TableChase Clubs

FC Tulsa Academy Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Frontier BU12 · 11 teams · FC Tulsa Academy (all teams)

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2nd
6-1-0 record · 7 played
2.71 points per game
+18 goal diff · 24–6
WWWWDlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.0
+0.29 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, TBD

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FC Tulsa Academy Pre
2nd · 2.71 PPG
at

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.7 for, 1.5 against · 2.08 expected points)

Season so farFC Tulsa Academy PreFC Tulsa Academy Pre- II
Position2nd5th
Record (W-D-L)6-1-03-1-2
Points per game2.711.67
Goals for / game3.42.7
Goals against / game0.92.0
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)D W W W WW L D L W
Biggest win7–1 vs Arkansas Rising Pre6–1 vs Arkansas Rising Pre
Worst loss—0–4 vs OK Energy FC Frontier Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.78+0.28
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.29-0.20

Common opponents: Arkansas Rising Pre — we 7–1; they 6–1. Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre — we 3–1; they 3–4. Tulsa SC Frontier Pre — we 5–2; they 2–2. OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White — we 2–0; they 1–0. OK Energy FC Frontier Pre — we 1–1; they 0–4.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 63% / draw 17% / loss 19%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff TBD at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Tulsa Academy Pre – FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.75 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Win
2.75 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.50 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Loss
2.38 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

15% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
2.0 average finish
  1. 1st 15%
  2. 2nd 74%
  3. 3rd 11%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.90 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 2.78 (+0.07) 1st (2.69) 37 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection

How the results connect

41 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link FC Tulsa Academy Pre to FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

35 favour us
3 even
3 favour them
+2.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–0 0–1 7–1 1–6 5–2 2–2 3–1 4–3 1–1 4–0 3–2 1–4 3–2 3–6 0–2 0–5 3–0 2–1 FC Tulsa Academy Pre 2nd OK Energy FC Fronti… 8th Arkansas Rising Pre 9th Tulsa SC Frontier P… 4th Broken Arrow Soccer… 6th OK Energy FC Fronti… 1st Arkansas Comets FC … 10th FC Tulsa Academy Pr… 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 22 Aug 30 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 18 Oct 21

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.36 · 10th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 27
01:00 PM
no score posted
FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +4
Home
Keas Soccer Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
3–1 2.33 2.67 Bank it
Sat Oct 24
TBD
FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +4
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.08 2.60 Swing game
Fri Oct 30
06:00 PM
Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre
6th · 5-2-4 · GD -4
Home
Indian Springs Soccer Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.55 2.60 Bank it
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
West Side Alliance Pre
7th · 4-2-4 · GD +7
Away
RiverCity Parks
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.01 2.54 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
03:00 PM
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White
8th · 2-1-6 · GD -16
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–0 2.58 2.55 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre
1st · 8-1-0 · GD +32
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.78 2.41 Upside
Sun Nov 15
12:30 PM
Tulsa SC Frontier Pre
4th · 6-2-3 · GD +8
Home
Scheels Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.21 2.40 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
02:30 PM
Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II
10th · 2-1-8 · GD -20
Away far trip
Brunner & Lay Soccer Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
4–1 2.68 2.41 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
TBD
Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I
3rd · 7-0-3 · GD +26
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.49 2.36 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
12:00 PM
Arkansas Rising Pre
9th · 2-1-7 · GD -26
Away far trip
Burns Park
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
4–1 2.76 2.38 Bank it
Sun Dec 13
04:00 PM
Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White
11th · 1-0-9 · GD -29
Away far trip
Oklahoma Celtic
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
4–0 2.81 2.40 Bank it
Sun Feb 28
11:00 AM
Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II
10th · 2-1-8 · GD -20
Home
Scheels Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
4–1 2.81 2.43 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
12:30 PM
Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White
11th · 1-0-9 · GD -29
Home
Scheels Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
5–0 2.89 2.45 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 9810 353+32 252.78 WWWDW -0.06 -0.37 100% 1.2
2 FC Tulsa Academy Pre 7610 246+18 192.71 WWWWD +0.29 -0.36 100% 2.0
3 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I 10703 4418+26 212.10 WLWLW -0.38 +0.07 99% 3.0
4 Tulsa SC Frontier Pre 11623 2921+8 201.82 DLWWW -0.20 +0.22 60% 4.5
5 FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 6312 1612+4 101.67 WLDLW -0.20 +0.14 24% 5.4
6 Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre 11524 2529-4 171.55 WLWWL -0.10 +0.24 4% 6.3
7 West Side Alliance Pre 10424 2720+7 141.40 LDLWW -0.26 +0.24 13% 5.8
8 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White 9216 824-16 70.78 LWWLL +0.37 -0.03 0% 8.6
9 Arkansas Rising Pre 10217 1743-26 70.70 WLWDL +0.10 +0.32 0% 9.3
10 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II 11218 2141-20 70.64 LLLLD -0.24 +0.64 0% 9.4
11 Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White 10109 1140-29 30.30 LLLLL +0.18 +0.37 0% 10.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.39 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.