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Dallas Texans Red NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU14 · 24 teams · Dallas Texans (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 39 minutes ago.
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21st
1-0-5 record · 6 played
0.50 points per game
-12 goal diff · 9–21
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 18.5
+0.74 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:10 PM

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Dallas Texans Red NTX
21st · 0.50 PPG
at
SOLAR BLUE NTX
15th · 1.50 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 6 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.4 for, 3.1 against · 0.60 expected points)

Season so farDallas Texans Red NTXSOLAR BLUE NTX
Position21st15th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-52-0-2
Points per game0.501.50
Goals for / game1.51.8
Goals against / game3.51.5
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L L L L LL W L W
Biggest win2–0 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX4–1 vs Dallas Legends NTX
Worst loss1–5 at Atletico Dallas Youth NTX1–3 at Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.15+0.30
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.74+0.67

Common opponents: Atletico Dallas Youth NTX — we 1–5; they 1–3. DKSC WHITE NTX — we 2–3; they 1–0.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 15%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 05:10 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    DKSC NTX sit 20th on 0.60 PPG; we are on 0.50.

    A point moves us above DKSC NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SOLAR BLUE NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dallas Texans Red NTX – SOLAR BLUE NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.43 PPG
21st— holds 21st— holds 22nd▼ down 1
Win
0.86 PPG
17th▲ up 4 17th▲ up 4 20th▲ up 1
Draw
0.57 PPG
21st— holds 19th▲ up 2 21st— holds
Loss
0.43 PPG
21st— holds 21st— holds 22nd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 21st even if every rival loses, and as low as 22nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
18.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th 4%
  16. 16th 14%
  17. 17th 17%
  18. 18th 17%
  19. 19th 16%
  20. 20th 16%
  21. 21st 11%
  22. 22nd 4%
  23. 23rd 1%
  24. 24th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 3.00 (+2.50) 1st (2.71) 42 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.60 (+2.10) 5th (2.03) 36 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 NTX Celtic FC NTX 2.40 (+1.90) 3rd (2.12) 33 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.25 (+1.75) 2nd (2.21) 31 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.25 (+1.75) 7th (1.94) 31 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 Nido Dallas White NTX 2.17 (+1.67) 4th (2.10) 30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 2.00 (+1.50) 9th (1.81) 27 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
8 SOLAR RED NTX 2.00 (+1.50) 6th (2.01) 27 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 FC Dallas Youth NTX 2.00 (+1.50) 8th (1.92) 27 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
10 DKSC WHITE NTX 2.00 (+1.50) 11th (1.71) 27 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
11 Fever United FC NTX 1.83 (+1.33) 10th (1.74) 25 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
12 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 1.67 (+1.17) 14th (1.56) 23 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
13 Dallas Texans NTX 1.60 (+1.10) 13th (1.56) 21 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
14 Dallas Legends NTX 1.50 (+1.00) 12th (1.58) 20 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
15 SOLAR BLUE NTX 1.50 (+1.00) 15th (1.52) 20 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
16 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 1.20 (+0.70) 16th (0.98) 15 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
17 SOLAR WHITE NTX 0.80 (+0.30) 18th (0.86) A point next game
18 Sting WTX NTX 0.80 (+0.30) 21st (0.71) A point next game
19 Sting NTX 0.75 (+0.25) 20th (0.78) A point next game
20 DKSC NTX 0.60 (+0.10) 17th (0.91) A point next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Dallas Texans Red NTX to SOLAR BLUE NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
5 favour them
-3.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 0–1 1–5 3–1 2–5 2–2 2–1 1–5 2–3 1–2 Dallas Texans Red N… 21st DKSC WHITE NTX 10th Atletico Dallas You… 2nd Fever United FC NTX 11th Kernow Storm FC NTX 7th Nido Dallas White N… 6th SOLAR BLUE NTX 15th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 12th 24th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.29 · 21st hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
05:10 PM
SOLAR BLUE NTX
15th · 2-0-2 · GD +1
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.60 0.51 Upside
Sun Oct 25
08:00 AM
Sting NTX
19th · 1-0-3 · GD -13
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 0.65 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
03:20 PM
Dallas Texans NTX
13th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.67 0.65 Upside
Sun Feb 7
08:00 AM
DKSC NTX
20th · 1-0-4 · GD -12
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
3–3 1.47 0.73 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
01:30 PM
FC Dallas Youth NTX
9th · 3-1-1 · GD +12
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.27 0.69 Upside
Sat Mar 6
03:20 PM
FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
22nd · 0-1-6 · GD -23
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
3–1 2.07 0.81 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
09:50 AM
Nido Dallas White NTX
6th · 4-1-1 · GD +5
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.63 0.79 Upside
Sat Apr 3
03:20 PM
Sting WTX NTX
18th · 1-1-3 · GD -15
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
2–1 1.82 0.87 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
01:30 PM
SOLAR RED NTX
8th · 4-0-2 · GD +13
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–4 0.42 0.84 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5500 313+28 153.00 WWWWW -0.76 -0.21 99% 1.2
2 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 5410 163+13 132.60 WWWWD -1.68 +0.50 33% 6.4
3 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5401 205+15 122.40 WWLWW -1.43 +0.30 51% 5.0
4 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 4301 152+13 92.25 WWWL -0.26 +0.01 65% 4.2
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 4301 115+6 92.25 WWWL -0.08 +0.01 26% 7.3
6 Nido Dallas White NTX 6411 138+5 132.17 LWWWW +0.76 -0.84 43% 5.4
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 6402 2510+15 122.00 LLWWW -0.87 +0.45 12% 8.7
8 SOLAR RED NTX 6402 2411+13 122.00 WWLWW +0.04 -0.39 33% 6.2
9 FC Dallas Youth NTX 5311 186+12 102.00 LWWWD -0.72 +0.26 21% 7.3
10 DKSC WHITE NTX 5311 126+6 102.00 DWLWW -0.37 +0.13 6% 10.3
11 Fever United FC NTX 6321 249+15 111.83 DWWDL -0.61 +0.77 6% 9.8
12 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 6312 1611+5 101.67 LLWDW -0.34 +0.19 1% 12.1
13 Dallas Texans NTX 5221 87+1 81.60 DLWWD +0.23 -0.08 1% 12.2
14 Dallas Legends NTX 4202 87+1 61.50 LWWL +0.10 -0.31 2% 11.9
15 SOLAR BLUE NTX 4202 76+1 61.50 WLWL +0.67 +0.13 1% 12.5
16 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5203 413-9 61.20 LWLWL +0.14 +0.08 0% 17.4
17 SOLAR WHITE NTX 5113 822-14 40.80 LLLDW -0.38 +0.00 0% 18.5
18 Sting WTX NTX 5113 520-15 40.80 LLLDW +0.85 +0.12 0% 19.6
19 Sting NTX 4103 417-13 30.75 WLLL +0.53 -0.21 0% 19.2
20 DKSC NTX 5104 1426-12 30.60 LLWLL +0.91 -0.26 0% 18.0
21 Dallas Texans Red NTX 6105 921-12 30.50 LLLLL +0.74 -0.29 0% 18.5
22 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 7016 730-23 10.14 LDLLL +0.72 +0.15 0% 22.4
23 Sting Brave NTX 6006 120-19 00.00 LLLLL +0.43 -0.01 0% 22.7
24 Sting Bold NTX 5005 234-32 00.00 LLLLL +0.72 +0.02 0% 23.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.32 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.