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LAFC WHITE

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southern Cal BU16 · 17 teams · LAFC So Cal (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
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16th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-12 goal diff · 1–13
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 15.2
+1.65 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:45 PM

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LAFC WHITE
16th · 0.00 PPG
vs
LAFC GOLD
7th · 1.50 PPG

Oak Park High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.4 for, 3.1 against · 0.60 expected points)

Season so farLAFC WHITELAFC GOLD
Position16th7th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-31-3-0
Points per game0.001.50
Goals for / game0.32.5
Goals against / game4.32.3
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)L L LW D D D
Biggest win—3–2 vs Pateadores
Worst loss0–7 at LA Breakers Red—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.55+0.28
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.65+0.57

Common opponents: Empire Surf — we 1–5; they 4–4.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 at Rebels SC White, 0–7 at LA Breakers Red.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 15%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    FC Long Beach sit 15th on 0.60 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above FC Long Beach on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAFC GOLD game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAFC WHITE – LAFC GOLD) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
17th▼ down 1 17th▼ down 1 17th▼ down 1
Win
0.75 PPG
15th▲ up 1 14th▲ up 2 16th— holds
Draw
0.25 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
17th▼ down 1 17th▼ down 1 17th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we fall to at least 17th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
15.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th 4%
  13. 13th 7%
  14. 14th 12%
  15. 15th 23%
  16. 16th 29%
  17. 17th 22%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.44 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LA Breakers Red 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.75) 48 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 LA Breakers White 3.00 (+3.00) 3rd (2.13) 48 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
3 Empire Surf 2.60 (+2.60) 2nd (2.31) 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
4 CDA Slammers FC Black 2.25 (+2.25) 5th (1.82) 36 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
5 Legends FC 2.00 (+2.00) 4th (1.95) 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
6 Legends FC - Del Mar 1.50 (+1.50) 6th (1.71) 24 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
7 LAFC GOLD 1.50 (+1.50) 7th (1.65) 24 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
8 Rebels SC White 1.50 (+1.50) 8th (1.28) 24 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
9 Beach Futbol Club Black 1.20 (+1.20) 13th (1.07) 20 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
10 Rebels SC Blue 1.00 (+1.00) 11th (1.17) 16 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
11 Sporting California USA 1.00 (+1.00) 9th (1.25) 16 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
12 LV Heat Surf 1.00 (+1.00) 14th (0.99) 16 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
13 Pateadores 0.75 (+0.75) 10th (1.22) Win next game
14 West Coast FC White 0.75 (+0.75) 12th (1.12) Win next game
15 FC Long Beach 0.60 (+0.60) 15th (0.71) A point next game

How the results connect

3 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link LAFC WHITE to LAFC GOLD through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
3 favour them
-4.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–5 4–4 4–3 3–3 0–7 4–1 2–3 LAFC WHITE 16th Empire Surf 3rd LA Breakers Red 1st Legends FC 5th Pateadores 13th LAFC GOLD 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.29 · 16th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 17
02:45 PM
no score posted
Legends FC - Del Mar
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +7
Home
Oak Park High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.41 0.10 Upside
Sun Oct 18
09:00 AM
no score posted
Pateadores
13th · 1-0-3 · GD -4
Home
Alemany High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.91 0.26 Upside
Sat Oct 24
02:45 PM
LAFC GOLD
7th · 1-3-0 · GD +1
Home
Oak Park High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.60 0.32 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
Rebels SC Blue
10th · 1-1-2 · GD -1
Away far trip
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.71 0.37 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club Black
9th · 2-0-3 · GD -7
Away far trip
El Camino College
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.95 0.45 Upside
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM
West Coast FC White
14th · 1-0-3 · GD -6
Home
Alemany High School · grass
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.05 0.51 Upside
Sat Nov 21
10:45 AM
CDA Slammers FC Black
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +4
Home
Alemany High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.51 0.51 Upside
Sat Mar 13
03:00 PM
FC Long Beach
15th · 1-0-4 · GD -13
Away far trip
Millikan High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.30 0.59 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
LA Breakers White
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +6
Away
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.32 0.56 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
LV Heat Surf
12th · 2-0-4 · GD -9
Home
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.13 0.61 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Sporting California USA
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4
Home
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.90 0.63 Upside
Sat Apr 17
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf
17th · 0-0-3 · GD -12
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.40 0.68 Upside
Sat Apr 24
09:00 AM
Legends FC
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +6
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–3 0.27 0.65 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LA Breakers Red 5500 282+26 153.00 WWWWW -0.74 +0.04 100% 1.1
2 LA Breakers White 4400 82+6 123.00 WWWW -0.70 +0.13 78% 3.5
3 Empire Surf 5410 2810+18 132.60 WWDWW -0.40 -0.02 96% 2.5
4 CDA Slammers FC Black 4301 139+4 92.25 WWWL -0.00 -0.04 33% 5.4
5 Legends FC 5311 159+6 102.00 WDWWL +0.48 -0.31 57% 4.5
6 Legends FC - Del Mar 4202 147+7 61.50 WLWL -0.46 +0.11 20% 6.2
7 LAFC GOLD 4130 109+1 61.50 DDDW +0.57 -0.25 12% 6.6
8 Rebels SC White 4202 44+0 61.50 WWLL -0.80 +0.26 1% 9.7
9 Beach Futbol Club Black 5203 512-7 61.20 LWLLW +0.22 -0.08 0% 11.9
10 Rebels SC Blue 4112 45-1 41.00 DWLL -0.68 +0.20 0% 10.7
11 Sporting California USA 3102 610-4 31.00 LLW +0.43 -0.10 1% 10.2
12 LV Heat Surf 6204 1120-9 61.00 LLLWW -0.09 +0.10 0% 12.8
13 Pateadores 4103 610-4 30.75 LLWL +0.73 -0.26 1% 10.2
14 West Coast FC White 4103 410-6 30.75 WLLL +1.00 -0.28 0% 11.3
15 FC Long Beach 5104 316-13 30.60 LLLWL +0.32 -0.04 0% 15.0
16 LAFC WHITE 3003 113-12 00.00 LLL +1.65 -0.29 0% 15.2
17 San Diego Surf 3003 113-12 00.00 LLL +0.26 +0.02 0% 16.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.