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Sting NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU14 · 24 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)

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19th
1-0-3 record · 4 played
0.75 points per game
-13 goal diff · 4–17
WLLLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 19.2
+0.53 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:00 AM

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Sting NTX
19th · 0.75 PPG
vs
Dallas Texans Red NTX
21st · 0.50 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 13 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.3 for, 2.6 against · 1.23 expected points)

Season so farSting NTXDallas Texans Red NTX
Position19th21st
Record (W-D-L)1-0-31-0-5
Points per game0.750.50
Goals for / game1.01.5
Goals against / game4.33.5
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L L L WL L L L L
Biggest win3–1 vs Sting Brave NTX2–0 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX
Worst loss0–7 at Fever United FC NTX1–5 at Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.77-1.15
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.53+0.74

Common opponents: Fever United FC NTX — we 0–7; they 2–5. Atletico Dallas Youth NTX — we 0–1; they 1–5. Kernow Storm FC NTX — we 1–8; they 1–5.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Dallas Texans Red NTX concede 3.5/game; worst result 1–5 at Atletico Dallas Youth NTX.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–7 at Fever United FC NTX, 0–1 at Atletico Dallas Youth NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Dallas Texans Red NTX have lost 5 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Sting WTX NTX sit 18th on 0.80 PPG; we are on 0.75.

    A point moves us above Sting WTX NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Dallas Texans Red NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting NTX – Dallas Texans Red NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.80 PPG		 17th▲ up 2 17th▲ up 2 21st▼ down 2
Win
1.20 PPG		 17th▲ up 2 17th▲ up 2 18th▲ up 1
Draw
0.80 PPG		 17th▲ up 2 17th▲ up 2 21st▼ down 2
Loss
0.60 PPG		 21st▼ down 2 19th— holds 21st▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 17th if every rival drops points, and as low as 21st if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
19.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th 1%
  15. 15th 1%
  16. 16th 7%
  17. 17th 11%
  18. 18th 16%
  19. 19th 18%
  20. 20th 18%
  21. 21st 18%
  22. 22nd 7%
  23. 23rd 2%
  24. 24th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.40 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 3.00 (+2.25) 1st (2.71) 42 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.60 (+1.85) 5th (2.03) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
3 NTX Celtic FC NTX 2.40 (+1.65) 3rd (2.12) 33 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
4 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.25 (+1.50) 2nd (2.21) 31 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.25 (+1.50) 7th (1.94) 31 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 Nido Dallas White NTX 2.17 (+1.42) 4th (2.10) 30 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 2.00 (+1.25) 9th (1.81) 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
8 SOLAR RED NTX 2.00 (+1.25) 6th (2.01) 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
9 FC Dallas Youth NTX 2.00 (+1.25) 8th (1.92) 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
10 DKSC WHITE NTX 2.00 (+1.25) 11th (1.71) 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
11 Fever United FC NTX 1.83 (+1.08) 10th (1.74) 25 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
12 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 1.67 (+0.92) 14th (1.56) 23 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
13 Dallas Texans NTX 1.60 (+0.85) 13th (1.56) 21 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
14 Dallas Legends NTX 1.50 (+0.75) 12th (1.58) 20 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
15 SOLAR BLUE NTX 1.50 (+0.75) 15th (1.52) 20 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
16 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 1.20 (+0.45) 16th (0.98) Win next game
17 SOLAR WHITE NTX 0.80 (+0.05) 18th (0.86) A point next game
18 Sting WTX NTX 0.80 (+0.05) 21st (0.71) A point next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Sting NTX to Dallas Texans Red NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
4 favour them
-2.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–8 5–1 0–1 5–1 0–7 5–2 3–1 0–1 0–2 1–2 3–2 Sting NTX 19th Kernow Storm FC NTX 7th Atletico Dallas You… 2nd Fever United FC NTX 11th Sting Brave NTX 23rd FC Dallas Youth Whi… 16th DKSC WHITE NTX 10th Dallas Texans Red N… 21st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 12th 24th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.21 · 19th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
08:00 AM		 Dallas Texans Red NTX
21st · 1-0-5 · GD -12		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 2–2 1.23 0.85 Upside
Sat Nov 7
03:20 PM		 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
22nd · 0-1-6 · GD -23		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 2–2 1.75 1.00 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
08:00 AM		 SOLAR BLUE NTX
15th · 2-0-2 · GD +1		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.41 0.91 Upside
Sat Feb 6
01:30 PM		 Sting Bold NTX
24th · 0-0-5 · GD -32		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 3–1 2.06 1.06 Swing game
Sat Feb 20
08:00 AM		 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +13		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 0–4 0.20 0.96 Upside
Sun Feb 21
09:50 AM		 DKSC WHITE NTX
10th · 3-1-1 · GD +6		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–3 0.32 0.90 Upside
Sat Feb 27
09:50 AM		 Nido Dallas Blue NTX
12th · 3-1-2 · GD +5		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–3 0.33 0.85 Upside
Sun Feb 28
08:00 AM		 Nido Dallas White NTX
6th · 4-1-1 · GD +5		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 1–3 0.29 0.80 Upside
Sat Mar 6
03:20 PM		 Sting WTX NTX
18th · 1-1-3 · GD -15		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–2 1.49 0.85 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
03:20 PM		 SOLAR RED NTX
8th · 4-0-2 · GD +13		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 1–4 0.25 0.81 Upside
Sat Apr 10
03:20 PM		 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +6		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.41 0.78 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5500 313+28 153.00 WWWWW -0.76 -0.21 100% 1.1
2 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 5410 163+13 132.60 WWWWD -1.68 +0.50 34% 6.4
3 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5401 205+15 122.40 WWLWW -1.43 +0.30 52% 4.9
4 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 4301 152+13 92.25 WWWL -0.26 +0.01 63% 4.2
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 4301 115+6 92.25 WWWL -0.08 +0.01 24% 7.4
6 Nido Dallas White NTX 6411 138+5 132.17 LWWWW +0.76 -0.84 42% 5.5
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 6402 2510+15 122.00 LLWWW -0.87 +0.45 11% 8.8
8 SOLAR RED NTX 6402 2411+13 122.00 WWLWW +0.04 -0.39 35% 6.1
9 FC Dallas Youth NTX 5311 186+12 102.00 LWWWD -0.72 +0.26 21% 7.3
10 DKSC WHITE NTX 5311 126+6 102.00 DWLWW -0.37 +0.13 5% 10.4
11 Fever United FC NTX 6321 249+15 111.83 DWWDL -0.61 +0.77 8% 9.6
12 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 6312 1611+5 101.67 LLWDW -0.34 +0.19 1% 12.1
13 Dallas Texans NTX 5221 87+1 81.60 DLWWD +0.23 -0.08 1% 12.3
14 Dallas Legends NTX 4202 87+1 61.50 LWWL +0.10 -0.31 1% 11.9
15 SOLAR BLUE NTX 4202 76+1 61.50 WLWL +0.67 +0.13 1% 12.6
16 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5203 413-9 61.20 LWLWL +0.14 +0.08 0% 17.3
17 SOLAR WHITE NTX 5113 822-14 40.80 LLLDW -0.38 +0.00 0% 18.5
18 Sting WTX NTX 5113 520-15 40.80 LLLDW +0.85 +0.12 0% 19.7
19 Sting NTX 4103 417-13 30.75 WLLL +0.53 -0.21 0% 19.2
20 DKSC NTX 5104 1426-12 30.60 LLWLL +0.91 -0.26 0% 17.9
21 Dallas Texans Red NTX 6105 921-12 30.50 LLLLL +0.74 -0.29 0% 18.3
22 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 7016 730-23 10.14 LDLLL +0.72 +0.15 0% 22.4
23 Sting Brave NTX 6006 120-19 00.00 LLLLL +0.43 -0.01 0% 22.7
24 Sting Bold NTX 5005 234-32 00.00 LLLLL +0.72 +0.02 0% 23.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.32 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.