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Dallas Legends NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU14 · 24 teams · Dallas Legends (all teams)

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14th
2-0-2 record · 4 played
1.50 points per game
+1 goal diff · 8–7
LWWLlast 4
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.1
+0.10 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 08:00 AM

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Dallas Legends NTX
14th · 1.50 PPG
vs
DKSC NTX
20th · 0.60 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 14 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 4.0 for, 2.2 against · 2.20 expected points)

Season so farDallas Legends NTXDKSC NTX
Position14th20th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-21-0-4
Points per game1.500.60
Goals for / game2.02.8
Goals against / game1.85.2
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L W W LL L W L L
Biggest win3–0 at Nido Dallas Blue NTX8–3 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX
Worst loss1–4 at SOLAR BLUE NTX2–11 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.15-1.23
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.10+0.91

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    DKSC NTX concede 5.2/game; worst result 2–11 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 69% / draw 13% / loss 18%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Dallas Texans NTX sit 13th on 1.60 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above Dallas Texans NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the DKSC NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dallas Legends NTX – DKSC NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.80 PPG
12th▲ up 2 12th▲ up 2 14th— holds
Win
1.80 PPG
12th▲ up 2 12th▲ up 2 14th— holds
Draw
1.40 PPG
15th▼ down 1 15th▼ down 1 16th▼ down 2
Loss
1.20 PPG
15th▼ down 1 15th▼ down 1 16th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
12.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th 6%
  10. 10th 8%
  11. 11th 10%
  12. 12th 13%
  13. 13th 15%
  14. 14th 15%
  15. 15th 14%
  16. 16th 5%
  17. 17th 2%
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th <1%
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.60 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 3.00 (+1.50) 1st (2.71) 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.60 (+1.10) 5th (2.03) 33 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
3 NTX Celtic FC NTX 2.40 (+0.90) 3rd (2.12) 30 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
4 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.25 (+0.75) 2nd (2.21) 28 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.25 (+0.75) 7th (1.94) 28 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
6 Nido Dallas White NTX 2.17 (+0.67) 4th (2.10) 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 2.00 (+0.50) 9th (1.81) 24 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
8 SOLAR RED NTX 2.00 (+0.50) 6th (2.01) 24 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
9 FC Dallas Youth NTX 2.00 (+0.50) 8th (1.92) 24 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
10 DKSC WHITE NTX 2.00 (+0.50) 11th (1.71) 24 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
11 Fever United FC NTX 1.83 (+0.33) 10th (1.74) 22 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
12 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 1.67 (+0.17) 14th (1.56) A point next game
13 Dallas Texans NTX 1.60 (+0.10) 13th (1.56) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Dallas Legends NTX to DKSC NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
2 favour them
+1.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 0–1 2–1 3–0 2–2 3–8 0–3 5–2 2–0 0–5 11–2 Dallas Legends NTX 14th NTX Celtic FC NTX 3rd Nido Dallas Blue NTX 12th Sting Brave NTX 23rd Dallas Texans NTX 13th SOLAR WHITE NTX 17th FC Dallas Youth NTX 9th FC Dallas Youth Blu… 1st DKSC NTX 20th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 12th 24th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.31 · 22nd hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
08:00 AM
DKSC NTX
20th · 1-0-4 · GD -12
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–2 2.20 1.64 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
09:50 AM
FC Dallas Youth NTX
9th · 3-1-1 · GD +12
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.71 1.49 Upside
Sun Nov 1
07:00 PM
Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +13
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.75 1.38 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:50 AM
SOLAR WHITE NTX
17th · 1-1-3 · GD -14
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.11 1.47 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
01:30 PM
Sting WTX NTX
18th · 1-1-3 · GD -15
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.35 1.57 Bank it
Sat Feb 20
11:40 AM
FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
22nd · 0-1-6 · GD -23
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
3–1 2.32 1.64 Bank it
Sun Feb 21
09:50 AM
FC Dallas Youth White NTX
16th · 2-0-3 · GD -9
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.15 1.69 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
01:30 PM
Fever United FC NTX
11th · 3-2-1 · GD +15
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.97 1.63 Upside
Sat Mar 6
08:00 AM
Sting Bold NTX
24th · 0-0-5 · GD -32
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
4–1 2.72 1.71 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
09:50 AM
Dallas Texans NTX
13th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.22 1.68 Upside
Sat Apr 10
09:50 AM
FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +28
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.24 1.58 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5500 313+28 153.00 WWWWW -0.76 -0.21 100% 1.2
2 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 5410 163+13 132.60 WWWWD -1.68 +0.50 35% 6.3
3 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5401 205+15 122.40 WWLWW -1.43 +0.30 53% 4.8
4 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 4301 152+13 92.25 WWWL -0.26 +0.01 66% 4.1
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 4301 115+6 92.25 WWWL -0.08 +0.01 25% 7.4
6 Nido Dallas White NTX 6411 138+5 132.17 LWWWW +0.76 -0.84 42% 5.5
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 6402 2510+15 122.00 LLWWW -0.87 +0.45 10% 8.9
8 SOLAR RED NTX 6402 2411+13 122.00 WWLWW +0.04 -0.39 33% 6.1
9 FC Dallas Youth NTX 5311 186+12 102.00 LWWWD -0.72 +0.26 20% 7.4
10 DKSC WHITE NTX 5311 126+6 102.00 DWLWW -0.37 +0.13 5% 10.4
11 Fever United FC NTX 6321 249+15 111.83 DWWDL -0.61 +0.77 7% 9.5
12 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 6312 1611+5 101.67 LLWDW -0.34 +0.19 1% 12.2
13 Dallas Texans NTX 5221 87+1 81.60 DLWWD +0.23 -0.08 1% 12.1
14 Dallas Legends NTX 4202 87+1 61.50 LWWL +0.10 -0.31 1% 12.1
15 SOLAR BLUE NTX 4202 76+1 61.50 WLWL +0.67 +0.13 1% 12.5
16 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5203 413-9 61.20 LWLWL +0.14 +0.08 0% 17.3
17 SOLAR WHITE NTX 5113 822-14 40.80 LLLDW -0.38 +0.00 0% 18.5
18 Sting WTX NTX 5113 520-15 40.80 LLLDW +0.85 +0.12 0% 19.8
19 Sting NTX 4103 417-13 30.75 WLLL +0.53 -0.21 0% 19.1
20 DKSC NTX 5104 1426-12 30.60 LLWLL +0.91 -0.26 0% 18.0
21 Dallas Texans Red NTX 6105 921-12 30.50 LLLLL +0.74 -0.29 0% 18.4
22 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 7016 730-23 10.14 LDLLL +0.72 +0.15 0% 22.3
23 Sting Brave NTX 6006 120-19 00.00 LLLLL +0.43 -0.01 0% 22.7
24 Sting Bold NTX 5005 234-32 00.00 LLLLL +0.72 +0.02 0% 23.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.32 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.