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DKSC NTX

ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU14 · 20 teams · DKSC (all teams)

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20th
0-0-5 record · 5 played
0.00 points per game
-36 goal diff · 0–36
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 19.7
+1.17 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:50 AM

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DKSC NTX
20th · 0.00 PPG
vs
SOLAR RED NTX
14th · 1.00 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 10 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–5 (expected goals 1.1 for, 5.3 against · 0.10 expected points)

Season so farDKSC NTXSOLAR RED NTX
Position20th14th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-51-1-2
Points per game0.001.00
Goals for / game0.02.5
Goals against / game7.22.5
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless51
Form (recent first)L L L L LD L L W
Biggest win—5–1 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX
Worst loss0–12 at Sting Brave NTX0–3 at SOLAR NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-4.04+0.25
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.17+0.70

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–3 at Dallas Texans NTX, 0–10 vs Sting Royal NTX, 0–3 at DKSC WHITE NTX, 0–8 at Sting Black NTX, 0–12 at Sting Brave NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 2%; a draw (4%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:50 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    FC Dallas Youth White NTX sit 19th on 0.20 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth White NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SOLAR RED NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC NTX – SOLAR RED NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
20th— holds 20th— holds 20th— holds
Win
0.50 PPG
16th▲ up 4 18th▲ up 2 20th— holds
Draw
0.17 PPG
20th— holds 20th— holds 20th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
20th— holds 20th— holds 20th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–5 loss we stay 20th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
19.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th 1%
  18. 18th 5%
  19. 19th 16%
  20. 20th 78%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Sting Brave NTX 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.66) 45 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.60 (+2.60) 3rd (2.44) 39 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 SOLAR NTX 2.60 (+2.60) 2nd (2.47) 39 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Sting Royal NTX 2.40 (+2.40) 4th (2.21) 36 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 BVBIA DFW NTX 2.40 (+2.40) 5th (2.13) 36 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 SOLAR WHITE NTX 2.25 (+2.25) 6th (1.82) 34 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
7 Dallas Texans NTX 1.75 (+1.75) 8th (1.48) 27 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
8 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 1.60 (+1.60) 7th (1.60) 24 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
9 DKSC WHITE NTX 1.60 (+1.60) 13th (1.33) 24 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
10 Fever United FC NTX 1.50 (+1.50) 9th (1.47) 23 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
11 Sting Black NTX 1.40 (+1.40) 10th (1.44) 21 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
12 Kernow Storm FC NTX 1.40 (+1.40) 14th (1.13) 21 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
13 NTX Celtic FC NTX 1.40 (+1.40) 12th (1.36) 21 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
14 SOLAR RED NTX 1.00 (+1.00) 11th (1.43) 15 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
15 Nido Dallas NTX 0.60 (+0.60) 17th (0.71) 9 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
16 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 0.40 (+0.40) 15th (0.89) A point next game
17 SOLAR BLUE NTX 0.25 (+0.25) 16th (0.79) A point next game
18 Dallas Texans Red NTX 0.20 (+0.20) 19th (0.47) A point next game
19 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 0.20 (+0.20) 18th (0.50) A point next game

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.11 · 13th hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:50 AM
SOLAR RED NTX
14th · 1-1-2 · GD +0
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.10 0.02 Upside
Sat Nov 7
07:00 PM
Fever United FC NTX
10th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.18 0.04 Upside
Sat Feb 6
03:20 PM
FC Dallas Youth White NTX
19th · 0-1-4 · GD -26
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.87 0.14 Upside
Sun Feb 7
08:00 AM
NTX Celtic FC NTX
13th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.10 0.14 Upside
Sat Feb 20
03:20 PM
Nido Dallas NTX
15th · 1-0-4 · GD -18
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.49 0.18 Upside
Sat Feb 27
03:20 PM
BVBIA DFW NTX
5th · 4-0-1 · GD +7
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–4 0.07 0.17 Upside
Sun Feb 28
07:00 PM
Dallas Texans Red NTX
18th · 0-1-4 · GD -19
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.81 0.22 Upside
Sat Mar 6
09:50 AM
Dallas Cosmos SC NTX
8th · 2-2-1 · GD +4
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–5 0.09 0.21 Upside
Sat Apr 3
05:10 PM
FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +27
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–9 0.00 0.20 Upside
Sat Apr 10
05:10 PM
SOLAR WHITE NTX
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +13
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–7 0.02 0.18 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Sting Brave NTX 4400 300+30 123.00 WWWW -2.33 +0.45 99% 1.6
2 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5410 314+27 132.60 WWDWW -0.73 +0.04 93% 2.6
3 SOLAR NTX 5410 202+18 132.60 DWWWW -0.12 -0.18 95% 2.6
4 Sting Royal NTX 5401 237+16 122.40 LWWWW -0.38 -0.18 62% 4.2
5 BVBIA DFW NTX 5401 114+7 122.40 WWWWL +0.25 -0.40 39% 4.8
6 SOLAR WHITE NTX 4301 185+13 92.25 WWLW -2.10 +0.59 10% 6.7
7 Dallas Texans NTX 4211 63+3 71.75 WLWD -1.74 +0.23 1% 9.7
8 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 5221 1410+4 81.60 DDWWL -0.26 +0.09 1% 8.4
9 DKSC WHITE NTX 5221 1111+0 81.60 DDWLW -1.33 +0.30 0% 11.4
10 Fever United FC NTX 4202 66+0 61.50 LWWL +0.32 -0.07 0% 9.9
11 Sting Black NTX 5212 1511+4 71.40 WDLWL -0.05 +0.40 0% 10.0
12 Kernow Storm FC NTX 5212 109+1 71.40 LWLDW -1.42 +0.71 0% 13.2
13 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5212 911-2 71.40 WLLDW +0.39 +0.13 0% 11.0
14 SOLAR RED NTX 4112 1010+0 41.00 WLLD +0.70 +0.00 0% 10.2
15 Nido Dallas NTX 5104 422-18 30.60 LLWLL +0.76 -0.34 0% 16.7
16 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 5023 414-10 20.40 LLDDL +1.77 -0.50 0% 15.1
17 SOLAR BLUE NTX 4013 315-12 10.25 LDLL +1.51 -0.32 0% 16.0
18 Dallas Texans Red NTX 5014 322-19 10.20 DLLLL +0.86 +0.06 0% 18.2
19 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5014 430-26 10.20 LLLDL +1.38 -0.33 0% 18.1
20 DKSC NTX 5005 036-36 00.00 LLLLL +1.17 -0.11 0% 19.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.