FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU14 · 20 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:20 PM
Dallas Soccer Park, Field 10 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 1.6 against · 1.72 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Dallas Youth Red NTX | Nido Dallas NTX |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 16th | 15th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-2-3 | 1-0-4 |
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals for / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 2.8 | 4.4 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L D D L L | L L W L L |
| Biggest win | — | 3–1 at SOLAR WHITE NTX |
| Worst loss | 0–6 vs Sting Brave NTX | 0–11 vs SOLAR NTX |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.90 | -2.08 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +1.77 | +0.76 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Nido Dallas NTX average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.4); blanked in 3 of 5.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
Nido Dallas NTX concede 4.4/game; worst result 0–11 vs SOLAR NTX.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–6 vs Sting Brave NTX, 0–3 vs Sting Royal NTX.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 50% / draw 21% / loss 29%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 03:20 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Nido Dallas NTX sit 15th on 0.60 PPG; we are on 0.40.A point moves us above Nido Dallas NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Nido Dallas NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Red NTX – Nido Dallas NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 0.83 PPG |
15th▲ up 1 | 15th▲ up 1 | 15th▲ up 1 |
| Win 0.83 PPG |
15th▲ up 1 | 15th▲ up 1 | 15th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.50 PPG |
16th— holds | 17th▼ down 1 | 19th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 0.33 PPG |
16th— holds | 17th▼ down 1 | 20th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 14th if every rival drops points, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th <1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th 1%
- 11th 2%
- 12th 4%
- 13th 8%
- 14th 14%
- 15th 27%
- 16th 23%
- 17th 12%
- 18th 6%
- 19th 2%
- 20th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.13 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sting Brave NTX | 3.00 (+2.60) | 1st (2.66) | 43 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 2.60 (+2.20) | 3rd (2.44) | 37 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | SOLAR NTX | 2.60 (+2.20) | 2nd (2.47) | 37 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Sting Royal NTX | 2.40 (+2.00) | 4th (2.21) | 34 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | BVBIA DFW NTX | 2.40 (+2.00) | 5th (2.13) | 34 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
| 6 | SOLAR WHITE NTX | 2.25 (+1.85) | 6th (1.82) | 32 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 7 | Dallas Texans NTX | 1.75 (+1.35) | 8th (1.48) | 25 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 8 | Dallas Cosmos SC NTX | 1.60 (+1.20) | 7th (1.60) | 22 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
| 9 | DKSC WHITE NTX | 1.60 (+1.20) | 13th (1.33) | 22 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 10 | Fever United FC NTX | 1.50 (+1.10) | 9th (1.47) | 21 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 11 | Sting Black NTX | 1.40 (+1.00) | 10th (1.44) | 19 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 12 | Kernow Storm FC NTX | 1.40 (+1.00) | 14th (1.13) | 19 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection |
| 13 | NTX Celtic FC NTX | 1.40 (+1.00) | 12th (1.36) | 19 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 14 | SOLAR RED NTX | 1.00 (+0.60) | 11th (1.43) | 13 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 15 | Nido Dallas NTX | 0.60 (+0.20) | 17th (0.71) | A point next game |
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.50 · 20th hardest of 20
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 03:20 PM |
Nido Dallas NTX 15th · 1-0-4 · GD -18 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.72 | 0.62 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 31 03:20 PM |
FC Dallas Youth White NTX 19th · 0-1-4 · GD -26 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.93 | 0.81 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 01:30 PM |
SOLAR NTX 3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +18 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
0–3 | 0.27 | 0.74 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 6 09:50 AM |
Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 8th · 2-2-1 · GD +4 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.59 | 0.72 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 20 09:50 AM |
SOLAR RED NTX 14th · 1-1-2 · GD +0 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.66 | 0.72 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 21 08:00 AM |
SOLAR BLUE NTX 17th · 0-1-3 · GD -12 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.41 | 0.78 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 09:50 AM |
Dallas Texans Red NTX 18th · 0-1-4 · GD -19 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
2–1 | 2.07 | 0.89 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 01:30 PM |
Kernow Storm FC NTX 12th · 2-1-2 · GD +1 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–1 | 1.14 | 0.91 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 08:00 AM |
DKSC WHITE NTX 9th · 2-2-1 · GD +0 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–1 | 1.17 | 0.92 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 01:30 PM |
BVBIA DFW NTX 5th · 4-0-1 · GD +7 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
0–2 | 0.46 | 0.89 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Sting Brave NTX | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | +30 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -2.33 | +0.45 | 99% | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sun Nov 1 at Fever United FC NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 4 | +27 | 13 | 2.60 | WWDWW | -0.73 | +0.04 | 92% | 2.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Cosmos SC NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Sting Brave NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | SOLAR NTX | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 2 | +18 | 13 | 2.60 | DWWWW | -0.12 | -0.18 | 95% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Kernow Storm FC NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs DKSC WHITE NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Sting Royal NTX | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 12 | 2.40 | LWWWW | -0.38 | -0.18 | 63% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Oct 29 at Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Nov 8 at BVBIA DFW NTX · Sat Feb 6 at Fever United FC NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | BVBIA DFW NTX | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWWL | +0.25 | -0.40 | 40% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at DKSC WHITE NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs Sting Royal NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SOLAR WHITE NTX | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | -2.10 | +0.59 | 10% | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Brave NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Sting Black NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Dallas Cosmos SC NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Dallas Texans NTX | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 1.75 | WLWD | -1.74 | +0.23 | 0% | 9.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX · Thu Oct 29 vs Sting Royal NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs Nido Dallas NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Dallas Cosmos SC NTX | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 8 | 1.60 | DDWWL | -0.26 | +0.09 | 1% | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans Red NTX · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR WHITE NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | DKSC WHITE NTX | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +0 | 8 | 1.60 | DDWLW | -1.33 | +0.30 | 0% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs BVBIA DFW NTX · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Fever United FC NTX | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | LWWL | +0.32 | -0.07 | 0% | 9.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR RED NTX · Sun Nov 1 vs Sting Brave NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Sting Black NTX | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 7 | 1.40 | WDLWL | -0.05 | +0.40 | 0% | 9.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Texans Red NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR RED NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Kernow Storm FC NTX | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 7 | 1.40 | LWLDW | -1.42 | +0.71 | 0% | 13.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR NTX · Sat Oct 31 at BVBIA DFW NTX · Sat Nov 7 at DKSC WHITE NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | NTX Celtic FC NTX | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 | 1.40 | WLLDW | +0.39 | +0.13 | 0% | 11.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Fever United FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs Dallas Texans NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | SOLAR RED NTX | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 4 | 1.00 | WLLD | +0.70 | +0.00 | 0% | 10.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at DKSC NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs Fever United FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Black NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Nido Dallas NTX | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 22 | -18 | 3 | 0.60 | LLWLL | +0.76 | -0.34 | 0% | 16.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans NTX · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | FC Dallas Youth Red NTX | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 | 0.40 | LLDDL | +1.77 | -0.50 | 0% | 15.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Nido Dallas NTX · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | SOLAR BLUE NTX | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 1 | 0.25 | LDLL | +1.51 | -0.32 | 0% | 16.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Dallas Texans NTX · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Nido Dallas NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 18 | Dallas Texans Red NTX | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 22 | -19 | 1 | 0.20 | DLLLL | +0.86 | +0.06 | 0% | 18.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Black NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs Dallas Cosmos SC NTX · Sat Nov 7 at Sting Brave NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 19 | FC Dallas Youth White NTX | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 30 | -26 | 1 | 0.20 | LLLDL | +1.38 | -0.33 | 0% | 18.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR BLUE NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Dallas Texans NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 20 | DKSC NTX | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 36 | -36 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +1.17 | -0.11 | 0% | 19.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR RED NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Fever United FC NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.