0.10 +0.32 0% 9.3
10 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II 11218 2141-20 70.64 LLLLD -0.24 +0.64 0% 9.4
11 Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White 10109 1140-29 30.30 LLLLL +0.18 +0.37 0% 10.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.39 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.