Utah Surf

ECNL Regional League Girls · Mountain GU18/19 · 19 teams · Utah Surf (all teams)

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18th

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

6% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.3

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 01:30 PM

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Utah Surf
18th · 0.00 PPG

La Roca FC South
15th · 0.00 PPG

La Roca FC Utah County Complex, Field 1 ↗

35% 20% 45%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.2 against · 1.25 expected points)

Season so far	Utah Surf	La Roca FC South
Position	18th	15th
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
La Roca FC South average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.0); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 01:30 PM at La Roca FC Utah County Complex.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
NUU Avalanche sit 17th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.
A point moves us above NUU Avalanche on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the La Roca FC South game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Utah Surf – La Roca FC South) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 0.00 PPG	18th— holds	17th▲ up 1	19th▼ down 1
Win 3.00 PPG	1st▲ up 17	1st▲ up 17	3rd▲ up 15
Draw 1.00 PPG	8th▲ up 10	7th▲ up 11	10th▲ up 8
Loss 0.00 PPG	18th— holds	17th▲ up 1	19th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–2 loss we finish as high as 16th if every rival drops points, and as low as 19th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

6% top 4

94% below the top 4

9.3 average finish

1st <1%
2nd 1%
3rd 1%
4th 4%
5th 8%
6th 8%
7th 9%
8th 10%
9th 11%
10th 10%
11th 11%
12th 10%
13th 8%
14th 7%
15th 2%
16th 1%
17th <1%
18th <1%
19th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Colorado Storm Central	2.20 (+2.20)	1st (2.19)	A point next game
2	Colorado EDGE	2.18 (+2.18)	2nd (2.17)	A point next game
3	Arsenal Colorado	2.09 (+2.09)	3rd (2.04)	A point next game
4	Colorado Rush	2.09 (+2.09)	4th (2.02)	A point next game
5	Pride SC	1.78 (+1.78)	5th (1.57)	A point next game
6	Colorado Storm South	1.09 (+1.09)	14th (1.12)	A point next game
7	Real Colorado Olympico	0.67 (+0.67)	15th (0.66)	Already ahead
8	Colorado Storm North	0.36 (+0.36)	18th (0.43)	Already ahead
9	CCV STARS	0.25 (+0.25)	16th (0.60)	Already ahead
10	Avalanche	0.00 (+0.00)	13th (1.34)	Already ahead
11	Boise Thorns	0.00 (+0.00)	19th (0.00)	Already ahead
12	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09	0.00 (+0.00)	7th (1.54)	Already ahead
13	Idaho Rush	0.00 (+0.00)	8th (1.44)	Already ahead
14	La Roca FC North	0.00 (+0.00)	10th (1.42)	Already ahead
15	La Roca FC South	0.00 (+0.00)	12th (1.39)	Already ahead
16	NM Rapids SC	0.00 (+0.00)	6th (1.54)	Already ahead
17	NUU Avalanche	0.00 (+0.00)	11th (1.40)	Already ahead

Position over the season

17 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 8th hardest of 18

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Nov 7 01:30 PM	La Roca FC South 15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away La Roca FC Utah County Complex	●●●●○ Tough	35%	1–2	1.25	1.25	Upside
Sun Nov 22 01:30 PM	Real Colorado Olympico 7th · 2-2-8 · GD -20	Away far trip Highland Heritage Regional Park · turf?	●●○○○ Lean win	60%	2–1	2.00	1.62	Swing game
Sat Dec 5 12:00 PM	La Roca FC South 15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Utah Valley University Geneva Fields	●●●○○ Toss-up	45%	2–1	1.55	1.60	Swing game
Sat Dec 12 02:00 PM	NUU Avalanche 17th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Utah Valley University Geneva Fields	●●●○○ Toss-up	45%	2–1	1.55	1.59	Swing game
Sat Jan 23 02:00 PM	Colorado Storm South 6th · 3-3-5 · GD -8	Home Utah Valley University Geneva Fields	●●●○○ Toss-up	54%	2–1	1.81	1.63	Swing game
Sun Jan 24 01:00 PM	Pride SC 5th · 5-1-3 · GD +8	Home Utah Valley University Geneva Fields	●●●●○ Tough	34%	1–1	1.24	1.57	Upside
Sat Feb 20 TBD	Colorado Rush 4th · 7-2-2 · GD +14	Away	●●●●● Very tough	17%	1–2	0.69	1.44	Upside
Sat Mar 6 12:30 PM	La Roca FC North 14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away far trip La Roca Park	●●●●○ Tough	35%	1–2	1.25	1.42	Upside
Sat Mar 20 TBD	Avalanche 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	1–2	1.25	1.40	Upside
Sat Apr 10 TBD	NM Rapids SC 16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	45%	2–1	1.55	1.41	Swing game
Sun Apr 11 TBD	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	45%	2–1	1.55	1.43	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Idaho Rush 13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	45%	2–1	1.55	1.44	Swing game
Sat Apr 24 TBD	La Roca FC North 14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Epic Sports Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	45%	2–1	1.55	1.45	Swing game
Sun May 2 TBD	Idaho Rush 13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	1–2	1.25	1.43	Upside
Thu May 6 05:00 PM	NUU Avalanche 17th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away far trip USU Legacy Fields	●●●●○ Tough	35%	1–2	1.25	1.42	Upside
Sat May 8 TBD	Avalanche 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	45%	2–1	1.55	1.43	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Colorado Storm Central

+16

2.20

WWWDL

+0.33

-0.08

93%

2.3

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	0–4
D	Sat Oct 17	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	1–1
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Colorado Storm South (6th)	5–0
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	5–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Colorado Storm North (8th)	5–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	2–1
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–5
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Colorado Rush (4th)	3–0
W	Sun Aug 30	vs	Colorado Storm North (8th)	5–1
W	Sat Aug 29	at	Colorado Rush (4th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Pride SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Colorado Storm South · Sun Nov 8 at Real Colorado Olympico See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Pride SC (5th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Colorado Storm South (6th)	3–1	79%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	3–0	80%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	NUU Avalanche (17th)	3–1	71%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Avalanche (10th)	3–1	71%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	NM Rapids SC (16th)	3–1	71%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 (12th)	3–1	71%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	Pride SC (5th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Idaho Rush (13th)	2–1	61%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Colorado EDGE

+18

2.18

WWWDW

+0.37

-0.23

93%

2.4

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Pride SC (5th)	5–0
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	1–1
W	Tue Oct 13	vs	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Colorado Storm South (6th)	2–1
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Pride SC (5th)	1–0
D	Sun Sep 27	at	Colorado Storm South (6th)	2–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	5–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	1–3
D	Sun Aug 30	vs	Colorado Rush (4th)	0–0
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	Colorado Storm North (8th)	6–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Colorado Storm North · Sat Oct 31 at Real Colorado Olympico · Sun Nov 1 at Colorado Rush See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Colorado Storm North (8th)	3–0	87%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	2–0	80%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Colorado Rush (4th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	NUU Avalanche (17th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Avalanche (10th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	NM Rapids SC (16th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 (12th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Jan 24	vs	Idaho Rush (13th)	2–1	72%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Arsenal Colorado

+21

2.09

WLWWW

+0.02

+0.25

78%

3.4

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	4–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Colorado Storm South (6th)	3–0
W	Sun Oct 11	at	Colorado Storm North (8th)	2–1
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	1–3
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Colorado Storm North (8th)	6–1
D	Sun Sep 27	vs	Colorado Rush (4th)	3–3
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	5–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	3–1
D	Sat Aug 29	at	Colorado Storm South (6th)	3–3
W	Sun Aug 16	vs	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	5–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Pride SC · Sun Oct 25 at Colorado Rush · Sun Nov 1 at Pride SC See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Pride SC (5th)	2–1	61%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Colorado Rush (4th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Pride SC (5th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Avalanche (10th)	2–1	64%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	NUU Avalanche (17th)	2–1	64%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 (12th)	2–1	64%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	NM Rapids SC (16th)	2–1	64%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Idaho Rush (13th)	3–1	73%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Colorado Rush

+14

2.09

WWWWW

-0.22

+0.13

73%

3.6

W	Sun Oct 18	at	CCV STARS (9th)	7–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Arizona Soccer Club (19th)	1–0
W	Sun Oct 11	at	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Pride SC (5th)	3–2
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Colorado Storm South (6th)	5–2
D	Sun Sep 27	at	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	3–3
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Colorado Storm North (8th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	0–3
D	Sun Aug 30	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	0–0
L	Sat Aug 29	vs	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	2–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Arsenal Colorado · Sat Oct 31 at Colorado Storm South · Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado EDGE See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Colorado Storm South (6th)	2–1	65%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Colorado Storm North (8th)	3–0	88%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Avalanche (10th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Pride SC (5th)	1–1	53%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	La Roca FC South (15th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Utah Surf (18th)	2–1	65%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	La Roca FC North (14th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Avalanche (10th)	2–1	65%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pride SC

1.78

DLLWL

-0.34

+0.47

7.9

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	0–5
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	Colorado Storm South (6th)	2–0
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Colorado Rush (4th)	2–3
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	0–1
D	Sun Sep 27	vs	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	0–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Arizona Soccer Club (19th)	6–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	CCV STARS (9th)	6–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Colorado Storm North (8th)	1–0
W	Sun Aug 30	at	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	2–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Arsenal Colorado · Sun Oct 25 at Colorado Storm North · Sat Oct 31 vs Colorado Storm Central See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	1–2	21%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Colorado Storm North (8th)	2–1	73%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	1–2	31%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Colorado Storm South (6th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Colorado Rush (4th)	1–1	25%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	La Roca FC North (14th)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Jan 24	at	Utah Surf (18th)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	La Roca FC South (15th)	2–1	54%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Colorado Storm South

-8

1.09

LLLLW

+0.23

+0.07

12.4

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Colorado Storm North (8th)	5–1
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	0–3
L	Sun Oct 11	at	Pride SC (5th)	0–2
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	1–2
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	0–5
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Colorado Rush (4th)	2–5
D	Sun Sep 27	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	CCV STARS (9th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Arizona Soccer Club (19th)	4–3
D	Sat Sep 5	at	Colorado Storm North (8th)	2–2
D	Sat Aug 29	vs	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	3–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Real Colorado Olympico · Mon Oct 26 at Real Colorado Olympico · Sat Oct 31 vs Colorado Rush See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	2–1	62%
·	Mon Oct 26	at	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Colorado Rush (4th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Pride SC (5th)	1–2	27%
·	Fri Jan 22	at	La Roca FC North (14th)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Utah Surf (18th)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	La Roca FC South (15th)	2–2	37%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Real Colorado Olympico

-20

0.67

WLLDW

+0.12

+0.26

15.7

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Arizona Soccer Club (19th)	2–0
D	Sat Oct 17	at	CCV STARS (9th)	1–1
L	Tue Oct 13	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	0–3
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Colorado Rush (4th)	0–3
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Colorado Storm North (8th)	3–0
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Colorado Storm North (8th)	2–4
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	0–5
D	Sun Sep 27	at	Pride SC (5th)	0–0
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Colorado Rush (4th)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	0–5
L	Sun Aug 30	vs	Pride SC (5th)	0–2
L	Sun Aug 16	at	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	1–5

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Colorado Storm South · Mon Oct 26 vs Colorado Storm South · Sat Oct 31 vs Colorado EDGE See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Colorado Storm South (6th)	1–2	18%
·	Mon Oct 26	vs	Colorado Storm South (6th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	0–2	7%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	0–3	8%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	La Roca FC North (14th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Utah Surf (18th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Jan 24	at	La Roca FC South (15th)	0–2	14%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Colorado Storm North

-27

0.36

LWLLL

+0.46

+0.36

17.3

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Colorado Storm South (6th)	1–5
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	1–2
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	0–3
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	4–2
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	1–6
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	1–5
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Colorado Rush (4th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Pride SC (5th)	0–1
D	Sat Sep 5	vs	Colorado Storm South (6th)	2–2
L	Sun Aug 30	at	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	1–5
L	Sat Aug 29	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	1–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Colorado EDGE · Sun Oct 25 vs Pride SC · Sat Nov 7 at Colorado Rush See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Pride SC (5th)	1–2	12%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Colorado Rush (4th)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Avalanche (10th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	NUU Avalanche (17th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 (12th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	NM Rapids SC (16th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Idaho Rush (13th)	1–3	12%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

CCV STARS

-12

0.25

LLDL

-0.03

-0.32

16.1

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Colorado Rush (4th)	0–7
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Colorado Storm South (6th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Pride SC (5th)	2–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Arizona Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at Arizona Soccer Club · Sun Mar 14 at Idaho Rush See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Arizona Soccer Club (19th)	2–1	43%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Arizona Soccer Club (19th)	1–2	33%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Idaho Rush (13th)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	NM Rapids SC (16th)	1–3	11%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 (12th)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	NUU Avalanche (17th)	1–3	18%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Avalanche (10th)	1–3	18%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	NM Rapids SC (16th)	1–3	18%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 (12th)	1–3	18%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Avalanche

0.00

—

+0.09

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Arsenal Colorado · Sun Nov 8 vs Colorado EDGE · Sat Nov 14 vs Idaho Rush See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Idaho Rush (13th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Colorado Rush (4th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Colorado Storm North (8th)	2–1	66%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	1–3	15%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	NUU Avalanche (17th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	La Roca FC South (15th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Utah Surf (18th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	La Roca FC South (15th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Arizona Soccer Club (19th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	CCV STARS (9th)	3–1	67%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	La Roca FC North (14th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	La Roca FC North (14th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat May 1	at	Colorado Rush (4th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat May 1	at	Idaho Rush (13th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	at	Utah Surf (18th)	1–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	NUU Avalanche (17th)	1–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Boise Thorns

0.00

—

El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09

0.00

—

-0.28

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 21 vs Arsenal Colorado · Sun Nov 22 vs Colorado EDGE · Sat Dec 12 at Colorado Storm North See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Colorado Storm North (8th)	2–1	66%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	1–3	15%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	NM Rapids SC (16th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	La Roca FC South (15th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	NM Rapids SC (16th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Arizona Soccer Club (19th)	2–1	72%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	CCV STARS (9th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	La Roca FC North (14th)	1–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Utah Surf (18th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Arizona Soccer Club (19th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	CCV STARS (9th)	3–1	67%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Idaho Rush

0.00

—

-0.03

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 14 at Avalanche · Sun Nov 15 at La Roca FC North · Sat Jan 23 at Arsenal Colorado See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Avalanche (10th)	1–2	35%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	La Roca FC North (14th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	1–3	13%
·	Sun Jan 24	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Colorado Storm North (8th)	3–1	75%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	NUU Avalanche (17th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Arizona Soccer Club (19th)	2–1	72%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	CCV STARS (9th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Utah Surf (18th)	1–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	La Roca FC South (15th)	1–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	NUU Avalanche (17th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Avalanche (10th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Utah Surf (18th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat May 8	vs	La Roca FC North (14th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun May 9	vs	La Roca FC South (15th)	2–1	45%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

La Roca FC North

0.00

—

-0.01

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Nov 15 vs Idaho Rush · Sat Nov 21 at Real Colorado Olympico · Fri Jan 22 vs Colorado Storm South See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Idaho Rush (13th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	2–1	60%
·	Fri Jan 22	vs	Colorado Storm South (6th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Pride SC (5th)	1–1	34%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Colorado Rush (4th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Utah Surf (18th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	NUU Avalanche (17th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 (12th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	NM Rapids SC (16th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Avalanche (10th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Avalanche (10th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Utah Surf (18th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	NUU Avalanche (17th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	at	Idaho Rush (13th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	at	La Roca FC South (15th)	1–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

La Roca FC South

0.00

—

-0.01

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Utah Surf · Sat Dec 5 at Utah Surf · Sun Dec 6 vs Avalanche See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Utah Surf (18th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Utah Surf (18th)	1–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Avalanche (10th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Colorado Rush (4th)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Jan 24	vs	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	2–0	68%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Colorado Storm South (6th)	2–2	44%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Pride SC (5th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	NUU Avalanche (17th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	NM Rapids SC (16th)	1–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 (12th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	NUU Avalanche (17th)	1–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Avalanche (10th)	1–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Idaho Rush (13th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun May 9	at	Idaho Rush (13th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	La Roca FC North (14th)	2–1	45%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

NM Rapids SC

0.00

—

-0.28

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 21 vs Colorado EDGE · Sun Nov 22 vs Arsenal Colorado · Sat Dec 12 at Colorado Storm Central See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Colorado Storm North (8th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 (12th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	La Roca FC South (15th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 (12th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	CCV STARS (9th)	3–1	76%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Arizona Soccer Club (19th)	2–1	72%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Utah Surf (18th)	1–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	La Roca FC North (14th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	CCV STARS (9th)	3–1	67%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Arizona Soccer Club (19th)	2–1	63%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

NUU Avalanche

0.00

—

-0.03

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Colorado EDGE · Sun Nov 8 vs Arsenal Colorado · Sat Nov 21 at Colorado Storm Central See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Arsenal Colorado (3rd)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Colorado Storm Central (1st)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Colorado Storm North (8th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Avalanche (10th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Utah Surf (18th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Idaho Rush (13th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	La Roca FC South (15th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	La Roca FC North (14th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	La Roca FC South (15th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	CCV STARS (9th)	3–1	67%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Arizona Soccer Club (19th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Idaho Rush (13th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat May 1	vs	La Roca FC North (14th)	2–1	45%
·	Thu May 6	vs	Utah Surf (18th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Avalanche (10th)	2–1	45%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Utah Surf

0.00

—

-0.01

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 7 at La Roca FC South · Sun Nov 22 at Real Colorado Olympico · Sat Dec 5 vs La Roca FC South See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	at	La Roca FC South (15th)	1–2	35%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	La Roca FC South (15th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	NUU Avalanche (17th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Colorado Storm South (6th)	2–1	54%
·	Sun Jan 24	vs	Pride SC (5th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Colorado Rush (4th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	La Roca FC North (14th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Avalanche (10th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	NM Rapids SC (16th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 (12th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Idaho Rush (13th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	La Roca FC North (14th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun May 2	at	Idaho Rush (13th)	1–2	35%
·	Thu May 6	at	NUU Avalanche (17th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Avalanche (10th)	2–1	45%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Arizona Soccer Club

-10

0.00

LLLL

-0.03

-0.39

16.1

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Real Colorado Olympico (7th)	0–2
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Colorado Rush (4th)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Pride SC (5th)	0–6
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Colorado Storm South (6th)	3–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at CCV STARS · Sat Nov 7 vs CCV STARS · Sat Mar 13 at Idaho Rush See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	CCV STARS (9th)	1–2	37%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	CCV STARS (9th)	2–1	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Idaho Rush (13th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 (12th)	1–2	13%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	NM Rapids SC (16th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Avalanche (10th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	NUU Avalanche (17th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 (12th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	NM Rapids SC (16th)	1–2	20%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.05 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.