TableChase Clubs

NM Rapids SC

ECNL Regional League Girls · Mountain GU18/19 · 19 teams · NM Rapids SC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
16th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
13% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.3
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 21, 09:00 AM

Open the match preview →

NM Rapids SC
16th · 0.00 PPG
vs
Colorado EDGE
2nd · 2.18 PPG

Mesa Del Sol Regional Sports Complex, Field 7 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.3 for, 2.4 against · 0.74 expected points)

Season so farNM Rapids SCColorado EDGE
Position16th2nd
Record (W-D-L)0-0-07-3-1
Points per game0.002.18
Goals for / game0.02.6
Goals against / game0.01.0
Clean sheets04
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)—W D W W W
Biggest win—6–1 vs Colorado Storm North
Worst loss—1–3 vs Arsenal Colorado
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+1.40
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.37

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Colorado EDGE concede only 1.0/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 18%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    La Roca FC South sit 15th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above La Roca FC South on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado EDGE game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NM Rapids SC – Colorado EDGE) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Nov 16 – Sun Nov 22); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
18th▼ down 2 17th▼ down 1 18th▼ down 2
Win
3.00 PPG
1st▲ up 15 3rd▲ up 13 5th▲ up 11
Draw
1.00 PPG
7th▲ up 9 11th▲ up 5 12th▲ up 4
Loss
0.00 PPG
18th▼ down 2 17th▼ down 1 18th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–2 loss we finish as high as 13th if every rival drops points, and as low as 18th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st
13% top 4
87% below the top 4
8.3 average finish
  1. 1st 2%
  2. 2nd 2%
  3. 3rd 3%
  4. 4th 6%
  5. 5th 10%
  6. 6th 10%
  7. 7th 11%
  8. 8th 10%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 8%
  11. 11th 9%
  12. 12th 7%
  13. 13th 6%
  14. 14th 4%
  15. 15th 2%
  16. 16th 1%
  17. 17th <1%
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Colorado Storm Central 2.20 (+2.20) 1st (2.19) A point next game
2 Colorado EDGE 2.18 (+2.18) 2nd (2.17) A point next game
3 Arsenal Colorado 2.09 (+2.09) 3rd (2.04) A point next game
4 Colorado Rush 2.09 (+2.09) 4th (2.02) A point next game
5 Pride SC 1.78 (+1.78) 5th (1.57) A point next game
6 Colorado Storm South 1.09 (+1.09) 14th (1.12) A point next game
7 Real Colorado Olympico 0.67 (+0.67) 15th (0.66) Already ahead
8 Colorado Storm North 0.36 (+0.36) 18th (0.43) Already ahead
9 CCV STARS 0.25 (+0.25) 16th (0.60) Already ahead
10 Avalanche 0.00 (+0.00) 13th (1.34) Already ahead
11 Boise Thorns 0.00 (+0.00) 19th (0.00) Already ahead
12 El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 0.00 (+0.00) 6th (1.54) Already ahead
13 Idaho Rush 0.00 (+0.00) 8th (1.44) Already ahead
14 La Roca FC North 0.00 (+0.00) 10th (1.42) Already ahead
15 La Roca FC South 0.00 (+0.00) 12th (1.39) Already ahead

Position over the season

17 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.28 · 15th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 21
09:00 AM
Colorado EDGE
2nd · 7-3-1 · GD +18
Home
Mesa Del Sol Regional Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.74 0.74 Upside
Sun Nov 22
09:00 AM
Arsenal Colorado
3rd · 7-2-2 · GD +21
Home
Mesa Del Sol Regional Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.76 0.75 Upside
Sat Dec 12
09:00 AM
Colorado Storm Central
1st · 7-1-2 · GD +16
Away far trip
Centennial Stadium Field Complex · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.59 0.69 Upside
Sun Dec 13
01:00 PM
Colorado Storm North
8th · 1-1-9 · GD -27
Away far trip
Stargate Charter School
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.15 1.06 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
01:00 PM
El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09
12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away far trip
Chapin High School
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.10 Upside
Sat Mar 13
11:00 AM
La Roca FC South
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Mesa Del Sol Regional Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.17 Swing game
Sat Mar 27
11:00 AM
El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09
12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Mesa Del Sol Regional Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.23 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
11:00 AM
CCV STARS
9th · 0-1-3 · GD -12
Home
Mesa Del Sol Regional Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.41 1.37 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
11:00 AM
Arizona Soccer Club
19th · 0-0-4 · GD -10
Home
Mesa Del Sol Regional Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–1 2.31 1.48 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Utah Surf
18th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.45 Upside
Sun Apr 11
11:00 AM
La Roca FC North
14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away far trip
La Roca FC Utah County Complex
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.44 Upside
Sat Apr 24
01:00 PM
CCV STARS
9th · 0-1-3 · GD -12
Away far trip
West Valley Events Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
3–1 2.16 1.50 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
09:00 AM
Arizona Soccer Club
19th · 0-0-4 · GD -10
Away far trip
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.06 1.54 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Colorado Storm Central 10712 3115+16 222.20 WWWDL +0.33 -0.08 92% 2.3
2 Colorado EDGE 11731 2911+18 242.18 WWWDW +0.37 -0.23 92% 2.4
3 Arsenal Colorado 11722 3615+21 232.09 WLWWW +0.02 +0.25 76% 3.5
4 Colorado Rush 11722 2713+14 232.09 WWWWW -0.22 +0.13 73% 3.6
5 Pride SC 9513 1911+8 161.78 DLLWL -0.34 +0.47 7% 7.7
6 Colorado Storm South 11335 2129-8 121.09 LLLLW +0.23 +0.07 0% 12.5
7 Real Colorado Olympico 12228 929-20 80.67 WLLDW +0.12 +0.26 0% 15.7
8 Colorado Storm North 11119 1239-27 40.36 LWLLL +0.46 +0.36 0% 17.3
9 CCV STARS 4013 416-12 10.25 LLDL -0.03 -0.32 0% 16.1
10 Avalanche 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.09 ——
11 Boise Thorns 0000 00+0 00.00 — — ——
12 El Paso Locomotive FC G08/09 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.28 ——
13 Idaho Rush 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.03 ——
14 La Roca FC North 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.01 ——
15 La Roca FC South 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.01 ——
16 NM Rapids SC 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.28 ——
17 NUU Avalanche 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.03 ——
18 Utah Surf 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.01 ——
19 Arizona Soccer Club 4004 313-10 00.00 LLLL -0.03 -0.39 0% 16.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.05 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.