Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Frontier BU12 · 11 teams · Oklahoma Celtic (all teams)
Next game — Wed Oct 28, 08:00 PM
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.6 for, 1.9 against · 1.23 expected points)
| Season so far | Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 11th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-9 | 2-1-6 |
| Points per game | 0.30 | 0.78 |
| Goals for / game | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Goals against / game | 4.0 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 6 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | L L W W L |
| Biggest win | 3–1 vs Tulsa SC Frontier Pre | 4–1 vs Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White |
| Worst loss | 0–6 at West Side Alliance Pre | 0–6 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.16 | -1.18 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.18 | +0.37 |
Already played this season: Sat Oct 3 1–4 at OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White (L)
Common opponents: Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre — we 1–3; they 0–2. Tulsa SC Frontier Pre — we 3–1, 0–4; they 1–5. Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II — we 0–2; they 3–2. Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I — we 3–6; they 0–6. West Side Alliance Pre — we 0–6, 2–6; they 0–0. OK Energy FC Frontier Pre — we 0–5; they 0–5.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White average 0.9 goals/game (league avg 2.4); blanked in 6 of 9.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–2 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II, 0–4 at Tulsa SC Frontier Pre, 0–6 at West Side Alliance Pre, 0–5 vs OK Energy FC Frontier Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 34%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
If Wednesday goes…
Where we'd sit after the OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White – OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.36 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 11th— holds |
| Win 0.55 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 11th— holds |
| Draw 0.36 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 11th— holds |
| Loss 0.27 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 11th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 11th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th 1%
- 9th 7%
- 10th 15%
- 11th 78%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 1.65 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre | 2.78 (+2.48) | 1st (2.69) | 53 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre | 2.71 (+2.41) | 2nd (2.45) | 52 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I | 2.10 (+1.80) | 3rd (2.10) | 39 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Tulsa SC Frontier Pre | 1.82 (+1.52) | 4th (1.70) | 34 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II | 1.67 (+1.37) | 5th (1.53) | 31 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 6 | Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre | 1.55 (+1.25) | 7th (1.38) | 28 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection |
| 7 | West Side Alliance Pre | 1.40 (+1.10) | 6th (1.44) | 25 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 8 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White | 0.78 (+0.48) | 8th (0.80) | 13 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection |
| 9 | Arkansas Rising Pre | 0.70 (+0.40) | 9th (0.68) | 11 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection |
| 10 | Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II | 0.64 (+0.34) | 10th (0.65) | 10 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection |
How the results connect
72 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White to OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
17 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.37 · 2nd hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Oct 28 08:00 PM |
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White 8th · 2-1-6 · GD -16 |
Home Oklahoma Celtic |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–1 | 1.23 | 0.38 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 04:00 PM |
Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I 3rd · 7-0-3 · GD +26 |
Home Oklahoma Celtic |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
1–5 | 0.13 | 0.36 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 12:00 PM |
Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II 10th · 2-1-8 · GD -20 |
Home Oklahoma Celtic |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–2 | 1.10 | 0.42 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
Arkansas Rising Pre 9th · 2-1-7 · GD -26 |
Home Oklahoma Celtic |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.29 | 0.48 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 6 02:00 PM |
Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre 6th · 5-2-4 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
Indian Springs Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.45 | 0.48 | Upside |
| Wed Dec 9 07:30 PM |
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 1st · 8-1-0 · GD +32 |
Away Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–5 | 0.03 | 0.45 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 04:00 PM |
FC Tulsa Academy Pre 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +18 |
Home Oklahoma Celtic |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–4 | 0.14 | 0.43 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 12:00 PM |
FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +4 |
Home Oklahoma Celtic |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.46 | 0.43 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 03:30 PM |
FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Scheels Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
1–4 | 0.29 | 0.43 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 12:30 PM |
FC Tulsa Academy Pre 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +18 |
Away far trip
Scheels Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–5 | 0.08 | 0.41 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 3 | +32 | 25 | 2.78 | WWWDW | -0.06 | -0.37 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Arkansas Rising Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II · Sat Nov 14 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 6 | +18 | 19 | 2.71 | WWWWD | +0.29 | -0.36 | 100% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II · Sat Oct 24 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II · Fri Oct 30 vs Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 18 | +26 | 21 | 2.10 | WLWLW | -0.38 | +0.07 | 99% | 3.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 vs Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs West Side Alliance Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Tulsa SC Frontier Pre | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 21 | +8 | 20 | 1.82 | DLWWW | -0.20 | +0.22 | 60% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II · Sun Nov 1 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 10 | 1.67 | WLDLW | -0.20 | +0.14 | 24% | 5.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre · Sat Oct 31 at West Side Alliance Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 17 | 1.55 | WLWWL | -0.10 | +0.24 | 4% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Tulsa SC Frontier Pre · Sat Oct 10 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I · Fri Oct 30 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | West Side Alliance Pre | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 20 | +7 | 14 | 1.40 | LDLWW | -0.26 | +0.24 | 14% | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Arkansas Rising Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II · Sun Oct 25 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 | 0.78 | LWWLL | +0.37 | -0.03 | 0% | 8.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Oct 28 at Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White · Sat Oct 31 vs Arkansas Rising Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Arkansas Rising Pre | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 7 | 0.70 | WLWDL | +0.10 | +0.32 | 0% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West Side Alliance Pre · Sat Oct 31 at OK Energy FC Frontier Pre · Sat Oct 31 at OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 7 | 0.64 | LLLLD | -0.24 | +0.64 | 0% | 9.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs West Side Alliance Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White · Sun Nov 1 at Tulsa SC Frontier Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 40 | -29 | 3 | 0.30 | LLLLL | +0.18 | +0.37 | 0% | 10.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Oct 28 vs OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White · Sat Oct 31 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I · Sat Oct 31 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.39 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.