BVBIA DFW NTX

ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU14 · 20 teams · BVBIA DFW (all teams)

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5th

4-0-1 record · 5 played

2.40 points per game

+7 goal diff · 11–4

WWWWLlast 5

40% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.7

+0.25 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:20 PM

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BVBIA DFW NTX
5th · 2.40 PPG

DKSC WHITE NTX
9th · 1.60 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 7 ↗

58% 20% 22%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.2 for, 1.3 against · 1.93 expected points)

Season so far	BVBIA DFW NTX	DKSC WHITE NTX
Position	5th	9th
Record (W-D-L)	4-0-1	2-2-1
Points per game	2.40	1.60
Goals for / game	2.2	2.2
Goals against / game	0.8	2.2
Clean sheets	1	1
Held scoreless	1	0
Form (recent first)	L W W W W	W L W D D
Biggest win	4–1 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX	3–0 vs DKSC NTX
Worst loss	0–1 at SOLAR NTX	1–7 at Sting Royal NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.94	-0.29
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.25	-1.33

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at SOLAR NTX.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Swing game — small margins
Win 58% / draw 20% / loss 22%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
Away game
Kickoff 03:20 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Sting Royal NTX sit 4th on 2.40 PPG; we are on 2.40.
A point moves us above Sting Royal NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the DKSC WHITE NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (BVBIA DFW NTX – DKSC WHITE NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.50 PPG	4th▲ up 1	4th▲ up 1	4th▲ up 1
Win 2.50 PPG	4th▲ up 1	4th▲ up 1	4th▲ up 1
Draw 2.17 PPG	6th▼ down 1	5th— holds	6th▼ down 1
Loss 2.00 PPG	6th▼ down 1	5th— holds	6th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st

40% top 4

60% below the top 4

4.7 average finish

1st 1%
2nd 4%
3rd 10%
4th 25%
5th 35%
6th 18%
7th 4%
8th 2%
9th 1%
10th <1%
11th
12th <1%
13th
14th
15th
16th
17th
18th
19th
20th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.80 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Sting Brave NTX	3.00 (+0.60)	1st (2.66)	33 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
2	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX	2.60 (+0.20)	3rd (2.44)	27 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
3	SOLAR NTX	2.60 (+0.20)	2nd (2.47)	27 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
4	Sting Royal NTX	2.40 (+0.00)	4th (2.21)	A point next game

Position over the season

10 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.40 · 19th hardest of 20

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 03:20 PM	DKSC WHITE NTX 9th · 2-2-1 · GD +0	Away Dallas Soccer Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	58%	2–1	1.93	2.32	Swing game
Sat Oct 31 01:30 PM	Kernow Storm FC NTX 12th · 2-1-2 · GD +1	Home Dallas Soccer Park	●●○○○ Lean win	64%	2–1	2.12	2.29	Swing game
Sun Nov 8 05:10 PM	Sting Royal NTX 4th · 4-0-1 · GD +16	Home Railroad Park	●●●●○ Tough	37%	1–2	1.32	2.17	Upside
Sat Feb 6 01:30 PM	SOLAR WHITE NTX 6th · 3-0-1 · GD +13	Away Dallas Soccer Park	●●●●○ Tough	34%	1–2	1.24	2.07	Upside
Sat Feb 20 01:30 PM	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +27	Home Dallas Soccer Park	●●●●● Very tough	23%	1–2	0.87	1.95	Upside
Sun Feb 21 09:50 AM	Nido Dallas NTX 15th · 1-0-4 · GD -18	Away Dallas Soccer Park	●○○○○ Favorable	83%	3–0	2.58	2.01	Bank it
Sat Feb 27 03:20 PM	DKSC NTX 20th · 0-0-5 · GD -36	Away Dallas Soccer Park	●○○○○ Favorable	95%	4–0	2.89	2.08	Bank it
Sat Mar 6 01:30 PM	Dallas Texans NTX 7th · 2-1-1 · GD +3	Home Dallas Soccer Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	55%	1–0	1.89	2.07	Swing game
Sat Apr 3 09:50 AM	FC Dallas Youth White NTX 19th · 0-1-4 · GD -26	Away Dallas Soccer Park	●○○○○ Favorable	88%	3–0	2.72	2.11	Bank it
Sat Apr 10 01:30 PM	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 16th · 0-2-3 · GD -10	Home Dallas Soccer Park	●●○○○ Lean win	74%	2–0	2.39	2.13	Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Sting Brave NTX

+30

3.00

WWWW

-2.33

+0.45

99%

1.6

W	Sun Oct 11	vs	DKSC NTX (20th)	12–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	6–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	8–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sun Nov 1 at Fever United FC NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	3–1	72%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	3–2	58%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	3–1	84%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	7–0	99%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	5–0	94%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	4–0	92%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	2–1	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Sting Black NTX (11th)	4–1	83%
·	Thu Mar 25	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	4–1	87%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	5–1	92%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	4–1	89%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX

+27

2.60

WWDWW

-0.73

+0.04

93%

2.6

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Sting Black NTX (11th)	5–1
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	9–0
D	Thu Sep 24	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	11–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	5–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Cosmos SC NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Sting Brave NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	2–3	25%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	7–0	99%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	3–2	63%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	3–0	81%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	3–1	85%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	DKSC NTX (20th)	9–0	100%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	4–1	80%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR NTX

+18

2.60

DWWWW

-0.12

-0.18

93%

2.6

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	1–0
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	11–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	3–0
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	2–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Kernow Storm FC NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs DKSC WHITE NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	2–1	76%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	3–0	85%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	3–0	84%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	4–0	95%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Sting Black NTX (11th)	3–1	70%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	6–0	98%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	1–2	33%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	2–0	67%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	2–1	61%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Royal NTX

+16

2.40

LWWWW

-0.38

-0.18

63%

4.1

W	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	7–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Sting Black NTX (11th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	DKSC NTX (20th)	10–0
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	1–5

Next: Thu Oct 29 at Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Nov 8 at BVBIA DFW NTX · Sat Feb 6 at Fever United FC NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Thu Oct 29	at	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	2–1	42%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	4–1	91%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	3–1	76%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	2–2	44%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	7–1	98%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	5–1	92%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	1–2	22%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

BVBIA DFW NTX

2.40

WWWWL

+0.25

-0.40

40%

4.7

L	Sat Oct 17	at	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	0–1
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	3–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at DKSC WHITE NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs Sting Royal NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	2–1	64%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	1–2	37%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	1–2	34%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	3–0	83%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	DKSC NTX (20th)	4–0	95%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	1–0	55%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	3–0	88%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	2–0	74%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR WHITE NTX

+13

2.25

WWLW

-2.10

+0.59

6.7

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	6–1
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 26	at	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 20	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	9–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Brave NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Sting Black NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Dallas Cosmos SC NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	1–3	15%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Sting Black NTX (11th)	2–2	50%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	3–2	62%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	3–2	55%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	2–1	44%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	2–1	51%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	2–3	22%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	2–2	39%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	DKSC NTX (20th)	7–0	99%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Texans NTX

1.75

WLWD

-1.74

+0.23

9.7

D	Sat Oct 10	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	DKSC NTX (20th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 17 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX · Thu Oct 29 vs Sting Royal NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs Nido Dallas NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	2–1	66%
·	Thu Oct 29	vs	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	2–0	76%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	2–1	75%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	0–3	8%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	0–1	21%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	0–2	14%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	1–1	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Cosmos SC NTX

1.60

DDWWL

-0.26

+0.09

8.5

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	2–4
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	3–2
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	6–1
D	Sat Sep 19	at	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	1–1
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	2–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans Red NTX · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR WHITE NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	2–3	23%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	2–1	60%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	2–2	51%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	2–1	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	DKSC NTX (20th)	5–0	95%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Sting Black NTX (11th)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	1–4	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

DKSC WHITE NTX

1.60

DDWLW

-1.33

+0.30

11.3

W	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	4–1
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	1–7
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	DKSC NTX (20th)	3–0
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Sting Black NTX (11th)	2–2
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs BVBIA DFW NTX · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	2–1	43%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	0–5	2%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	2–1	54%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Fever United FC NTX

1.50

LWWL

+0.32

-0.07

10.0

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	2–3
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	1–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR RED NTX · Sun Nov 1 vs Sting Brave NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	1–1	46%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	1–2	32%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	DKSC NTX (20th)	3–0	89%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Sting Black NTX (11th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	1–3	6%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	2–1	71%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Black NTX

1.40

WDLWL

-0.05

+0.40

10.0

L	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	1–5
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	DKSC NTX (20th)	8–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	1–2
D	Sat Sep 19	at	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	2–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Texans Red NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR RED NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	2–2	33%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	2–2	40%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	3–1	68%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	2–2	45%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	1–4	8%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	2–2	36%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Kernow Storm FC NTX

1.40

LWLDW

-1.42

+0.71

13.2

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	3–0
D	Sat Oct 10	vs	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	4–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	1–5

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR NTX · Sat Oct 31 at BVBIA DFW NTX · Sat Nov 7 at DKSC WHITE NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	1–2	10%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	1–2	36%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Sting Black NTX (11th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	0–4	3%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	1–2	34%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	2–1	64%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	1–1	29%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

NTX Celtic FC NTX

-2

1.40

WLLDW

+0.39

+0.13

10.9

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	4–2
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	4–4
L	Sat Sep 26	at	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Fever United FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs Dallas Texans NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	1–1	39%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	DKSC NTX (20th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	1–3	12%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	3–1	72%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	4–1	84%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Sting Black NTX (11th)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	1–2	24%
·	Thu Mar 25	vs	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	1–4	5%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR RED NTX

1.00

WLLD

+0.70

+0.00

10.2

D	Sat Oct 17	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	4–4
L	Sat Sep 26	at	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	5–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at DKSC NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs Fever United FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Black NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	DKSC NTX (20th)	5–1	94%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Sting Black NTX (11th)	2–2	42%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	2–3	29%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	2–1	67%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	2–2	32%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	2–2	45%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	4–1	86%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	1–5	3%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	1–4	10%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Nido Dallas NTX

-18

0.60

LLWLL

+0.76

-0.34

16.6

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	0–3
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	0–11
W	Sun Sep 27	at	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	3–1
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	1–6
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	0–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans NTX · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	0–2	10%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	0–7	0%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	DKSC NTX (20th)	3–1	75%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	0–3	7%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	1–5	3%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	2–2	43%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Red NTX

-10

0.40

LLDDL

+1.77

-0.50

15.2

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	0–3
D	Sat Oct 10	vs	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	1–1
D	Thu Sep 24	vs	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	0–6
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Sting Black NTX (11th)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Nido Dallas NTX · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	1–2	15%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	1–2	17%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	1–1	30%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	0–2	10%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR BLUE NTX

-12

0.25

LDLL

+1.51

-0.32

16.0

L	Sat Oct 10	at	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	1–4
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	1–2
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	0–8

Next: Sat Oct 17 at Dallas Texans NTX · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Nido Dallas NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	at	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	1–2	15%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	3–1	64%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	1–3	13%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	1–4	3%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Sting Black NTX (11th)	1–3	17%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	1–2	27%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Texans Red NTX

-19

0.20

DLLLL

+0.86

+0.06

18.2

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	1–6
L	Sat Oct 10	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	0–9
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	0–4
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Black NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs Dallas Cosmos SC NTX · Sat Nov 7 at Sting Brave NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Sting Black NTX (11th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	0–7	0%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	1–2	31%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	1–2	19%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	DKSC NTX (20th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	1–4	6%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	1–2	13%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth White NTX

-26

0.20

LLLDL

+1.38

-0.33

18.1

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	1–4
D	Sat Oct 10	at	Kernow Storm FC NTX (12th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	0–4
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	0–9
L	Sat Sep 19	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	1–11

Next: Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR BLUE NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Dallas Texans NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	SOLAR BLUE NTX (17th)	1–3	20%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (16th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	1–2	11%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	DKSC NTX (20th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	1–3	11%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	SOLAR NTX (3rd)	0–6	0%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	1–4	7%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	1–7	1%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	2–2	39%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

DKSC NTX

-36

0.00

LLLLL

+1.17

-0.11

19.7

L	Sun Oct 11	at	Sting Brave NTX (1st)	0–12
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Sting Black NTX (11th)	0–8
L	Sat Sep 26	at	DKSC WHITE NTX (9th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Sting Royal NTX (4th)	0–10
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Dallas Texans NTX (7th)	0–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR RED NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Fever United FC NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SOLAR RED NTX (14th)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Fever United FC NTX (10th)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (19th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (13th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Nido Dallas NTX (15th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	BVBIA DFW NTX (5th)	0–4	1%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Dallas Texans Red NTX (18th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (8th)	0–5	2%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (2nd)	0–9	0%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	SOLAR WHITE NTX (6th)	0–7	0%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.