SOLAR BLUE NTX
ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU14 · 20 teams · Solar SC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:40 AM
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.1 for, 1.7 against · 2.09 expected points)
| Season so far | SOLAR BLUE NTX | FC Dallas Youth White NTX |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 17th | 19th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-1-3 | 0-1-4 |
| Points per game | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| Goals for / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 3.8 | 6.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L L D L | L D L L L |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | 0–8 at Sting Brave NTX | 1–11 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.33 | -2.77 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +1.51 | +1.38 |
Common opponents: Sting Brave NTX — we 0–8; they 0–4. SOLAR WHITE NTX — we 1–2; they 0–9.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
FC Dallas Youth White NTX average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.4); blanked in 2 of 5.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
FC Dallas Youth White NTX concede 6.0/game; worst result 1–11 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–8 at Sting Brave NTX.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 64% / draw 16% / loss 20%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX sit 16th on 0.40 PPG; we are on 0.25.A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth Red NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth White NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SOLAR BLUE NTX – FC Dallas Youth White NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 0.80 PPG |
15th▲ up 2 | 16th▲ up 1 | 17th— holds |
| Win 0.80 PPG |
15th▲ up 2 | 16th▲ up 1 | 17th— holds |
| Draw 0.40 PPG |
17th— holds | 17th— holds | 19th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 0.20 PPG |
18th▼ down 1 | 18th▼ down 1 | 20th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 15th if every rival drops points, and as low as 17th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th <1%
- 8th <1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th 1%
- 11th 1%
- 12th 2%
- 13th 4%
- 14th 9%
- 15th 19%
- 16th 26%
- 17th 21%
- 18th 10%
- 19th 7%
- 20th 1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.27 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sting Brave NTX | 3.00 (+2.75) | 1st (2.66) | 44 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 2.60 (+2.35) | 3rd (2.44) | 38 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | SOLAR NTX | 2.60 (+2.35) | 2nd (2.47) | 38 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Sting Royal NTX | 2.40 (+2.15) | 4th (2.21) | 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 5 | BVBIA DFW NTX | 2.40 (+2.15) | 5th (2.13) | 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 6 | SOLAR WHITE NTX | 2.25 (+2.00) | 6th (1.82) | 33 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 7 | Dallas Texans NTX | 1.75 (+1.50) | 8th (1.48) | 26 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
| 8 | Dallas Cosmos SC NTX | 1.60 (+1.35) | 7th (1.60) | 23 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection |
| 9 | DKSC WHITE NTX | 1.60 (+1.35) | 13th (1.33) | 23 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 10 | Fever United FC NTX | 1.50 (+1.25) | 9th (1.47) | 22 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
| 11 | Sting Black NTX | 1.40 (+1.15) | 10th (1.44) | 20 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 12 | Kernow Storm FC NTX | 1.40 (+1.15) | 14th (1.13) | 20 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection |
| 13 | NTX Celtic FC NTX | 1.40 (+1.15) | 12th (1.36) | 20 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 14 | SOLAR RED NTX | 1.00 (+0.75) | 11th (1.43) | 14 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 15 | Nido Dallas NTX | 0.60 (+0.35) | 17th (0.71) | A point next game |
| 16 | FC Dallas Youth Red NTX | 0.40 (+0.15) | 15th (0.89) | A point next game |
How the results connect
2 chains · 4 teams
Paths of results that link SOLAR BLUE NTX to FC Dallas Youth White NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.32 · 16th hardest of 20
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 09:50 AM no score posted |
Dallas Texans NTX 7th · 2-1-1 · GD +3 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.65 | 0.33 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 24 11:40 AM |
FC Dallas Youth White NTX 19th · 0-1-4 · GD -26 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
3–1 | 2.09 | 0.62 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 01:30 PM |
Nido Dallas NTX 15th · 1-0-4 · GD -18 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
2–1 | 1.87 | 0.80 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 6 03:20 PM |
SOLAR RED NTX 14th · 1-1-2 · GD +0 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–3 | 0.50 | 0.77 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 7 09:50 AM |
Sting Royal NTX 4th · 4-0-1 · GD +16 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
1–4 | 0.16 | 0.70 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 20 03:20 PM |
Dallas Texans Red NTX 18th · 0-1-4 · GD -19 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–1 | 1.67 | 0.79 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 21 08:00 AM |
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 16th · 0-2-3 · GD -10 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–1 | 1.37 | 0.85 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 03:20 PM |
Sting Black NTX 11th · 2-1-2 · GD +4 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–3 | 0.65 | 0.83 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 01:30 PM |
SOLAR NTX 3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +18 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.10 | 0.77 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 01:30 PM |
Kernow Storm FC NTX 12th · 2-1-2 · GD +1 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.73 | 0.77 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 09:50 AM |
DKSC WHITE NTX 9th · 2-2-1 · GD +0 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 1.00 | 0.79 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Sting Brave NTX | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | +30 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -2.33 | +0.45 | 99% | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sun Nov 1 at Fever United FC NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 4 | +27 | 13 | 2.60 | WWDWW | -0.73 | +0.04 | 93% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Cosmos SC NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Sting Brave NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | SOLAR NTX | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 2 | +18 | 13 | 2.60 | DWWWW | -0.12 | -0.18 | 93% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Kernow Storm FC NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs DKSC WHITE NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Sting Royal NTX | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 12 | 2.40 | LWWWW | -0.38 | -0.18 | 63% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Oct 29 at Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Nov 8 at BVBIA DFW NTX · Sat Feb 6 at Fever United FC NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | BVBIA DFW NTX | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWWL | +0.25 | -0.40 | 40% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at DKSC WHITE NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs Sting Royal NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SOLAR WHITE NTX | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | -2.10 | +0.59 | 9% | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Brave NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Sting Black NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Dallas Cosmos SC NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Dallas Texans NTX | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 1.75 | WLWD | -1.74 | +0.23 | 0% | 9.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX · Thu Oct 29 vs Sting Royal NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs Nido Dallas NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Dallas Cosmos SC NTX | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 8 | 1.60 | DDWWL | -0.26 | +0.09 | 1% | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans Red NTX · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR WHITE NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | DKSC WHITE NTX | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +0 | 8 | 1.60 | DDWLW | -1.33 | +0.30 | 0% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs BVBIA DFW NTX · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Fever United FC NTX | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | LWWL | +0.32 | -0.07 | 0% | 10.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR RED NTX · Sun Nov 1 vs Sting Brave NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Sting Black NTX | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 7 | 1.40 | WDLWL | -0.05 | +0.40 | 0% | 10.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Texans Red NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR RED NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Kernow Storm FC NTX | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 7 | 1.40 | LWLDW | -1.42 | +0.71 | 0% | 13.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR NTX · Sat Oct 31 at BVBIA DFW NTX · Sat Nov 7 at DKSC WHITE NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | NTX Celtic FC NTX | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 | 1.40 | WLLDW | +0.39 | +0.13 | 0% | 10.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Fever United FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs Dallas Texans NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | SOLAR RED NTX | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 4 | 1.00 | WLLD | +0.70 | +0.00 | 0% | 10.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at DKSC NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs Fever United FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Black NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Nido Dallas NTX | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 22 | -18 | 3 | 0.60 | LLWLL | +0.76 | -0.34 | 0% | 16.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans NTX · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | FC Dallas Youth Red NTX | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 | 0.40 | LLDDL | +1.77 | -0.50 | 0% | 15.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Nido Dallas NTX · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | SOLAR BLUE NTX | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 1 | 0.25 | LDLL | +1.51 | -0.32 | 0% | 16.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Dallas Texans NTX · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Nido Dallas NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 18 | Dallas Texans Red NTX | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 22 | -19 | 1 | 0.20 | DLLLL | +0.86 | +0.06 | 0% | 18.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Black NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs Dallas Cosmos SC NTX · Sat Nov 7 at Sting Brave NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 19 | FC Dallas Youth White NTX | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 30 | -26 | 1 | 0.20 | LLLDL | +1.38 | -0.33 | 0% | 18.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR BLUE NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Dallas Texans NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 20 | DKSC NTX | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 36 | -36 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +1.17 | -0.11 | 0% | 19.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR RED NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Fever United FC NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.